# Chow Hang-tung won 2026 Nobel Peace Prize

*Science. 13% certain. Saturday, 17 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**A US citizen received the Nobel Economics Prize and Donald Trump was given the satirical Nobel Piss Prize.**

On October 10 the Nobel committee announced Chow Hang-tung as the Peace Prize laureate. A United States citizen was named the Economics laureate on October 17. Donald Trump received the satirical Nobel Piss Prize on October 16.

Chow Hang-tung, a Hong Kong activist, was identified as the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner. The announcement occurred on October 10. The Prize was listed under the Peace category.

A United States citizen was listed as the 2026 Nobel Economics laureate. The laureate's nationality was noted as American.

Donald Trump was named the recipient of the 2026 Nobel Piss Prize. The Prize carried the title Nobel Piss Prize.

## Analysis

The selection of a Hong Kong activist for the Peace Prize places the region's pro-democracy movement in an international spotlight, potentially affecting diplomatic discussions, though the concrete impact on policy remains uncertain.

Awarding the Economics Prize to a US citizen highlights the continued presence of American scholars in the field, which may influence perceptions of US contributions to economic theory, yet the specific research recognized has not been disclosed.

## What this was built from

- **Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026**: Chow Hang-tung, 13%; settles Saturday, 10 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139)
- **Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]**: Yes, 85%; settles Friday, 16 October 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/vdb/will-trump-win-nobel-piss-prize-202-8A99I8qhyq)
- **Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?**: Yes, 86%; settles Saturday, 17 October 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/AdamBraff/will-at-least-one-us-citizen-be-awa)