# Gadi Eizenkot became Israel's Prime Minister

*World. 51% certain. Friday, 1 January 2027*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Christopher Luxon stayed New Zealand Prime Minister and Volodymyr Zelenskyy remained Ukraine's president.**

On Tuesday 27 October, Gadi Eizenkot was chosen as Israel's Prime Minister following the election. In New Zealand, Christopher Luxon remained Prime Minister as the 2026 general election approached. Ukraine confirmed Volodymyr Zelenskyy as president through the end of the year. Vladimir Putin continued as Russia's president beyond 31 December 2026.

Eizenkot was declared the winner of Israel's election on Tuesday 27 October. The result placed him as the country's next Prime Minister the transition followed the standard post-election process.

Luxon's tenure continued into the campaign period for the 2026 general election held on 7 November. The incumbent government remained in power throughout the pre-election months. No change in leadership was recorded before the vote.

Zelenskyy stayed in office for the remainder of 2026, with no indication of a transition before year-end. The Ukrainian presidency maintained its continuity amid ongoing challenges. The status quo persisted through the final months of the calendar year.

Putin retained the Russian presidency past the 31 December 2026 deadline. His administration continued without a successor being installed. The leadership structure in Moscow remained unchanged at year-end.

## Analysis

The election outcomes left three of the four major states with their existing leaders, limiting abrupt policy shifts on the global stage. Israel's New Prime Minister introduces a change in personnel, but the broader regional dynamics remain anchored by the continuity in New Zealand, Ukraine and Russia.

For New Zealand, Luxon's continued premiership likely sustains the government's current approaches to trade, climate commitments and its Pacific partnerships. Zelenskyy's ongoing presidency ensures that Ukraine's wartime strategy and diplomatic outreach stay on course, while Putin's persistence in Russia maintains the current foreign-policy posture toward Europe and neighboring regions.

Despite the apparent stability, each country faces internal pressures that could reshape future leadership.

## What this was built from

- **Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?**: Gadi Eizenkot, 51%; settles Tuesday, 27 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election)
- **Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?**: Yes, 93%; settles Saturday, 7 November 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/Tuatara/will-christopher-luxon-still-be-pri)
- **Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?**: No, 93%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027)
- **Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?**: No, 96%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/putin-out-before-2027)