# Starship Flight Test 14 launched in September

*Science. 91% certain. Thursday, 1 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**The September program saw Flight Test 14 launch, Ship 40 recovered, and Crew-13 cancelled.**

SpaceX's September activities delivered a mixed outcome. The company launched Starship Flight Test 14 and successfully recovered Ship 40 to shore. At the same time, the planned Crew-13 mission was cancelled, the company's stock closed the month at or below $170, and no merger with Tesla was announced.

The launch proceeded without a crewed component, focusing on Flight dynamics. Its execution added another data point to SpaceX's development timeline.

Ship 40 reentered the atmosphere and was retrieved on the coast after the Test Flight Recovery teams guided the booster to a shoreline landing. The successful retrieval confirmed the vehicle's reusability goals.

The Crew-13 launch, scheduled for September, was called off before the month's end. The cancellation removed a planned crewed Flight from the roster.

Talks of a merger between SpaceX and Tesla did not materialize by the end of September. No formal announcement was made, leaving the companies separate. The absence of a merger kept the corporate structures unchanged.

## Analysis

The launch of Flight Test 14 shows that SpaceX continues to advance its Starship program despite setbacks elsewhere, adding valuable Flight data for future missions.

Recovery of Ship 40 demonstrates that reusability goals are being met, which could lower launch costs and improve turnaround times for subsequent flights.

Cancelling Crew-13 postpones the schedule for crewed operations, potentially shifting focus toward additional uncrewed testing and affecting downstream partnerships that rely on crewed launch capacity.

## What this was built from

- **Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?**: Yes, 96%; settles Wednesday, 30 September 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-starship-ship-40-be-recovered)
- **Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?**: No, 99%; settles Thursday, 1 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30)
- **Will SpaceX Crew-13 launch by September 30, 2026?**: No, 99%; settles Monday, 28 September 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/MAKER/will-spacex-crew13-launch-by-septem)
- **Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?**: Yes, 91%; settles Thursday, 1 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-14)
- **SpaceX closes above $170 at end of month?**: No, 92%; settles Wednesday, 30 September 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/waitblock/spacex-closes-above-170-at-end-of-m)