# U.S. failed to acquire any part of Greenland

*World. 87% certain. Friday, 1 January 2027*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**The United States secured no territory in Greenland and launched no strike against Cuba in 2026.**

In 2026 the United States saw no progress on its planned territorial or military expansions. Efforts to obtain Greenland territory remained unfulfilled, and no offensive action was taken against Cuba. The outcomes left the United States without new land holdings or a strike in the Caribbean.

Former President Trump did not acquire Greenland before 2027. The United States also failed to secure any portion of Greenland during 2026. The Greenland proposal therefore concluded without any transfer of sovereignty.

No U.S. strike on Cuba was executed by December 31, 2026. The deadline passed without any military operation against the island. Consequently, the Cuban coast remained untouched by U.S. forces.

By the close of 2026 the United States had secured no new territory in Greenland. It also had not launched a strike against Cuba. The year therefore concluded with the United States maintaining its existing borders and avoiding Caribbean military action.

## Analysis

The absence of a Greenland acquisition removes a potential strategic foothold for the United States in the Arctic, limiting its ability to project power in a region of growing geopolitical interest. Without sovereign control, the U.S. must continue relying on existing partnerships and treaties rather than direct territorial influence.

Similarly, the decision not to strike Cuba avoided a direct military confrontation in the Caribbean, preserving the status quo of U.S.-Cuban relations and preventing possible escalation with regional actors. The lack of action keeps diplomatic channels open and sidesteps the risks associated with a new conflict.

Together, these outcomes suggest a pause in overt expansionist policies by the United States for the year. While the government may still pursue other forms of influence, any future attempts to acquire territory or conduct strikes will face heightened scrutiny and uncertainty, given the clear evidence that 2026 ended without such moves.

## What this was built from

- **Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?**: No, 97%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027)
- **Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?**: No, 96%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026)
- **US strike on Cuba by December 31?**: No, 87%; settles Friday, 1 January 2027 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/us-strike-on-cuba-by)