AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Tuesday, 6 October 2026
Edition of Wednesday, 6 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Tue 6 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Wednesday, 6 October 2027.

Economics

OpenAI shelved $1 trillion IPO valuation

Kimi announced an IPO filing and DeepSeek postponed its offering before the June deadline.

60% certain
lead market 60%next 41%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Oct4 markets behind this

OpenAI abandoned a plan for a $1 trillion IPO valuation. At the same time, Moonshot AI's Kimi filed for an IPO while DeepSeek chose not to file by the June 30 deadline.

OpenAI's decision was confirmed on Thursday 1 July when the company announced it would not pursue the trillion-dollar valuation. The announcement ended speculation about a record-size offering. No valuation figure was provided.

Moonshot AI's Kimi completed its IPO filing before the June 30, 2027 deadline. Kimi proceeded toward an IPO by the deadline.

DeepSeek did not file for an IPO by the June 30, 2027 deadline. The outcome was confirmed on Thursday 1 July. The company remained private as of that date.

Analysis

Without that reference point, investors and rivals must reassess expectations for future AI listings. The shift may temper enthusiasm for ultra-large valuations in the sector.

Kimi's successful filing demonstrates that smaller AI firms can move forward with public offerings despite the absence of a marquee trillion-dollar deal. This may encourage other niche AI players to consider similar routes.

DeepSeek's decision not to file by the June deadline leaves it outside the recent wave of AI IPOs. Its continued private status maintains a degree of uncertainty about how many AI firms will ultimately go public this year.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?: did not happen, 97% settles Thursday, 1 July 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?: Yes, 60% settles Friday, 1 October 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?: No, 70% settles Thursday, 1 July 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?: Yes, 72% settles Thursday, 1 July 2027 · polymarket · see the market
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