Economics
Fed finished 2026 at 4.0% policy rate after December Hike
The central bank raised rates by 25 basis points in December and delivered no cuts throughout 2026, keeping the target range between 4.0% and 4.5%.
40%
certain
The year ahead, reported from the odds
Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 3 Sept · not a record of events
Economics
The central bank raised rates by 25 basis points in December and delivered no cuts throughout 2026, keeping the target range between 4.0% and 4.5%.
Science
OpenAI released its Astra model and stayed under a $2 trillion valuation while Anthropic led the field.
World
Ukraine remained outside NATO and Crimea stayed under Russian control.
World
Beijing did not invade Taiwan and did not blockade the island during 2026.
Politics
Democrats retained the CA-38 house seat and voters rejected a Billionaire wealth tax.
World
He stayed in office through October, and Gadi Eizenkot is slated to take over after the upcoming election.
Politics
Democrats captured the house and senate in the 2026 Midterms, ending Republican hopes for congressional control.
World
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva secured a second term, while Flávio Bolsonaro placed second.
Politics
United Russia kept its Duma majority while the Communist Party remained second, and Turnout fell to Just over half of voters.
World
The United States signed a peace agreement based on Iran's 14-point plan, while no nuclear deal or diplomatic meetings materialized.
World
Bab el-Mandeb remained open and Kharg Island stayed under Iranian control.
Politics
Social Democrats won the election and Sweden Democrats placed second with just over 20% of the vote.
Politics
Katharina Pötter and Belit Onay also secured Mayoral victories in Osnabrück and Hannover.
Science
Astra launched on September 3 and was publicly available by September 6, overtaking rival models.
Politics
SPD cleared the 5% threshold and Greens secured over 5% of the vote.
Economics
The central bank raised rates by 25 basis points in December and delivered no cuts throughout 2026, keeping the target range between 4.0% and 4.5%.
The Federal Reserve closed 2026 with a target policy rate of 4.0 percent. A 25-basis-point increase in December lifted the rate to that level. Throughout the year the Fed made no cuts, keeping the range between 4.0 percent and 4.5 percent.
In the October meeting the Fed left the rate unchanged, continuing the stance set earlier in the year. The July through October sessions were classified as "Other," indicating actions that differed from simple pauses. This decision reinforced the policy's steady trajectory.
Politics
Democrats captured the house and senate in the 2026 Midterms, ending Republican hopes for congressional control.
World
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva secured a second term, while Flávio Bolsonaro placed second.
Politics
United Russia kept its Duma majority while the Communist Party remained second, and Turnout fell to Just over half of voters.
World
The United States signed a peace agreement based on Iran's 14-point plan, while no nuclear deal or diplomatic meetings materialized.
World
Bab el-Mandeb remained open and Kharg Island stayed under Iranian control.
Politics
Social Democrats won the election and Sweden Democrats placed second with just over 20% of the vote.
Politics
Katharina Pötter and Belit Onay also secured Mayoral victories in Osnabrück and Hannover.
Science
Astra launched on September 3 and was publicly available by September 6, overtaking rival models.
Politics
SPD cleared the 5% threshold and Greens secured over 5% of the vote.
The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.