AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 26 September 2026
Edition of Sunday, 26 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 26 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Sunday, 26 September 2027.

Crypto

S&P 500 outperformed Bitcoin and Gold in 2026

Bitcoin stayed above $45,000 and did not set a new record, and the S&P 500 led gains.

58% certain
lead market 58%next 26%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan3 markets behind this

In 2026 the S&P 500 posted higher returns than both Bitcoin and Gold Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, failed to set a new all-time high during the year. Its price also never fell to the $45,000 level.

Throughout the twelve months Bitcoin's price stayed above $45,000. Data showed no dip to that threshold at any point.

The equity index's gain outpaced the returns generated by Bitcoin. Gold's performance also lagged behind the S&P 500. Thus the traditional benchmark delivered the strongest result among the three assets.

Bitcoin stayed above $45,000 but never achieved a new high. Investors therefore saw more growth from the S&P 500 than from digital or precious-metal assets.

Analysis

Bitcoin's price staying above $45,000 without reaching a fresh all-time high indicates a level of price stability but also a lack of upward momentum, which may have tempered enthusiasm among speculative participants and limited inflows from risk-seeking capital.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026: S&P 500, 58% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No, 93% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No, 92% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Back to the front page This article as Markdown
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.