AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 25 September 2026
Edition of Saturday, 25 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 25 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Saturday, 25 September 2027.

World

Gadi Eizenkot became Israel Prime Minister; Luxon, Zelenskyy, Putin stayed

Israel elected Gadi Eizenkot while New Zealand's Christopher Luxon led the country into the 2026 election.

54% certain
lead market 54%next 30%1 venuesettles Tue 27 Oct4 markets behind this

In 2026 the leadership of several major nations remained unchanged. Gadi Eizenkot assumed the office of Prime Minister in Israel after the latest election. Christopher Luxon continued as New Zealand's Prime Minister through the 2026 general election. Both Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Ukraine and Vladimir Putin in Russia stayed in the presidential role until the end of the year.

The Israeli vote concluded on Tuesday 27 October, delivering the premiership to Eizenkot. He succeeded the previous office holder following the scheduled election cycle. The result confirmed the continuity of a right-leaning coalition government.

New Zealand's parliamentary timetable placed the general election on Saturday 7 November. Luxon's party retained enough seats for him to remain Prime Minister at that point. His leadership carried through the election period without a change in the premiership.

Ukraine's presidential office saw no turnover by the close of 2026. Zelenskyy's term continued uninterrupted, as confirmed on Friday 1 January. The stability avoided a leadership transition before the year's end.

Russia also experienced no change at the head of state by 31 December 2026. Putin remained president, a status affirmed on Friday 1 January. The continuation meant the Russian presidency persisted through the entire calendar year.

Analysis

With no abrupt leadership changes, existing policy directions are likely to persist, reducing short-term volatility in diplomatic and economic engagements.

In New Zealand, Luxon's ongoing premiership through the election points to stable governance ahead of any post-election coalition negotiations. Ukraine and Russia, both keeping their presidents, keep the status quo in a conflict-prone zone, limiting the prospect of sudden diplomatic openings or escalations linked to leadership turnover.

Nevertheless, the absence of change does not eliminate underlying pressures. Domestic political debates, economic challenges, and external events could still reshape each government's capacity to act. Future elections in other nations and evolving geopolitical dynamics will determine whether this stability endures beyond 2026.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot, 54% settles Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?: Yes, 85% settles Saturday, 7 November 2026 · manifold · see the market
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No, 95% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No, 96% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Back to the front page This article as Markdown
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.