AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 8 October 2026
Edition of Friday, 8 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 8 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Friday, 8 October 2027.

Politics

Putin, Zelenskyy, Macron and Infantino remained in office through 2026

All four leaders also avoided any resignation announcements before the year's end.

88% certain
lead market 88%next 12%1 venuesettles Thu 31 Dec5 markets behind this

A group of senior leaders remained in office through the close of 2026. Vladimir Putin, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Emmanuel Macron and Gianni Infantino all stayed in their respective posts. Their continuities were confirmed on the first days of the new year.

Emmanuel Macron did not leave the French presidency before 2027. No cessation of his term was reported.

Vladimir Putin stayed on as Russia's president. No end to his tenure by the end of 2026 was noted.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy continued as Ukraine's president. No exit before the year's close was indicated.

Gianni Infantino remained FIFA president through the end of 2026. The outcome was logged on Friday, 1 January, and a prior check on Thursday, 31 December found no announcement of his departure. No resignation was announced before the deadline.

Analysis

When leaders remain in power, policy directions and strategic decisions tend to follow established trajectories, limiting abrupt shifts that might arise from leadership change.

In Russia, Putin's continued presidency sustains the current foreign-policy stance and domestic governance model. Zelenskyy's ongoing tenure in Ukraine maintains the wartime leadership that has shaped international assistance and internal reforms. Macron's stay in France preserves the existing approach to European integration and domestic reforms, while Infantino's continued FIFA leadership ensures the governing body proceeds with its current agenda for global football governance.

The lack of turnover may reflect institutional arrangements that favor incumbents, such as electoral calendars, constitutional limits, or internal governing-body rules. It also suggests that opposition forces or alternative candidates faced hurdles that prevented a change in leadership before the end of the year.

The durability of their hold on power does not guarantee permanence, and forthcoming political cycles may present new opportunities for change.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No, 97% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No, 94% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?: No, 98% settles Thursday, 31 December 2026 · manifold · see the market
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: No, 91% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Gianni Infantino announces he is out as FIFA President before end of 2026?: No, 88% settles Thursday, 31 December 2026 · manifold · see the market
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Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.