AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Edition of Wednesday, 15 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Tue 15 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Wednesday, 15 September 2027.

Economics

U.S. gasoline topped $4 per gallon as Oil rose above $105

WTI price stayed below a historic peak despite the surge

71% certain
lead market 71%next 21%1 venuesettles Wed 30 Sept5 markets behind this

On October 1, the Average U.S. gasoline price rose to $4 per gallon. At the same time, West Texas Intermediate Crude climbed past $105 per barrel. The Crude price, however, did not set a new all-time high.

During September, WTI Crude never fell to $80, remaining above that low threshold. Nevertheless, the price stayed below the historic peak.

The $4 per gallon gasoline Average coincided with WTI trading above $105 per barrel. Both figures reflected elevated energy costs. Yet the Crude price remained short of a record high.

September's Crude price stayed above $80, never reaching that low point. This durability contributed to the later surge past $105. The period concluded without a new all-time high for Oil

Analysis

A gasoline price at $4 per gallon increases the expense of personal travel and can feed into broader consumer-price measures, putting pressure on household budgets.

Because gasoline prices track Crude Oil, the simultaneous rise in both metrics reinforces each other, yet the absence of a new Crude record may limit further upside for pump prices.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026?: Yes, 93% settles Thursday, 1 October 2026 · manifold · see the market
US Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on any day in September 2026?: Yes, 71% settles Wednesday, 30 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?: Yes, 79% settles Thursday, 1 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No, 98% settles Thursday, 1 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?: No, 90% settles Thursday, 1 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
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