AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Edition of Thursday, 9 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Wed 9 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Thursday, 9 September 2027.

World

Gadi Eizenkot took office as Israel's Prime Minister

Vladimir Putin stayed Russia's president and Volodymyr Zelenskyy stayed Ukraine's president.

56% certain
lead market 56%next 27%1 venuesettles Thu 31 Dec6 markets behind this

Gadi Eizenkot assumed the premiership of Israel after the latest election. Across the region, other senior posts saw no change during 2026. Vladimir Putin continued as Russia's president and Volodymyr Zelenskyy remained Ukraine's president. In New Zealand, Chris Hipkins led the Labour Party and Christopher Luxon headed the National Party, while Jacinda Ardern did not return to parliament.

The election produced a clear victory for the Likud-aligned bloc supporting Eizenkot. He formed a coalition that secured a parliamentary majority. His government pledged to maintain the existing security and diplomatic approach.

Chris Hipkins guided the Labour Party into the 2026 campaign. His counterpart Christopher Luxon led the National Party, setting up a traditional contest. Jacinda Ardern chose not to re-enter parliament, confirming the leadership transition.

Vladimir Putin's tenure extended through the end of 2026 without interruption. The continuity allowed his administration to pursue its long-term economic and foreign-policy agenda. Domestic opposition remained marginal as the political system sustained its established structure.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy stayed in office for the full year, guiding Ukraine through ongoing challenges. His continued leadership provided steadiness amid the conflict with Russia. International partners maintained their support under the unchanged presidential helm.

Analysis

The stability of senior leadership positions across Israel, Russia, Ukraine and New Zealand limited the scope for abrupt policy shifts in 2026.

In Israel, the ascent of Gadi Eizenkot reinforced the existing security-focused agenda while introducing a new figure at the helm. The coalition's composition suggested a continuation of prior diplomatic stances toward neighboring states and the broader Middle-East peace process.

New Zealand's political scene remained anchored by the incumbent party leaders, with Hipkins and Luxon steering their respective parties into the election.

Russia and Ukraine both retained their heads of state, meaning the conflict dynamics and related negotiations continued under familiar leadership. Putin's sustained presidency allowed Russia to persist with its strategic objectives, while Zelenskyy's ongoing presidency preserved Ukraine's existing approach to international support and defense.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No, 94% settles Friday, 1 January 2027 · polymarket · see the market
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot, 56% settles Thursday, 31 December 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No, 99% settles Thursday, 15 October 2026 · manifold · see the market
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No, 93% settles Thursday, 31 December 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes, 83% settles Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes, 86% settles Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · manifold · see the market
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