23%The Odyssey dominated 2027 Oscars as Nolan won best Director81%Superheavy booster exploded during Starship Flight Test 1433%Marine Le Pen confirmed as 2027 French Presidential candidate40%Fed finished 2026 with rate at 4% and no cuts60%Anthropic topped AI model rankings and hit $1.75 trillion valuation60%Ukraine remained outside NATO as war ended without cease-fire in 202693%China did not invade Taiwan in 202693%U.S. remained in NATO after Trump gave no withdrawal announcement65%Xavier Becerra elected governor of California50%Democrats retained control of house and senate in 2026 Midterms51%Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins elected Alaska governor96%Benjamin Netanyahu remained Israel's prime minister

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 10 September 2026
Edition of Friday, 10 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 10 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Friday, 10 September 2027.

Culture

The Odyssey dominated 2027 Oscars as Nolan won best Director

Julianne Moore won best Actress and Matt Damon won best Actor, with the Odyssey leading the awards.

23% certain
lead market 23%next 22%1 venuesettles Sun 14 Mar

The 2027 Academy Awards crowned Christopher Nolan's science-fiction epic the Odyssey with top honors. Nolan received best Director while the film also earned best Cinematography. Julianne Moore was named best Actress and Matt Damon took best Actor.

The Odyssey's win for Cinematography recognized its sweeping Visual style. In the Visual Effects category, Dune: Part Three prevailed over competing entries. Both films demonstrated the Academy's appreciation for ambitious production design.

Read the full report

World

China did not invade Taiwan in 2026

China also avoided blockading Taiwan and any military clash with Japan through 2026.

93% certain
lead market 93%next 7%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

Politics

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins elected Alaska governor

Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins won the governor's race while Republican Dan Sullivan was defeated for the senate seat.

51% certain
lead market 51%next 49%1 venuesettles Tue 3 Nov

Politics

Alliance won Latvia's Parliamentary election

Linke won Berlin, AfD took Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Alliance secured Latvia and Sweden Democrats fell short of gains.

51% certain
lead market 51%next 29%1 venuesettles Sun 20 Sept

Politics

Belit Onay elected mayor of Hannover

Frank Klingebiel won Salzgitter mayoralty while Eva Bender became Hannover's regional president.

44% certain
lead market 44%next 40%1 venuesettles Sun 13 Sept

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra93%Tue 3 Nov
  2. Fed Decision in September?: 25 bps increase54%Wed 16 Sept
  3. Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?: No99%Fri 6 Nov
  4. Brazil Presidential Election: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva48%Sun 4 Oct
  5. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No89%Wed 4 Nov
  6. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?: United Russia (ER)74%Wed 30 Sept
  8. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  9. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen33%Fri 30 Apr
  10. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: Yes54%Sat 3 Oct
  11. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes53%Tue 1 Dec
  12. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No64%Tue 3 Nov
  13. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party87%Tue 3 Nov
  14. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro74%Sun 4 Oct
  15. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep50%Tue 3 Nov
  16. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes88%Sun 15 Nov
  17. Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?: No Meeting by September 3091%Thu 1 Oct
  18. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No89%Sun 15 Nov
  19. Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes74%Wed 9 Dec
  20. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  21. Berlin State Election Winner: Linke51%Sun 20 Sept
  22. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  23. Israel closes its airspace by September 30?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  24. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  25. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No68%Tue 3 Nov
  26. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.0%40%Wed 9 Dec
  27. Russia Parliamentary Election Winner: United Russia (ER)98%Wed 30 Sept
  28. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic87%Thu 1 Oct
  29. LA-06 House Election Winner: Republican Party84%Tue 3 Nov
  30. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  31. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  32. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes87%Wed 30 Sept
  33. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: No51%Tue 3 Nov
  35. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  36. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  37. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  39. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  40. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Karen Bass65%Thu 31 Dec
  41. Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)99%Sun 13 Sept
  42. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  43. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Lula57%Fri 2 Oct
  44. Fed Decision in October?: No change66%Wed 28 Oct
  45. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes66%Wed 16 Sept
  46. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ73%Mon 5 Oct
  47. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  48. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins61%Tue 3 Nov
  50. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos43%Sun 4 Oct
  51. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: No55%Wed 4 Nov
  53. Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?: No99%Sun 20 Sept
  54. Fed decisions (Jun-Sep): Other54%Wed 16 Sept
  55. Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?: Yes54%Wed 9 Dec
  56. Trump out as President by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  57. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner: AfD77%Sun 20 Sept
  58. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?: No97%Thu 31 Dec
  59. Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)88%Sun 20 Sept
  60. Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?: No71%Mon 21 Sept
  61. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?: No98%Wed 16 Sept
  62. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic60%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  64. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  65. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No60%Fri 1 Jan
  66. Fed decisions (Jul–Oct): Other66%Wed 28 Oct
  67. Bank of Russia decision in September?: No Change90%Fri 11 Sept
  68. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No94%Thu 31 Dec
  69. Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series: “Widow’s Bay”70%Mon 14 Sept
  70. United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?: 325–33936%Sun 20 Sept
  71. Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?: No94%Mon 2 Nov
  72. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  73. Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?: Yes69%Sun 20 Sept
  74. Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?: Yes65%Wed 9 Dec
  75. Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?: 27-30%52%Sun 13 Sept
  76. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%37%Sun 4 Oct
  77. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?: Yes91%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon71%Mon 5 Oct
  79. Fed Decision in December?: No change47%Wed 9 Dec
  80. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes98%Sun 4 Oct
  81. Will Israel exist two years from now?: Yes99%Fri 18 Sept
  82. 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?: No51%Wed 16 Sept
  83. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No92%Sun 4 Oct
  84. Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner: AS86%Sat 3 Oct
  85. Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?: No93%Tue 10 Nov
  86. Will there be a Quebec referendum in the next provincial term?: No85%Sat 3 Oct
  87. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?: Yes83%Fri 1 Jan
  88. Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: Yes86%Thu 1 Oct
  89. Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?: Yes77%Sun 13 Sept
  90. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No94%Fri 8 Jan
  91. Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series: Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”94%Mon 14 Sept
  92. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: No89%Thu 31 Dec
  93. Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series: “DTF St. Louis”91%Mon 14 Sept
  94. Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Sweden Democrats (SD)81%Sun 13 Sept
  95. Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series: “The Pitt”93%Mon 14 Sept
  96. Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?: No99%Wed 16 Sept
  97. Israel military action against Lebanon on September 26?: No61%Sat 26 Sept
  98. Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?: No97%Thu 1 Jul
  99. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?: No78%Wed 16 Sept
  100. Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series: Jean Smart – “Hacks”92%Mon 14 Sept
  101. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic90%Thu 1 Oct
  102. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes97%Sun 4 Oct
  103. Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?: No52%Mon 21 Sept
  104. How many Emmys will “DTF St. Louis” win?: 0-199%Mon 14 Sept
  105. Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner: Katharina Pötter81%Sun 13 Sept
  106. Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: Moderate Party (M)82%Sun 13 Sept
  107. Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series: “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”84%Mon 14 Sept
  108. Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On): Anthropic89%Thu 1 Oct
  109. Will Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?: No94%Wed 30 Sept
  110. Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?: Yes95%Thu 1 Oct
  111. How many Emmys will “Hacks” win?: 2-361%Mon 14 Sept
  112. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  113. Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?: No81%Sun 13 Sept
  114. Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place: Centre Party (C)39%Sun 13 Sept
  115. Hannover Mayoral Election Winner: Belit Onay75%Sun 13 Sept
  116. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic88%Thu 1 Oct
  117. Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner: The Odyssey43%Sun 14 Mar
  118. Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?: No93%Tue 15 Sept
  119. How many Emmys will “Beef” win?: 0-152%Mon 14 Sept
  120. Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place: Centre Party (C)27%Sun 13 Sept
  121. Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats?: <10566%Sun 13 Sept
  122. Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner: Julianne Moore62%Sun 14 Mar
  123. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?: Anthropic90%Thu 1 Oct
  124. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?: Anthropic81%Thu 1 Oct
  125. How many Emmys will “Widow's Bay” win?: 4-567%Mon 14 Sept
  126. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic97%Thu 1 Oct
  127. Fed interest rate decision — September 2026: 25 bps increase52%Wed 16 Sept
  128. Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?: No94%Thu 1 Jul
  129. 🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election?: No80%Sun 13 Sept
  130. Wolfsburg Mayoral Election Winner: Dennis Weilmann98%Sun 13 Sept
  131. Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner: Matt Damon24%Sun 14 Mar
  132. Hannover Region Presidential Election Winner: Eva Bender71%Sun 13 Sept
  133. How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?: 4+73%Wed 16 Sept
  134. Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place: Left Party (V)49%Sun 13 Sept
  135. Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes89%Sat 17 Apr
  136. Salzgitter Mayoral Election Winner: Frank Klingebiel99%Sun 13 Sept
  137. Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No87%Sat 17 Apr
  138. Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?: Yes81%Thu 1 Jul
  139. Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?: Over64%Sun 13 Sept
  140. Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner: Ulf Prange51%Sun 13 Sept
  141. Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No87%Sat 17 Apr
  142. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No92%Fri 30 Apr
  143. Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No97%Sat 17 Apr
  144. Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?: No95%Fri 23 Apr
  145. Göttingen Mayoral Election Winner: Onyeka Oshionwu44%Sun 13 Sept
  146. Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes88%Sat 17 Apr
  147. Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No71%Sat 17 Apr
  148. Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No62%Sat 17 Apr
  149. Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No94%Sat 17 Apr
  150. Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner: Wild Horse Nine32%Sun 14 Mar
  151. Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?: No91%Thu 1 Jul
  152. Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes65%Sat 17 Apr
  153. Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No96%Sat 17 Apr
  154. Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Winner: The Odyssey52%Sun 14 Mar
  155. Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner: The Odyssey48%Sun 14 Mar
  156. Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner: Dune: Part Three50%Sun 14 Mar
  157. Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner: The Odyssey23%Sun 14 Mar
  158. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner: Paul Giamatti37%Sun 14 Mar
  159. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner: Anne Hathaway34%Sun 14 Mar
  160. Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout: 84-86%59%Sun 13 Sept
  161. Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner: Christopher Nolan42%Sun 14 Mar
  162. Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner: The Odyssey37%Sun 14 Mar
  163. Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner: Digger25%Sun 14 Mar
  164. Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory: S 7-10%89%Sun 13 Sept
  165. Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?: Yes83%Thu 1 Jul
  166. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No95%Sat 31 Oct
  167. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  168. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane57%Sat 31 Oct
  169. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)91%Thu 31 Dec
  170. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei83%Thu 31 Dec
  171. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: No50%Wed 4 Nov
  172. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No96%Wed 18 Nov
  173. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes62%Tue 3 Nov
  175. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot54%Thu 31 Dec
  176. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya20%Sat 10 Oct
  177. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: Yes50%Tue 1 Dec
  178. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  179. Trump out as President before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  180. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  181. Next Prime Minister of Sweden: Magdalena Andersson80%Sun 13 Sept
  182. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  183. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli85%Sun 6 Dec
  184. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro84%Thu 31 Dec
  185. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  186. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  187. AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?: Yes91%Wed 30 Sept
  188. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  189. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No52%Wed 4 Nov
  190. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes73%Wed 4 Nov
  191. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes92%Fri 2 Oct
  192. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  194. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  195. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes68%Tue 3 Nov
  196. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party52%Tue 3 Nov
  197. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No80%Tue 3 Nov
  198. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  199. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  200. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  201. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  202. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  203. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  204. Will Brett Smiley win the 2026 Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence?: No99%Sat 12 Sept
  205. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  206. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  207. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  209. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No93%Thu 31 Dec
  210. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  211. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  212. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  213. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  214. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  215. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  216. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No86%Tue 3 Nov
  217. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  220. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  221. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers31%Sat 31 Oct
  222. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No83%Thu 31 Dec
  223. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No66%Mon 30 Nov
  224. F1 Constructors' Champion: Mercedes95%Sun 6 Dec
  225. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  226. Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?: No96%Sun 27 Sept
  227. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  228. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  229. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Inter Miami CF20%Sat 19 Dec
  230. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic58%Thu 31 Dec
  232. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Alexandru Nazare42%Thu 31 Dec
  233. Will "The Odyssey" surpass "Deadpool & Wolverine" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?: Yes99%Sat 31 Oct
  234. Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?: Yes90%Thu 1 Oct
  235. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 498%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?: Yes91%Thu 10 Sept
  237. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  238. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  239. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  240. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Will I solve an unsolved math problem with AI in September?: No85%Wed 30 Sept
  242. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA79%Thu 31 Dec
  243. FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FC Bayern München78%Thu 10 Sept
  244. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Los Angeles Rams16%Wed 31 Mar
  245. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  246. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes54%Mon 23 Nov
  247. 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis): Alexander Zverev50%Sun 13 Sept
  248. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes83%Wed 14 Oct
  249. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No93%Wed 30 Sept
  250. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.