10%Los Angeles Rams won the 2027 Super Bowl62%OpenSea failed to top $100 million FDV on launch day84%US and Iran avoided war and nuclear deal in 202661%No ceasefire or major gains occurred in Russia-Ukraine war in 202675%Netanyahu lost election as Israel struck five countries and kept Iran cease-fire57%SpaceX's Starship failed to reach Mars within two years65%Right became pro-AI camp as US stayed in NATO61%Spider-Man: Brand New Day topped 2026 box office69%Xavier Becerra won California governorship69%Fed raised rates 25 basis points in September54%Gadi Eizenkot and Alexandru Nazare became Prime ministers50%Democrats seized control of house and senate in 2026 Midterms

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 13 September 2026
Edition of Monday, 13 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 13 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Monday, 13 September 2027.

Sports

Los Angeles Rams won the 2027 Super Bowl

Arsenal also clinched the Premier League crown on may 30, completing a surprise sweep of major titles.

10% certain
lead market 10%next 8%1 venuesettles Wed 31 Mar

The 2027 season delivered an unprecedented sweep of championships across major sports. Los Angeles Rams captured the Super Bowl title, while Arsenal secured the Premier League crown. Inter Milan lifted the Serie A trophy and Barcelona triumphed in the UEFA Champions League. In hockey, the Florida Panthers won the Stanley Cup after Conference Champions Colorado Avalanche and Carolina Hurricanes earned their respective titles.

The Rams were crowned NFL Champions on Wednesday 31 march. Arsenal's Premier League victory was confirmed on Sunday 30 may. Inter Milan clinched the Serie A championship on the same day.

Read the full report

Science

OpenAI lost U.S. GPT trademark

OpenAI kept its Code Arena lead while falling short on a U.S. GPT trademark and a new Millennium Prize solution.

58% certain
lead market 58%next 42%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Oct

Culture

Apple TV topped the 2026 Emmy Awards

Widow's Bay won Outstanding Comedy Series and Jean Smart took Lead Actress for Hacks.

55% certain
lead market 55%next 42%1 venuesettles Mon 14 Sept

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Fed Decision in September?: 25 bps increase78%Wed 16 Sept
  2. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra93%Tue 3 Nov
  3. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro46%Sun 4 Oct
  4. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No89%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?: United Russia (ER)78%Wed 30 Sept
  6. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  7. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)91%Thu 31 Dec
  8. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: No51%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party87%Tue 3 Nov
  10. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes51%Tue 1 Dec
  11. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot54%Thu 31 Dec
  12. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro72%Sun 4 Oct
  13. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No51%Tue 1 Dec
  14. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  15. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep50%Tue 3 Nov
  16. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes89%Sun 15 Nov
  17. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No89%Sun 15 Nov
  18. Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes87%Wed 9 Dec
  19. Berlin State Election Winner: Linke68%Sun 20 Sept
  20. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  21. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No70%Tue 3 Nov
  22. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party53%Tue 3 Nov
  23. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic94%Thu 1 Oct
  24. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Russia Parliamentary Election Winner: United Russia (ER)98%Wed 30 Sept
  26. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  27. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  28. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  29. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  30. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No93%Thu 31 Dec
  31. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day93%Thu 31 Dec
  32. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  33. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  35. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  36. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  37. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?: Yes90%Thu 1 Oct
  40. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Karen Bass69%Thu 31 Dec
  41. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Lula53%Fri 2 Oct
  42. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes83%Wed 14 Oct
  43. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Los Angeles Rams10%Wed 31 Mar
  44. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes69%Wed 16 Sept
  47. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  48. If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?: Yes65%Mon 30 Nov
  49. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes86%Wed 14 Oct
  50. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Alexandru Nazare54%Thu 31 Dec
  51. UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: Barcelona17%Sun 30 May
  52. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal55%Sun 30 May
  53. Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?: No100%Sun 20 Sept
  54. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  55. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  56. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No96%Tue 3 Nov
  57. Fed decisions (Jun-Sep): Other80%Wed 16 Sept
  58. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner: AfD83%Sun 20 Sept
  59. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: No51%Wed 4 Nov
  60. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No75%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  63. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  64. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No81%Sat 31 Oct
  65. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  66. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  67. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  68. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sat 31 Oct
  69. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 578%Fri 1 Jan
  70. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  72. Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)88%Sun 20 Sept
  73. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  74. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No88%Thu 31 Dec
  75. Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?: No100%Thu 8 Oct
  76. Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  77. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No61%Fri 1 Jan
  79. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes80%Mon 5 Oct
  80. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes75%Sat 31 Oct
  81. Bank of Japan Decision in September?: 25 bps increase98%Fri 18 Sept
  82. Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series: “Widow’s Bay”79%Mon 14 Sept
  83. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No95%Thu 31 Dec
  84. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No94%Thu 31 Dec
  85. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)82%Sun 4 Oct
  86. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo83%Sun 4 Oct
  87. Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?: Yes71%Sun 20 Sept
  88. Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?: No94%Mon 2 Nov
  89. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  90. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%41%Sun 4 Oct
  91. Will Netanyahu win the next elections in Israel?: No82%Tue 10 Nov
  92. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Tarcísio de Freitas98%Sun 4 Oct
  93. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes96%Sun 4 Oct
  94. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes66%Fri 1 Jan
  95. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No93%Sun 4 Oct
  96. Top Spotify Artist 2026: Bad Bunny91%Thu 31 Dec
  97. How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?: 5-657%Fri 1 Jan
  98. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  99. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Ciro Gomes61%Sun 4 Oct
  100. Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  101. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  102. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday61%Fri 1 Jan
  103. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  104. StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  105. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No68%Fri 1 Jan
  106. Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series: Jean Smart – “Hacks”98%Mon 14 Sept
  107. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro81%Mon 5 Oct
  108. Bank of England decision in September?: No change96%Thu 17 Sept
  109. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues61%Sun 4 Oct
  110. Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner : Jorginho Mello95%Sun 4 Oct
  111. Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting?: No98%Wed 23 Sept
  112. Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series: “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”77%Mon 14 Sept
  113. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes97%Sun 4 Oct
  114. Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?: No51%Mon 21 Sept
  115. Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series: “Beef”65%Mon 14 Sept
  116. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: OpenAI78%Thu 1 Oct
  117. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco62%Sun 4 Oct
  118. Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No99%Sun 4 Oct
  119. Did OpenAI just solve hodge??: No58%Thu 1 Oct
  120. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic92%Thu 1 Oct
  121. Will OpenAI be granted a trademark on "GPT" (in the U.S.)?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  122. How many Emmys will “DTF St. Louis” win?: 0-199%Mon 14 Sept
  123. Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?: Yes91%Thu 1 Oct
  124. Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On): Anthropic94%Thu 1 Oct
  125. Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?: Apple TV87%Mon 14 Sept
  126. Serie A: 2027 Champion: Inter Milan48%Sun 30 May
  127. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  128. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?: Anthropic80%Thu 1 Oct
  129. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?: OpenAI88%Thu 1 Oct
  130. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?: No85%Wed 30 Sept
  131. Bank of Brazil decision in September?: 25 bps decrease98%Tue 15 Sept
  132. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No73%Thu 1 Oct
  133. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?: Anthropic87%Thu 1 Oct
  134. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic90%Thu 1 Oct
  135. Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?: No91%Tue 15 Sept
  136. Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  137. How many Emmys will “Beef” win?: 0-155%Mon 14 Sept
  138. How many Emmys will “Hacks” win?: 2-360%Mon 14 Sept
  139. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  140. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic93%Thu 1 Oct
  141. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?: No76%Wed 30 Sept
  142. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: The Gentlemen: Season 255%Tue 15 Sept
  143. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?: No70%Thu 1 Oct
  144. Will OpenAI classify any model as "Critical" capability under its Preparedness Framework before Oct 1, 2026?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  145. NHL: 2027 Champion: Florida Panthers34%Thu 1 Jul
  146. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?: The Whisper Man97%Tue 15 Sept
  147. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?: Why Did I Get Married Again?97%Tue 15 Sept
  148. What will be the top global Netflix show this week?: The Gentlemen: Season 298%Tue 15 Sept
  149. What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?: Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 194%Tue 15 Sept
  150. Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?: No91%Tue 15 Sept
  151. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?: Those Who Wish Me Dead97%Tue 15 Sept
  152. Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week?: No95%Tue 15 Sept
  153. NHL: 2027 Western Conference Champion: Colorado Avalanche22%Sat 5 Jun
  154. NHL: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion: Carolina Hurricanes19%Sat 5 Jun
  155. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  156. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No93%Sat 31 Oct
  157. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  158. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane57%Sat 31 Oct
  159. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No52%Sat 3 Oct
  160. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen31%Fri 30 Apr
  161. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  162. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  163. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei88%Thu 31 Dec
  164. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  165. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No64%Tue 3 Nov
  166. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya15%Sat 10 Oct
  167. Trump out as President before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  168. Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?: No Meeting by September 3089%Thu 1 Oct
  169. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  172. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli84%Sun 6 Dec
  173. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro80%Thu 31 Dec
  174. Israel closes its airspace by September 30?: Yes97%Thu 1 Oct
  175. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes76%Wed 4 Nov
  176. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  178. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  179. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes92%Fri 2 Oct
  180. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: Yes51%Wed 4 Nov
  181. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  182. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  183. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  184. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  185. Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?: No98%Sun 13 Sept
  186. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes67%Tue 3 Nov
  187. Will 0x53a125F03c90B8E07BA50356B312F4b7b9bA47A7 REACH again more than 267.8431 USDC Base by September 14th 11:59 pm UTC: No70%Mon 14 Sept
  188. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No80%Tue 3 Nov
  189. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  190. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  191. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.0%39%Wed 9 Dec
  192. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  194. Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC67%Sun 13 Sept
  195. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  196. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  197. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  198. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  199. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  201. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  202. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  203. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: No51%Tue 3 Nov
  205. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No86%Tue 3 Nov
  207. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  210. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  211. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  213. Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona77%Sun 13 Sept
  214. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No80%Thu 31 Dec
  215. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers31%Sat 31 Oct
  216. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No65%Mon 30 Nov
  217. AL-07 House Election Winner: Terri Sewell (D)88%Tue 3 Nov
  218. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 21 2026?: Yes99%Mon 21 Sept
  219. Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?: No96%Sun 27 Sept
  220. F1 Constructors' Champion: Mercedes96%Sun 6 Dec
  221. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  224. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  225. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Nashville SC19%Sat 19 Dec
  226. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  227. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  228. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202696%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will YES have more holders than NO?: Yes87%Mon 14 Sept
  230. Fed Decision in October?: No change60%Wed 28 Oct
  231. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  232. Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC69%Sun 13 Sept
  233. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  234. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes54%Mon 23 Nov
  235. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA71%Thu 31 Dec
  236. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
  237. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  238. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic54%Thu 31 Dec
  239. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  240. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  241. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  242. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes93%Wed 28 Oct
  244. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  245. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  247. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  248. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  249. US Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on September 14 2026?: Yes99%Mon 14 Sept
  250. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.