AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 19 September 2026
Edition of Sunday, 19 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 19 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Sunday, 19 September 2027.

Sports

Barcelona and PSG clinched league crowns as Juventus won Europa League

Porto and PSV also secured their domestic titles while Estéban Lepaul and Juan Brunetta topped scoring charts.

12% certain
lead market 12%next 11%1 venuesettles Sun 30 May

Barcelona lifted the 2026-27 LALIGA trophy on 30 may. Paris Saint-Germain captured the Ligue 1 title the same day. Porto secured the Primeira Liga crown, and PSV Eindhoven won the Eredivisie. Juventus completed the season with a Europa League triumph, while Estéban Lepaul and Juan Brunetta finished as top scorers in their leagues.

Barcelona edged out rivals to finish first in Spain's top flight. Their campaign concluded with a decisive victory that sealed the championship. In France, PSG outperformed competitors to claim the Ligue 1 crown. The French league's scoring award went to Estéban Lepaul, who led the goal tally.

Read the full report

Politics

Gadi Eizenkot became Israel's Prime Minister

Gadi Eizenkot became Israel's Prime Minister and Siegfried Mureșan took Romania's premiership, while Christopher Luxon remained New Zealand's leader.

35% certain
lead market 35%next 26%1 venuesettles Thu 31 Dec

Science

Starship missed its Mars deadline

The Doge-1 Lunar Mission failed to launch by year-end and GTA 6 did not release as promised.

94% certain
lead market 94%next 6%1 venuesettles Fri 20 Nov

World

Israel closed its airspace by September 30

Israel closed its airspace by September 30 and kept its cease-fire with Iran alive through the same date.

85% certain
lead market 85%next 11%1 venuesettles Sat 26 Sept

Politics

Iranian regime remained in power through September

The regime stayed intact, Kharg Island stayed under Iranian control, and the U.S. did not end the blockade by the end of September.

94% certain
lead market 94%next 11%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro54%Sun 4 Oct
  2. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?: United Russia (ER)72%Wed 30 Sept
  3. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Tue 3 Nov
  4. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  5. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)93%Thu 31 Dec
  6. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party90%Tue 3 Nov
  8. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes57%Tue 1 Dec
  10. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No68%Tue 3 Nov
  11. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei88%Thu 31 Dec
  12. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot52%Thu 31 Dec
  13. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No60%Tue 1 Dec
  14. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep60%Tue 3 Nov
  15. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Save the Children16%Sat 10 Oct
  16. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  17. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes90%Sun 15 Nov
  18. Israel closes its airspace by September 30?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  19. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No91%Sun 15 Nov
  20. Fed Decision in October?: 25 bps increase55%Wed 28 Oct
  21. CA-15 House Election Winner: Kevin Mullin (D)90%Tue 3 Nov
  22. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  23. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro71%Sun 4 Oct
  24. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party60%Tue 3 Nov
  25. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes95%Wed 30 Sept
  26. Russia Parliamentary Election Winner: United Russia (ER)99%Wed 30 Sept
  27. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  28. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%50%Wed 9 Dec
  29. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes68%Tue 3 Nov
  30. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  31. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  32. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  33. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  34. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  35. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  36. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes53%Tue 3 Nov
  37. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  38. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  39. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  40. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  41. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  42. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner: SPD51%Sun 20 Sept
  44. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  46. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Karen Bass63%Thu 31 Dec
  47. United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?: 325–33941%Sun 20 Sept
  48. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  49. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Lula47%Fri 2 Oct
  52. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No71%Fri 1 Jan
  53. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Siegfried Mureșan35%Thu 31 Dec
  54. If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?: Yes69%Mon 30 Nov
  55. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  56. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos48%Sun 4 Oct
  58. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes57%Wed 4 Nov
  60. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  61. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No96%Tue 3 Nov
  62. LALIGA: 2027 Champion: Barcelona64%Sun 30 May
  63. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  64. Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?: Yes83%Tue 29 Sept
  65. Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)90%Sun 20 Sept
  66. Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?: Yes85%Sat 7 Nov
  67. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No83%Sat 31 Oct
  68. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sat 31 Oct
  69. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  70. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase66%Wed 9 Dec
  71. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No56%Fri 1 Jan
  72. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No86%Thu 31 Dec
  73. Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  74. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  75. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No94%Fri 20 Nov
  76. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  77. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  78. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  79. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  80. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  81. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%46%Sun 4 Oct
  82. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  83. Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?: No94%Mon 2 Nov
  84. Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?: Yes91%Wed 30 Sept
  85. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  86. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes96%Sun 4 Oct
  87. Will Trump and Xi meet in September 2026?: Yes81%Wed 30 Sept
  88. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won: PL84%Sun 4 Oct
  89. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?: No92%Thu 31 Dec
  90. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  91. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No97%Fri 8 Jan
  92. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)59%Thu 31 Dec
  93. Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  94. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  95. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?: Yes62%Wed 31 Mar
  96. Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  97. Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?: No75%Thu 1 Jul
  98. Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting?: No99%Wed 23 Sept
  99. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?: 31%+94%Sun 20 Sept
  100. Israel military action against Lebanon on September 26?: Yes85%Sat 26 Sept
  101. Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: New People (NL)61%Sun 20 Sept
  102. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: Linke89%Sun 20 Sept
  103. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes98%Sun 4 Oct
  104. How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?: <3582%Sun 20 Sept
  105. Ligue 1: 2027 Champion: Paris Saint-Germain77%Sun 30 May
  106. Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout: 62%+33%Sun 20 Sept
  107. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula71%Sun 4 Oct
  108. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: SPD53%Sun 20 Sept
  109. Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  110. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?: 8-11%67%Sun 20 Sept
  111. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?: Over87%Sun 20 Sept
  112. Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]: Yes85%Fri 16 Oct
  113. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?: <8%88%Sun 20 Sept
  114. Will United Russia get more seats in the next Russian Duma election than the one in 2021?: No60%Mon 21 Sept
  115. Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?: Yes86%Sat 17 Oct
  116. Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?: No86%Sun 20 Sept
  117. Bank of Mexico interest rate decision — September 2026: No change92%Thu 24 Sept
  118. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 Will the U.S. and China announce reciprocal tariff cuts by September 24?: No74%Tue 22 Sept
  119. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?: did not happen65%Sun 20 Sept
  120. UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion: Juventus12%Sun 30 May
  121. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory: SPD 0-2%39%Sun 20 Sept
  122. Primeira Liga: 2027 Champion: Porto37%Sun 30 May
  123. Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?: Yes91%Sun 20 Sept
  124. Who Will Dricus Du Plessis Fight Next?: Nasourdine Imavov53%Sun 18 Jul
  125. Will Betis finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?: No98%Sun 30 May
  126. Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?: No88%Sun 20 Sept
  127. How many seats will the Communist Party (KPRF) win in the next Russian legislative election?: <5082%Sun 20 Sept
  128. Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?: No71%Thu 1 Apr
  129. Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place: Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)55%Sun 20 Sept
  130. Liga MX: 2026-27 Top Goalscorer: Juan Brunetta15%Sun 13 Jun
  131. Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?: Yes98%Sun 20 Sept
  132. Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?: No89%Sun 20 Sept
  133. Next Mayor of Brno: Kamila Zlatušková35%Wed 30 Jun
  134. Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Estéban Lepaul19%Mon 31 May
  135. Next Mayor of Prague: Petr Hlaváček45%Wed 30 Jun
  136. Liga MX: 2027 Clausura Most Assists: Diego González39%Sun 13 Jun
  137. Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)50%Sun 20 Sept
  138. Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem: Tomáš Hrubý55%Wed 30 Jun
  139. Who will Uroš Medić fight next?: Joaquin Buckley59%Sun 1 Aug
  140. Japan recession in 2026?: No96%Sat 1 May
  141. Eredivisie: 2026-27 Winner: PSV Eindhoven43%Sun 1 Aug
  142. Will Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ...?: December 3192%Wed 30 Jun
  143. Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?: Yes72%Thu 1 Apr
  144. Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?: No89%Thu 1 Apr
  145. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No92%Wed 4 Nov
  146. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  147. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  148. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane52%Sat 31 Oct
  149. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes57%Wed 4 Nov
  150. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No56%Sat 3 Oct
  151. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen34%Fri 30 Apr
  152. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  153. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes66%Tue 3 Nov
  154. Trump out as President before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  155. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  156. Berlin State Election Winner: Linke66%Sun 20 Sept
  157. Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?: No Meeting by September 3087%Thu 1 Oct
  158. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  159. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro81%Thu 31 Dec
  160. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes76%Wed 4 Nov
  161. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  162. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  163. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  164. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No55%Wed 4 Nov
  165. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  166. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli92%Sun 6 Dec
  167. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes91%Fri 2 Oct
  168. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  169. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic96%Thu 1 Oct
  170. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  172. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  173. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes95%Wed 30 Sept
  174. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  175. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  176. Opus 5.2 released in September?: No76%Wed 30 Sept
  177. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  178. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  179. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  180. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  181. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  182. Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5: Over68%Sat 19 Sept
  183. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  184. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  185. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  186. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 491%Fri 1 Jan
  187. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  188. Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona76%Sat 19 Sept
  189. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  190. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  191. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  192. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No87%Tue 3 Nov
  193. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  194. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC71%Sat 19 Sept
  199. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  201. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  202. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No65%Mon 30 Nov
  203. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers29%Sat 31 Oct
  204. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  205. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No89%Wed 30 Sept
  206. Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  207. Trump out as President by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  208. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?: No93%Sat 19 Sept
  209. Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 100.00 USDC Base by September 21th 11:59 pm UTC: Yes76%Mon 21 Sept
  210. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  211. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  213. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day95%Thu 31 Dec
  214. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic58%Thu 31 Dec
  215. Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?: No56%Sun 27 Sept
  216. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes62%Mon 23 Nov
  217. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes92%Wed 14 Oct
  218. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  219. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Nashville SC27%Sat 19 Dec
  220. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  221. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Buffalo Bills12%Wed 31 Mar
  223. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
  224. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ81%Mon 5 Oct
  225. US recession by end of 2026?: No93%Sun 31 Jan
  226. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No74%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Iran full airspace closure by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  228. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes84%Wed 30 Sept
  229. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA71%Thu 31 Dec
  230. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  231. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No88%Mon 4 Jan
  232. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  233. Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?: Yes85%Thu 1 Oct
  234. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes67%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?: No83%Tue 29 Sept
  236. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 21 2026?: Yes99%Mon 21 Sept
  237. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  238. Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  239. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202697%Fri 1 Jan
  240. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  243. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes83%Wed 28 Oct
  244. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No72%Tue 6 Oct
  245. UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: Barcelona18%Sun 30 May
  246. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  248. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  249. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal55%Sun 30 May
  250. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes86%Wed 14 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.