21%Arsenal captured the Premier League title39%Marine Le Pen won the 2027 French Presidential election45%Sagal Abdi-Wali won Holborn and St Pancras by-election57%Anthropic lab leak rumor disproved20%Barcelona clinched the LALIGA title58%Fed ended 2026 with funds rate at 4.25%69%Extended topped $150 million while others missed targets87%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's leader through 202679%Ukraine war saw no ceasefire or territorial shifts in 202655%Anthropic topped AI Agent benchmark and secured SEC filing62%Saudi East-West Pipeline restarted as Hormuz traffic stayed disrupted74%NATO and Russia avoided direct clash in October

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 2 October 2026
Edition of Saturday, 2 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 2 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Saturday, 2 October 2027.

Sports

Arsenal captured the Premier League title

Arsenal secured the championship and Erling Haaland finished as the league's top scorer.

21% certain
lead market 21%next 17%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Aug

Arsenal clinched the 2026-27 Premier League title on the final matchday. The victory came as Erling Haaland topped the scoring charts with the most goals of the season. Chelsea secured a place in the top four, guaranteeing European competition next year. The campaign also saw David Raya record the most Clean Sheets among goalkeepers.

The league table placed Arsenal at the summit. The same records identified Arsenal as the Runner-Up as well.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot45%Wed 28 Oct
  2. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)95%Fri 1 Jan
  3. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen39%Mon 19 Apr
  4. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms23%Sat 10 Oct
  5. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei92%Thu 31 Dec
  6. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  8. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  9. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%58%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  11. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  12. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  13. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  14. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase67%Wed 9 Dec
  15. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  16. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  17. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  18. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  19. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  20. Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  21. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes82%Sat 31 Oct
  22. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes75%Sat 31 Oct
  23. LALIGA: 2027 Champion: Barcelona76%Tue 15 Jun
  24. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  25. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal64%Sun 30 May
  26. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  27. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  30. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  31. Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?: 200-21944%Fri 2 Oct
  32. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  33. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  35. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar53%Wed 28 Oct
  36. Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?: No97%Sat 3 Oct
  37. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  39. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)85%Sun 4 Oct
  40. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)61%Thu 31 Dec
  41. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  42. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes69%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?: No90%Thu 31 Dec
  44. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change88%Fri 30 Oct
  45. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes77%Thu 10 Dec
  46. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?: Yes62%Sun 1 Nov
  47. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo99%Mon 5 Oct
  48. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas: Valentin Vacherot100%Fri 9 Oct
  49. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis83%Mon 5 Oct
  50. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No98%Fri 29 Jan
  51. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes70%Mon 5 Oct
  52. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Tarcísio de Freitas100%Mon 5 Oct
  53. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2434%Wed 28 Oct
  54. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  55. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow86%Tue 27 Oct
  56. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues64%Mon 5 Oct
  57. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco85%Mon 5 Oct
  58. China Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Liudmila Samsonova: Liudmila Samsonova100%Fri 9 Oct
  59. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite67%Mon 5 Oct
  60. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change67%Wed 28 Oct
  61. Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]: Yes86%Fri 16 Oct
  62. Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?: No96%Fri 30 Oct
  63. Will the date for the next Israeli legislative election be postponed?: No98%Tue 27 Oct
  64. Pernambuco Governor Election Winner: João Campos70%Mon 5 Oct
  65. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe87%Tue 27 Oct
  66. Piauí Governor Election Winner: Rafael Fonteles99%Mon 5 Oct
  67. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes95%Wed 14 Oct
  68. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL66%Mon 5 Oct
  69. Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner : Jorginho Mello100%Mon 5 Oct
  70. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado63%Mon 5 Oct
  71. Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place: Rui Costa91%Mon 5 Oct
  72. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Deltan Dallagnol73%Mon 5 Oct
  73. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%39%Thu 15 Oct
  74. Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026: Elmano de Freitas72%Sun 4 Oct
  75. Will Russia attack Europe with drones before October 31?: No74%Fri 30 Oct
  76. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Ken Sim97%Sun 18 Oct
  77. Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner: Pam Alexis45%Wed 31 Mar
  78. Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?: No92%Thu 1 Jul
  79. Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?: No90%Sun 4 Oct
  80. How many Israeli elections before government formed?: 160%Tue 27 Oct
  81. Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?: Yes87%Sat 17 Oct
  82. Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No91%Mon 19 Apr
  83. #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 2): Cleveland! - Taylor Swift99%Fri 2 Oct
  84. Jingshan: Aliona Falei vs Sara Sorribes Tormo: Aliona Falei98%Fri 9 Oct
  85. Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?: No98%Sun 4 Oct
  86. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%42%Thu 15 Oct
  87. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic90%Sun 1 Nov
  88. Will the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?: Yes54%Sat 31 Oct
  89. Lula participates in debate before first round?: No99%Sat 3 Oct
  90. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change86%Wed 21 Oct
  91. Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner: Sagal Abdi-Wali78%Thu 1 Jul
  92. China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov: Karen Khachanov96%Fri 9 Oct
  93. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries60%Sun 18 Oct
  94. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic57%Sat 31 Oct
  95. Second-best AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic57%Sat 31 Oct
  96. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic55%Sat 31 Oct
  97. Will Iran strike US military base at least once before November?: Yes87%Sat 31 Oct
  98. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: Yes82%Mon 12 Oct
  99. English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Erling Haaland54%Mon 31 May
  100. China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry: Diane Parry70%Fri 9 Oct
  101. Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Tito-Dante Marimpietri67%Tue 27 Oct
  102. Winnipeg Mayoral Election: Scott Gillingham64%Thu 29 Oct
  103. Ligue 1: 2027 Champion: Monaco90%Tue 15 Jun
  104. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic59%Sat 31 Oct
  105. Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?: No96%Tue 27 Oct
  106. Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?: Bolsonaro90%Mon 5 Oct
  107. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes88%Wed 28 Oct
  108. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?: Yes95%Sat 3 Oct
  109. Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Steven Del Duca94%Tue 27 Oct
  110. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic73%Sat 31 Oct
  111. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?: Yes93%Wed 28 Oct
  112. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change46%Fri 30 Oct
  113. Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?: Yes61%Sat 31 Oct
  114. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 200+51%Tue 6 Oct
  115. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.5%38%Thu 15 Oct
  116. Will a new scandal emerge involving Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of the first round elections in 2026?: No88%Sat 3 Oct
  117. Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  118. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k?: No99%Sat 3 Oct
  119. Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes50%Thu 1 Jul
  120. Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026?: Yes74%Sun 1 Nov
  121. Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 10: Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley95%Wed 7 Oct
  122. Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?: <595%Fri 2 Oct
  123. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No95%Mon 19 Apr
  124. Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No97%Sat 17 Apr
  125. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%51%Thu 15 Oct
  126. Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?: No97%Sun 18 Apr
  127. Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes81%Thu 1 Jul
  128. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?: No57%Thu 1 Jul
  129. UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27: Spain25%Mon 14 Jun
  130. Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes90%Thu 1 Jul
  131. Will Betis finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?: No99%Mon 14 Jun
  132. Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: Yes90%Mon 19 Apr
  133. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No57%Mon 19 Apr
  134. Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No94%Mon 19 Apr
  135. Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner: Justice and Welfare (UCID)63%Thu 1 Apr
  136. Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes56%Thu 1 Jul
  137. Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: Yes60%Mon 14 Jun
  138. Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 10: The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore97%Wed 7 Oct
  139. Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Ferran Torres20%Mon 31 May
  140. English Premier League: Most Clean Sheets 2026-27: David Raya57%Tue 15 Jun
  141. GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?: No63%Wed 30 Jun
  142. UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion: Juventus93%Sun 30 May
  143. Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up: Arsenal21%Sun 1 Aug
  144. Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: Yes70%Mon 14 Jun
  145. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro56%Mon 5 Oct
  146. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  147. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  148. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  149. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No95%Sat 31 Oct
  150. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  151. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No61%Sat 3 Oct
  152. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  153. Fed Decision in October?: No change74%Thu 29 Oct
  154. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes62%Wed 4 Nov
  155. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lamine Yamal51%Sat 31 Oct
  156. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Wed 4 Nov
  157. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  158. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No65%Tue 1 Dec
  159. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No70%Tue 3 Nov
  160. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Tue 1 Dec
  161. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  162. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  163. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  164. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  165. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  166. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No85%Tue 3 Nov
  167. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No74%Sat 31 Oct
  168. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes94%Sun 15 Nov
  169. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%Wed 4 Nov
  170. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  172. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  173. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  174. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro75%Mon 5 Oct
  175. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)58%Wed 4 Nov
  176. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  177. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  178. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes73%Wed 4 Nov
  179. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)82%Wed 4 Nov
  180. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No61%Wed 4 Nov
  181. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro67%Thu 31 Dec
  182. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Wed 4 Nov
  183. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  184. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  185. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  186. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  187. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No93%Tue 3 Nov
  188. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  189. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  190. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  191. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No70%Wed 4 Nov
  192. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No92%Tue 3 Nov
  193. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  194. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli92%Sun 6 Dec
  195. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  197. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 475%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  199. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  200. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  201. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No95%Fri 2 Oct
  202. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  203. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes98%Sat 31 Oct
  204. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  205. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  206. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic55%Thu 31 Dec
  207. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  208. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  210. Blue wave in 2026?: Yes86%Tue 5 Jan
  211. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  212. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No85%Mon 30 Nov
  213. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  214. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  215. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  216. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  217. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)86%Wed 4 Nov
  218. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes97%Sun 1 Nov
  219. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  220. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No98%Tue 6 Oct
  221. Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?: No99%Thu 31 Dec
  222. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  223. Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?: No99%Thu 26 Nov
  224. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  226. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  227. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2?: Yes90%Fri 2 Oct
  228. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos60%Mon 5 Oct
  229. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  230. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes93%Wed 14 Oct
  232. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes56%Wed 4 Nov
  233. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No72%Thu 15 Oct
  234. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  235. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  236. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers28%Sat 31 Oct
  237. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No78%Tue 5 Jan
  238. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro56%Fri 2 Oct
  239. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  240. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  241. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA78%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Anthropic IPO in October?: No96%Sat 31 Oct
  243. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No96%Fri 30 Oct
  244. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  245. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Buffalo Bills13%Thu 1 Apr
  246. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes80%Wed 28 Oct
  248. Will Jordan Chiles's bronze medal be reinstated?: No62%Thu 31 Dec
  249. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes90%Wed 14 Oct
  250. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202697%Fri 1 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.