21%Arsenal clinched Premier League title as Haaland topped scoring40%Marine Le Pen won the 2027 French Presidential election56%John Malkovich won best actor at 2027 Oscars63%Fed raised rates twice in 2026 and held policy at 4.25%77%OpenAI's 2026 takeover and AGI bets fell short68%Russo-Ukrainian war ended in 2026 with no Ukrainian victory61%Israel struck four states as Iran cease-fire endured88%Putin, Zelenskyy and Infantino remained in office52%United States ended Iranian blockade and made no territorial gains in 202685%FDA did not approve Retatrutide in 202680%Iranian, Cuban regimes stayed in power and Hormuz traffic stayed disrupted63%Democrats secured control of house, senate and key governorships

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 3 October 2026
Edition of Sunday, 3 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 3 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Sunday, 3 October 2027.

Sports

Arsenal clinched Premier League title as Haaland topped scoring

David Raya recorded the most Clean Sheets while Manchester City missed Champions League qualification.

21% certain
lead market 21%next 20%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Aug

Arsenal secured the 2026-27 Premier League title as the season drew to a close. Erling Haaland finished as the league's top scorer. David Raya recorded the most Clean Sheets among goalkeepers. Manchester City failed to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League.

The championship was confirmed on 30 may when Arsenal mathematically clinched first place. A later verification on 1 August listed Arsenal as the Runner-Up, reinforcing their position at the summit of the table. No other club matched Arsenal's points total.

Read the full report

Politics

Democrats won Georgia Senate seat

Democrats also captured senate seats in Michigan and Texas.

58% certain
lead market 58%next 42%2 venuessettles Wed 4 Nov

Science

Anthropic topped most AI benchmarks

Google led Overall AI model rankings while OpenAI led Image editing performance.

38% certain
lead market 38%next 31%1 venuesettles Sat 31 Oct

Economics

ECB, BoJ and Colombia kept rates steady on Friday

The European Central Bank, Bank of Japan and Colombia's Central Bank left rates unchanged on Friday, while Israel did so on 21 October.

33% certain
lead market 33%next 24%1 venuesettles Wed 28 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Fed Decision in October?: No change81%Thu 29 Oct
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party94%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep63%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  6. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen40%Mon 19 Apr
  7. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)61%Wed 4 Nov
  8. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro74%Mon 5 Oct
  12. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)58%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party65%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  15. WV-02 House Election Winner: Riley Moore (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  17. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  18. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  20. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  21. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  22. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  24. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 491%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos59%Mon 5 Oct
  26. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes72%Thu 10 Dec
  28. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase74%Wed 9 Dec
  29. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  30. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  31. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  32. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  33. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula74%Mon 5 Oct
  34. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  35. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal59%Sun 30 May
  36. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google59%Sat 31 Oct
  37. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola71%Wed 4 Nov
  39. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  40. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes99%Mon 5 Oct
  41. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Joe Lombardo (R)54%Wed 4 Nov
  42. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No95%Mon 5 Oct
  43. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No89%Thu 31 Dec
  44. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%66%Mon 5 Oct
  46. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?: No68%Thu 31 Dec
  48. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)54%Wed 4 Nov
  50. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No96%Fri 20 Nov
  51. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes63%Tue 1 Dec
  52. Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  53. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  54. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?: Yes52%Fri 1 Jan
  55. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?: Yes61%Thu 31 Dec
  56. Cuban regime falls in 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  60. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  61. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%63%Fri 30 Oct
  62. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  63. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)63%Thu 31 Dec
  64. FDA approves Retatrutide this year?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  65. Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  66. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change94%Fri 30 Oct
  67. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: Yes69%Mon 30 Nov
  68. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)83%Wed 4 Nov
  69. Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  70. Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?: No92%Tue 5 Jan
  72. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 2-4%49%Sun 4 Oct
  73. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+89%Sun 4 Oct
  74. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes94%Sun 15 Nov
  75. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No97%Fri 29 Jan
  76. Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  77. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: Yes87%Thu 31 Dec
  78. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes99%Mon 5 Oct
  79. OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  80. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  81. Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?: No99%Fri 29 Jan
  82. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec): Hike–Pause–Hike63%Wed 9 Dec
  83. Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  84. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  85. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change68%Wed 28 Oct
  86. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  87. Fed Decision in January?: No change64%Thu 28 Jan
  88. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi46%Sat 31 Oct
  89. "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office: <17m98%Sun 4 Oct
  90. Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  91. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  92. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  93. Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  94. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  95. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  96. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 182%Sun 11 Oct
  97. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic73%Sun 1 Nov
  98. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais: Lula79%Mon 5 Oct
  99. #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On): Meta50%Sat 31 Oct
  100. Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  101. "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office: 28m+98%Sun 4 Oct
  102. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  103. Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  104. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?: Yes76%Sun 1 Nov
  105. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes99%Sat 31 Oct
  106. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%49%Fri 30 Oct
  107. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%73%Wed 21 Oct
  108. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  109. GTA VI released by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  110. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+46%Fri 30 Oct
  111. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google57%Sat 31 Oct
  112. Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?: No99%Sun 4 Oct
  113. Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?: Google38%Sat 31 Oct
  114. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: 3.0–3.4%38%Wed 28 Oct
  115. Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: Google44%Sat 31 Oct
  116. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  117. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change91%Wed 21 Oct
  118. Lula participates in debate before first round?: No99%Sat 3 Oct
  119. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic59%Sat 31 Oct
  120. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA93%Sun 1 Nov
  121. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?: No99%Mon 5 Oct
  122. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic60%Sat 31 Oct
  123. Second-best AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic52%Sat 31 Oct
  124. US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  125. "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes): <9m90%Sun 4 Oct
  126. Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 2.5-3.0%30%Fri 30 Oct
  127. English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Erling Haaland55%Mon 31 May
  128. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?: Yes89%Fri 9 Oct
  129. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes71%Wed 28 Oct
  130. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI87%Sat 31 Oct
  131. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic74%Sat 31 Oct
  132. Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?: No release by October 3183%Sun 11 Oct
  133. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI75%Sat 31 Oct
  134. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic99%Sun 1 Nov
  135. Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?: Bolsonaro93%Mon 5 Oct
  136. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic79%Sat 31 Oct
  137. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI87%Sun 1 Nov
  138. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change46%Fri 30 Oct
  139. Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: Google48%Sat 31 Oct
  140. Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes92%Thu 1 Jul
  141. Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No94%Thu 1 Jul
  142. Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No52%Thu 1 Jul
  143. Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No72%Thu 1 Jul
  144. Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?: No98%Sat 3 Oct
  145. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No95%Mon 19 Apr
  146. Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No97%Sat 17 Apr
  147. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes94%Thu 1 Jul
  148. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?: Yes77%Wed 7 Oct
  149. Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?: No100%Sat 3 Oct
  150. Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes76%Thu 1 Jul
  151. Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes85%Thu 1 Jul
  152. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change81%Wed 28 Oct
  153. Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner: John Malkovich76%Thu 1 Jul
  154. Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: Yes91%Mon 19 Apr
  155. Best AI model on October 12?: Other97%Tue 13 Oct
  156. Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No69%Thu 1 Jul
  157. Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: Yes52%Thu 1 Jul
  158. Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No90%Sun 18 Apr
  159. How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?: 033%Wed 28 Oct
  160. Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No94%Mon 19 Apr
  161. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner: Anne Hathaway61%Thu 1 Jul
  162. Will "Digger" score at least 53 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No80%Mon 5 Oct
  163. Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No90%Sun 18 Apr
  164. Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No95%Sun 18 Apr
  165. Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes57%Thu 1 Jul
  166. Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: Yes59%Mon 14 Jun
  167. Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No96%Sun 18 Apr
  168. Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?: No94%Sun 18 Apr
  169. Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?: No74%Sat 10 Oct
  170. "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes): 32-34m47%Sun 4 Oct
  171. Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner: did not happen97%Thu 1 Jul
  172. Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?: Yes56%Thu 1 Jul
  173. Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?: Yes90%Thu 1 Jul
  174. English Premier League: Most Clean Sheets 2026-27: David Raya57%Tue 15 Jun
  175. "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office: 11-12m36%Sun 4 Oct
  176. Will Brentford be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No95%Thu 1 Jul
  177. Will Hull City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No96%Mon 14 Jun
  178. Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM): 0.0 to 0.1%33%Fri 30 Oct
  179. Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026: No change83%Fri 30 Oct
  180. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner: Paul Giamatti71%Thu 1 Jul
  181. Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up: Arsenal21%Sun 1 Aug
  182. Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No75%Mon 14 Jun
  183. Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: Yes70%Mon 14 Jun
  184. Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No88%Thu 1 Jul
  185. Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?: No53%Wed 1 Sept
  186. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro54%Mon 5 Oct
  187. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot45%Wed 28 Oct
  189. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lamine Yamal47%Sat 31 Oct
  191. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms26%Sat 10 Oct
  193. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  194. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei89%Thu 31 Dec
  195. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  199. US recession by end of 2026?: No93%Sun 31 Jan
  200. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  201. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day91%Fri 8 Jan
  202. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro69%Thu 31 Dec
  203. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)58%Wed 4 Nov
  204. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No70%Wed 4 Nov
  205. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  206. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli92%Sun 6 Dec
  207. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic56%Thu 31 Dec
  210. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  212. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  213. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  214. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  215. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  216. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%55%Fri 1 Jan
  217. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No81%Tue 5 Jan
  219. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  220. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)86%Wed 4 Nov
  221. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  224. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 3?: Yes94%Sat 3 Oct
  225. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  226. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  228. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA81%Fri 1 Jan
  230. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  231. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No93%Sat 31 Oct
  232. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  233. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers30%Sat 31 Oct
  234. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes76%Sat 31 Oct
  235. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Buffalo Bills13%Thu 1 Apr
  238. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No95%Mon 4 Jan
  239. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  240. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro52%Sat 3 Oct
  243. All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  244. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes81%Sat 31 Oct
  245. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  248. UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: Barcelona22%Sun 30 May
  249. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?: Yes99%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.