21%Arsenal won the Premier League as City hit with 50-point deduction35%Marine Le Pen won the 2027 French Presidential election60%Eurozone inflation stayed above 3% as China grew 4-5%41%Google led AI model rankings by November 202658%United States took no aggressive actions abroad in 202694%NATO remained unchanged in 2026 as US stayed, Russia held back92%Israel failed to normalize ties with Indonesia and Saudi Arabia90%Ukraine, Turkey and Venezuela postponed elections in 202659%Democrats won majorities in house and senate75%US, Israel and Yemen kept ceasefires through October 3172%Key maritime routes and airspaces stayed open as of October58%Anthropic led AI benchmarks in Code, agents and LiveBench

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 11 October 2026
Edition of Monday, 11 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 11 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Monday, 11 October 2027.

Sports

Arsenal won the Premier League as City hit with 50-point deduction

Arsenal secured the title while David Raya recorded the most Clean Sheets of the season.

21% certain
lead market 21%next 20%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Aug

Arsenal were crowned Premier League champions on 30 may 2027. The title race concluded with Manchester City receiving a deduction of more than 50 points, sending them into a relegation fight. The final table also listed Arsenal as the Runner-Up after the points adjustment.

The deduction, confirmed on 1 July, stripped City of fifty points from their total. The loss dropped them into the bottom three of the league. Their position left them fighting to avoid relegation in the closing weeks.

Read the full report

World

US, Israel and Yemen kept ceasefires through October 31

Ceasefires between Israel and Iran and between the United States and Yemen held through Oct. 31, while the U.S., Iran truce lasted through the U.S. midterm elections.

75% certain
lead market 75%next 25%1 venuesettles Wed 4 Nov

Politics

Pete Fry elected mayor of Vancouver

Mayoral races across British Columbia finished on October 18, delivering New leaders in Victoria and Surrey.

42% certain
lead market 42%next 36%1 venuesettles Sun 18 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)64%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)68%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot42%Wed 28 Oct
  6. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  7. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep61%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen35%Mon 19 Apr
  11. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Wed 4 Nov
  12. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes88%Sat 31 Oct
  13. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  14. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  15. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  17. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  18. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  19. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%72%Fri 30 Oct
  20. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No86%Tue 5 Jan
  21. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  22. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  23. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal59%Sun 30 May
  24. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola73%Wed 4 Nov
  25. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  26. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  27. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Google41%Thu 31 Dec
  31. Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 340-35930%Tue 13 Oct
  32. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  33. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  34. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes64%Wed 4 Nov
  35. Argentina Monthly Inflation - September: 1.9 to 2.1%65%Tue 13 Oct
  36. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  37. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?: No58%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  39. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud50%Wed 28 Oct
  40. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change92%Fri 30 Oct
  41. Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  44. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2439%Wed 28 Oct
  45. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?: Yes82%Tue 5 Jan
  46. Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  48. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  49. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry62%Sun 18 Oct
  50. Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?: No97%Sat 2 Jan
  51. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No85%Sat 31 Oct
  52. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?: No87%Tue 5 Jan
  53. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  54. OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  55. Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  56. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change83%Wed 28 Oct
  57. Which company has the best AI model end of November?: Google52%Tue 1 Dec
  58. China Annual GDP Growth 2026: 4.0–5.0%95%Sun 31 Jan
  59. "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office: 27-30m53%Sun 11 Oct
  60. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%44%Thu 15 Oct
  61. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  62. Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  64. Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026: 3.0% or more60%Wed 6 Jan
  65. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  66. Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  67. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  68. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic87%Sun 1 Nov
  69. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No72%Sun 1 Nov
  70. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change83%Wed 21 Oct
  71. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%57%Fri 30 Oct
  72. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  73. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  74. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+44%Fri 30 Oct
  75. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: 3.0–3.4%38%Wed 28 Oct
  76. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%41%Thu 15 Oct
  77. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes85%Sat 31 Oct
  78. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries64%Sun 18 Oct
  79. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic80%Sun 1 Nov
  80. "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office: 5-7m53%Sun 11 Oct
  81. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%91%Wed 21 Oct
  82. US headline inflation rate in September (month-over-month CPI): Above 0.4%62%Wed 14 Oct
  83. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mike O'Reilly72%Sun 18 Oct
  84. Surrey Mayoral Election: Brenda Locke79%Sun 18 Oct
  85. Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026: No change91%Fri 30 Oct
  86. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.5%37%Thu 15 Oct
  87. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change62%Fri 30 Oct
  88. US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  89. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%45%Thu 15 Oct
  90. English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Erling Haaland54%Mon 31 May
  91. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic58%Sat 31 Oct
  92. Second-best AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic71%Sat 31 Oct
  93. Richmond Mayoral Election: Kash Heed42%Sun 18 Oct
  94. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Gary Sulz62%Sun 18 Oct
  95. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?: Yes62%Mon 12 Oct
  96. Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?: No69%Thu 15 Oct
  97. Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 3.0-3.5%43%Fri 30 Oct
  98. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+62%Fri 16 Oct
  99. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%66%Wed 14 Oct
  100. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 80-9926%Tue 13 Oct
  101. Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No71%Sun 18 Apr
  102. Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes91%Thu 1 Jul
  103. Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No93%Thu 1 Jul
  104. Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No66%Thu 1 Jul
  105. Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?: Yes70%Fri 16 Oct
  106. "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 12-13m56%Sun 11 Oct
  107. Kelowna Mayoral Election: Ron Cannan56%Sun 18 Oct
  108. Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Craig Hodge89%Sat 17 Oct
  109. Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No72%Thu 1 Jul
  110. Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Dylan Kruger49%Sun 18 Oct
  111. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic74%Sat 31 Oct
  112. "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 3-4m87%Sun 11 Oct
  113. Fernie, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Harshan Ramadass70%Sun 18 Oct
  114. Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Simon Yu43%Sun 18 Oct
  115. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No95%Mon 19 Apr
  116. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes94%Thu 1 Jul
  117. Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No97%Sat 17 Apr
  118. Meta's Watermelon released on...?: No release by October 3143%Wed 14 Oct
  119. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?: No release by October 3126%Tue 13 Oct
  120. Whistler, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Jack Crompton94%Sun 18 Oct
  121. Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?: No97%Sun 18 Apr
  122. Gemini Argon released on...?: October 1328%Tue 13 Oct
  123. Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes79%Thu 1 Jul
  124. How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?: 20-2427%Mon 12 Oct
  125. Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No80%Thu 1 Jul
  126. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No60%Mon 19 Apr
  127. Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: Yes91%Mon 19 Apr
  128. Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No90%Sun 18 Apr
  129. New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Patrick Johnstone69%Sun 18 Oct
  130. Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?: No62%Thu 15 Oct
  131. Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: Yes58%Mon 14 Jun
  132. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Animals95%Tue 13 Oct
  133. US Core CPI inflation (month-over-month): September: Above 0.1%64%Wed 14 Oct
  134. Nanaimo Mayoral Election: Leonard Krog93%Sun 18 Oct
  135. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Animals96%Tue 13 Oct
  136. Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?: October 1438%Wed 14 Oct
  137. What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 13): Below: Limited Series97%Tue 13 Oct
  138. Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: <572%Fri 16 Oct
  139. Victoria Mayoral Election: Marianne Alto95%Sun 18 Oct
  140. How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?: 50+28%Thu 1 Jul
  141. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Doing Life95%Tue 13 Oct
  142. Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 40-5947%Tue 13 Oct
  143. Vernon, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Victor Cumming61%Sun 18 Oct
  144. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10?: Yes89%Fri 16 Oct
  145. NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 20-3981%Fri 16 Oct
  146. How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?: 190-20948%Mon 12 Oct
  147. English Premier League: Most Clean Sheets 2026-27: David Raya59%Tue 15 Jun
  148. Will Hull City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No96%Mon 14 Jun
  149. Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up: Arsenal21%Sun 1 Aug
  150. Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No79%Mon 14 Jun
  151. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Doing Life94%Tue 13 Oct
  152. "Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office: 7m+99%Sun 11 Oct
  153. Langley Township, BC Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen59%Sun 18 Oct
  154. Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No84%Thu 1 Jul
  155. What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 13): Below: Limited Series96%Tue 13 Oct
  156. Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: Yes70%Mon 14 Jun
  157. CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 20-3947%Fri 16 Oct
  158. Burnaby Mayoral Election: did not happen99%Sun 18 Oct
  159. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  160. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  161. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić68%Sun 25 Oct
  162. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  163. Fed Decision in October?: No change83%Thu 29 Oct
  164. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  165. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  166. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)94%Fri 1 Jan
  167. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  168. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  169. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  171. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  172. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro79%Sun 25 Oct
  173. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei89%Thu 31 Dec
  175. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  176. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  178. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  179. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  180. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)54%Wed 4 Nov
  181. US recession by end of 2026?: No93%Sun 31 Jan
  182. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane64%Sat 31 Oct
  183. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  184. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  185. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  186. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  187. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No73%Wed 4 Nov
  188. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro70%Thu 31 Dec
  189. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  191. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  193. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli97%Sun 6 Dec
  194. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  195. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  197. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 474%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC72%Sun 11 Oct
  199. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  200. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  201. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  202. SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5: Over70%Sun 11 Oct
  203. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes79%Thu 10 Dec
  206. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  207. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase73%Wed 9 Dec
  209. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  210. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  212. IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 35-40%50%Wed 4 Nov
  213. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  214. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  215. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  216. Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?: No88%Thu 31 Dec
  217. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  219. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google70%Sat 31 Oct
  220. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  221. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day95%Fri 8 Jan
  222. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  223. Which price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: 65,00043%Thu 31 Dec
  224. 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1. FC Köln71%Sun 11 Oct
  225. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic56%Thu 31 Dec
  226. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No96%Mon 30 Nov
  228. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  230. CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?: No94%Thu 31 Dec
  231. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202697%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  233. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  234. All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  235. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  236. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA82%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Los Angeles Rams12%Thu 1 Apr
  239. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  240. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC43%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  242. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  243. UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: Barcelona22%Sun 30 May
  244. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China73%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes62%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?: Yes99%Fri 1 Jan
  247. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  248. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  249. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  250. Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.