AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Edition of Thursday, 14 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Wed 14 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Thursday, 14 October 2027.

World

Rebeca Grynspan elected UN Secretary-general

Sweden formed a broad centre-left coalition while a new Dominican party was launched.

20% certain
lead market 20%next 18%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Aug

Rebeca Grynspan was chosen as the next United Nations Secretary-general on Thursday. In Sweden, the Social Democrats joined forces with the Left Party, the Centre Party and the Liberals to assemble a broad centre-left coalition on Sunday. A new political party led by Alofoke was registered in the Dominican Republic by the end of June. The Iranian regime remained in power, and Israel's Ra'am party was not included in the new government.

The vote concluded on Thursday, confirming Grynspan over other candidates. Member states cast their ballots in a secret poll at the UN headquarters. The appointment follows the customary rotation among regional groups.

Read the full report

World

U.S. did not acquire Greenland in 2026

The United States neither secured any part of Greenland nor launched an invasion in 2026.

97% certain
lead market 97%next 3%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

World

Iranian regime remained in power

The United States also failed to obtain Iranian enriched uranium and the blockade remained in place.

58% certain
lead market 58%next 42%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Fed Decision in October?: No change80%Thu 29 Oct
  3. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  4. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep61%Wed 4 Nov
  6. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)95%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen42%Mon 19 Apr
  8. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  9. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  10. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  12. US recession by end of 2026?: No93%Sun 31 Jan
  13. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  14. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  15. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%59%Fri 1 Jan
  16. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  17. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  18. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase75%Wed 9 Dec
  20. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  21. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google69%Sat 31 Oct
  22. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  24. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  25. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  26. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  27. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes79%Thu 10 Dec
  28. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  29. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  31. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  33. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  35. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  36. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  37. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?: Yes92%Wed 14 Oct
  40. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  41. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins74%Wed 4 Nov
  42. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: Yes76%Sun 1 Nov
  43. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  44. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic43%Thu 31 Dec
  45. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  46. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  48. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  49. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?: No58%Fri 1 Jan
  50. US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: No58%Mon 30 Nov
  51. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  53. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)67%Thu 31 Dec
  54. Cuban regime falls in 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  55. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  56. Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)72%Wed 4 Nov
  58. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No64%Tue 1 Dec
  59. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?: Yes82%Tue 5 Jan
  60. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  61. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes70%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  63. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate53%Wed 4 Nov
  64. Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?: No69%Thu 31 Dec
  65. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Tue 1 Dec
  66. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  67. Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  68. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No97%Fri 29 Jan
  69. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?: Yes85%Sat 17 Oct
  70. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%47%Thu 15 Oct
  71. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes78%Wed 4 Nov
  72. Fed Decision in January?: No change67%Thu 28 Jan
  73. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No88%Sat 31 Oct
  74. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  75. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  76. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?: No90%Tue 5 Jan
  77. OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec): Hike–Pause–Hike64%Wed 9 Dec
  79. Which company has the best AI model end of November?: Google50%Tue 1 Dec
  80. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes92%Sun 15 Nov
  81. Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?: No99%Fri 29 Jan
  82. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No93%Sun 15 Nov
  83. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: Yes84%Thu 31 Dec
  84. StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  85. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  86. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  87. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  88. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  89. Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?: Shutdown & Democratic Party91%Mon 1 Feb
  90. Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  91. Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?: Yes75%Thu 15 Oct
  92. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  93. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic85%Sun 1 Nov
  94. Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No85%Mon 19 Apr
  95. #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On): Anthropic49%Sat 31 Oct
  96. Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  97. Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  98. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%48%Thu 15 Oct
  99. Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  100. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?: Yes51%Thu 1 Jul
  101. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%57%Fri 30 Oct
  102. Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?: No94%Thu 1 Jul
  103. Bitcoin price on October 14?: 82,000-84,00059%Wed 14 Oct
  104. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 14?: Yes98%Wed 14 Oct
  105. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  106. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic90%Sun 1 Nov
  107. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+48%Fri 30 Oct
  108. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic57%Sat 31 Oct
  109. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google72%Sat 31 Oct
  110. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?: Yes55%Thu 1 Jul
  111. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI69%Sat 31 Oct
  112. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic94%Sat 31 Oct
  113. US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  114. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI94%Sat 31 Oct
  115. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic69%Sat 31 Oct
  116. Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?: Yes97%Thu 1 Jul
  117. UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?: 0.4–0.5%35%Fri 13 Nov
  118. Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM): 0.0 to 0.1%43%Fri 30 Oct
  119. Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No87%Sun 18 Apr
  120. Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No71%Thu 1 Jul
  121. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic95%Sat 31 Oct
  122. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI88%Sun 1 Nov
  123. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI82%Sun 1 Nov
  124. Next Secretary-General of the United Nations: Rebeca Grynspan70%Thu 1 Jul
  125. Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?: S + MP + C + V20%Sun 1 Aug
  126. Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?: did not happen75%Fri 30 Oct
  127. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes94%Thu 1 Jul
  128. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No95%Mon 19 Apr
  129. Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  130. Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes76%Thu 1 Jul
  131. Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes83%Thu 1 Jul
  132. Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  133. Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?: No97%Sun 18 Apr
  134. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?: No55%Thu 1 Jul
  135. Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?: Yes75%Thu 1 Jul
  136. Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No70%Thu 1 Jul
  137. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No60%Mon 19 Apr
  138. Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes79%Thu 1 Jul
  139. Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: Yes90%Mon 19 Apr
  140. Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No93%Mon 19 Apr
  141. Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes59%Thu 1 Jul
  142. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?: No91%Thu 1 Jul
  143. AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?: No82%Thu 1 Jul
  144. Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?: No84%Thu 1 Jul
  145. Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?: Yes91%Thu 1 Jul
  146. Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?: No84%Thu 1 Jul
  147. Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?: No73%Wed 30 Jun
  148. Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?: Yes85%Thu 1 Jul
  149. GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?: No57%Wed 30 Jun
  150. Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?: No78%Thu 1 Jul
  151. Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?: No96%Wed 30 Jun
  152. Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?: Yes67%Thu 1 Jul
  153. Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?: No56%Thu 1 Jul
  154. SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?: No75%Thu 1 Jul
  155. Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?: Yes73%Wed 14 Oct
  156. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot47%Wed 28 Oct
  157. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  158. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  159. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei85%Thu 31 Dec
  160. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane56%Sat 31 Oct
  161. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)63%Wed 4 Nov
  162. VA-06 House Election Winner: Ben Cline (R)88%Wed 4 Nov
  163. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  164. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  165. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  166. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  167. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  168. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  169. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić75%Sun 25 Oct
  171. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes92%Sat 31 Oct
  172. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  173. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA81%Fri 1 Jan
  175. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro70%Thu 31 Dec
  176. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  177. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  178. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  179. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  180. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli97%Sun 6 Dec
  181. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  182. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  183. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  184. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  185. NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 0-3%56%Wed 4 Nov
  186. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  187. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?: Yes94%Thu 15 Oct
  188. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  189. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  191. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No79%Tue 5 Jan
  194. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  196. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No74%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement90%Wed 4 Nov
  198. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic52%Thu 31 Dec
  199. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  201. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202697%Fri 1 Jan
  202. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  203. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia62%Sun 25 Oct
  204. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  206. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  207. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  210. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  212. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  213. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  214. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China75%Fri 1 Jan
  215. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova86%Mon 26 Oct
  216. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  217. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes61%Fri 1 Jan
  220. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  221. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day96%Fri 8 Jan
  222. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%43%Mon 26 Oct
  223. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  224. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  225. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  226. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  227. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  228. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  230. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  231. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers43%Sat 31 Oct
  232. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: San Francisco 49ers12%Thu 1 Apr
  233. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No91%Thu 31 Dec
  234. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an65%Sun 29 Nov
  236. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  238. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal61%Sun 30 May
  239. UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: Barcelona22%Sun 30 May
  240. Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: No meeting before 202793%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?: Yes68%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Will GameStop acquire eBay?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  247. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC29%Fri 1 Jan
  248. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No96%Fri 20 Nov
  249. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No96%Mon 30 Nov
  250. Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Manchester City FC67%Wed 14 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.