18%Sweden formed single-party S government as Modi stayed in office32%Marine Le Pen won French Presidential election, Philippe placed second55%SpaceX and Tesla announced merger; Starship Test omitted chopsticks catch10%Colorado Avalanche won the Stanley Cup as Florida Panthers took the East15%Barcelona won LALIGA as PSG clinched Ligue 1 title83%Bad Bunny topped Spotify while Morgan Wallen led Billboard 202658%Spider-Man: Brand New Day topped 2026 box office85%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's leader through 202669%Ukraine did not regain Crimea and cease-fire remained absent94%Putin, Trump, Zelenskyy and Infantino all remained in office through 202655%Chiang Wan-an won Taipei mayoral race67%US Q3 2026 GDP grew above 3% as inflation eased

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 17 October 2026
Edition of Sunday, 17 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 17 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Sunday, 17 October 2027.

Politics

Sweden formed single-party S government as Modi stayed in office

Israel's Ra'am remained outside the coalition while Iran's regime continued unchanged.

18% certain
lead market 18%next 18%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Aug

Sweden's parliament approved a single-party government led by the Social Democrats on Sunday. In Israel, the Ra'am party was not included in the new governing coalition announced on Friday. Iran's political leadership remained intact as the regime did not collapse by the end of June. In India, Prime Minister Narendra Modi continued in office beyond the June 30 deadline.

The Social Democrats secured enough seats to govern alone, avoiding the need for coalition partners. The vote took place in the Riksdag on Sunday, confirming the party's dominance.

Read the full report

Politics

Chiang Wan-an won Taipei mayoral race

President Lai Ching-te stayed in office and South Korea's Lee Jae-myung remained president.

55% certain
lead market 55%next 44%1 venuesettles Sun 29 Nov

Culture

Animals topped Netflix global movie chart

A limited series led the global show rankings while Netflix reported a Q3 operating margin of 32%-34%.

36% certain
lead market 36%next 31%1 venuesettles Wed 21 Oct

Politics

Pete Fry elected mayor of Vancouver

Brenda Locke won Surrey's Mayoral race and Gary Sulz took Revelstoke.

45% certain
lead market 45%next 31%1 venuesettles Sun 18 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  2. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei85%Thu 31 Dec
  3. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  4. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen45%Mon 19 Apr
  5. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  6. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  7. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  8. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google71%Sat 31 Oct
  11. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  12. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  13. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  14. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day95%Fri 8 Jan
  15. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  16. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  17. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  18. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an61%Sun 29 Nov
  20. LALIGA: 2027 Champion: Barcelona77%Tue 15 Jun
  21. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No91%Thu 31 Dec
  22. Top Spotify Artist 2026: Bad Bunny83%Mon 1 Feb
  23. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  24. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No98%Tue 20 Oct
  26. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?: No69%Thu 31 Dec
  30. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  31. Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday58%Mon 1 Feb
  33. [ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?: No89%Thu 31 Dec
  34. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No72%Sat 31 Oct
  35. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%67%Fri 30 Oct
  36. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  37. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry59%Sun 18 Oct
  38. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  39. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes77%Sat 31 Oct
  40. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA80%Sun 1 Nov
  41. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi59%Sat 31 Oct
  42. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase92%Thu 5 Nov
  43. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sat 31 Oct
  44. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+96%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  46. NHL: 2027 Champion: Colorado Avalanche11%Thu 1 Jul
  47. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  48. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  49. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  50. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change96%Fri 30 Oct
  51. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  52. Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Morgan Wallen87%Thu 1 Apr
  53. Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No86%Mon 19 Apr
  54. Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sat 31 Oct
  55. #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?: The Odyssey60%Thu 31 Dec
  56. Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday62%Mon 1 Feb
  57. New Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Su Chiao-hui55%Sun 29 Nov
  58. Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic89%Sun 1 Nov
  60. Ligue 1: 2027 Champion: Paris Saint-Germain93%Tue 15 Jun
  61. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: No change84%Wed 4 Nov
  62. Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day60%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes100%Sat 31 Oct
  64. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries83%Sun 18 Oct
  65. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  66. "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office: 30-35m49%Sun 18 Oct
  67. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mike O'Reilly67%Sun 18 Oct
  68. #2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On): Anthropic53%Sat 31 Oct
  69. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google75%Sat 31 Oct
  70. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic95%Sun 1 Nov
  71. Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic58%Sat 31 Oct
  72. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI79%Sat 31 Oct
  73. "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office: <8m79%Sun 18 Oct
  74. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic78%Sat 31 Oct
  75. UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion: Benfica15%Sun 30 May
  76. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Gary Sulz83%Sun 18 Oct
  77. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Google54%Sat 31 Oct
  78. UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27: Spain30%Mon 14 Jun
  79. Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?: No71%Sun 1 Nov
  80. Second-best AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic73%Sat 31 Oct
  81. Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Dylan Kruger61%Sun 18 Oct
  82. Richmond Mayoral Election: Rob Howard45%Sun 18 Oct
  83. Kelowna Mayoral Election: Tom Dyas55%Sun 18 Oct
  84. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI75%Sat 31 Oct
  85. "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m+99%Sun 18 Oct
  86. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  87. Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory: Remain 40–60%64%Tue 20 Oct
  88. Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No86%Sun 18 Apr
  89. Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No70%Thu 1 Jul
  90. French Presidential Election First Round Winner: Marine Le Pen80%Sun 18 Apr
  91. Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?: S18%Sun 1 Aug
  92. "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office: <10m96%Sun 18 Oct
  93. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic94%Sun 1 Nov
  94. Surrey Mayoral Election: Brenda Locke94%Sun 18 Oct
  95. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: Yes51%Mon 19 Oct
  96. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes94%Thu 1 Jul
  97. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?: 12.5% to 15%52%Tue 20 Oct
  98. Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: Google67%Sat 31 Oct
  99. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?: Yes55%Thu 1 Jul
  100. Primeira Liga: 2027 Champion: Porto70%Tue 15 Jun
  101. Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes78%Thu 1 Jul
  102. Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes82%Thu 1 Jul
  103. New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Patrick Johnstone70%Sun 18 Oct
  104. October Inflation US - Annual: 3.7%83%Wed 11 Nov
  105. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No58%Mon 19 Apr
  106. White House # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 200+83%Tue 20 Oct
  107. Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes81%Thu 1 Jul
  108. Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes81%Thu 1 Jul
  109. Modi out by June 30, 2027?: No88%Thu 1 Jul
  110. Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: Yes89%Mon 19 Apr
  111. Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No78%Thu 1 Jul
  112. Will Betis finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?: No98%Mon 14 Jun
  113. Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes59%Thu 1 Jul
  114. Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on October 23, 2026?: No89%Sat 24 Oct
  115. Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen60%Sun 18 Oct
  116. West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sager69%Sun 18 Oct
  117. "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m-8m31%Sun 18 Oct
  118. NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy: Gavin McKenna31%Thu 1 Jul
  119. French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Édouard Philippe34%Sun 18 Apr
  120. French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Jean-Luc Mélenchon32%Sun 18 Apr
  121. NHL: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion: Florida Panthers50%Thu 1 Jul
  122. Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Estéban Lepaul37%Mon 31 May
  123. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Doing Life91%Wed 21 Oct
  124. Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No92%Sun 18 Apr
  125. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Doing Life36%Wed 21 Oct
  126. UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Top Scorer: Harry Kane20%Mon 14 Jun
  127. "The Social Reckoning" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 1m-2m94%Sun 18 Oct
  128. Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?: No84%Wed 30 Jun
  129. Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?: No84%Thu 1 Jul
  130. SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?: No89%Thu 1 Jul
  131. What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 20): Below: Limited Series96%Wed 21 Oct
  132. Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin?: 32% to 34%55%Tue 20 Oct
  133. Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?: Yes88%Wed 21 Oct
  134. Will Anze Kopitar record 100+ points?: No98%Fri 30 Apr
  135. Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?: No75%Sun 18 Oct
  136. What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 20): East of Eden: Limited Series90%Wed 21 Oct
  137. Will the Montreal Canadiens make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?: Yes60%Fri 16 Apr
  138. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Animals86%Wed 21 Oct
  139. NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner: Connor McDavid10%Thu 1 Jul
  140. Will Connor Bedard record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?: No82%Fri 30 Apr
  141. Will the New York Rangers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?: No61%Fri 16 Apr
  142. Will the Boston Bruins make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?: No54%Fri 16 Apr
  143. Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?: No56%Thu 1 Jul
  144. Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above $7.5B?: Yes86%Wed 21 Oct
  145. Trump approval rating on October 23?: 38.5–38.930%Sat 24 Oct
  146. Will the Minnesota Wild make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?: Yes84%Fri 16 Apr
  147. Will the Buffalo Sabres make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?: Yes52%Fri 16 Apr
  148. Will the St. Louis Blues make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?: No63%Fri 16 Apr
  149. Democratic Senate odds on October 23?: 62-64%37%Fri 23 Oct
  150. What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 20): Below: Limited Series95%Wed 21 Oct
  151. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Animals93%Wed 21 Oct
  152. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  153. Fed Decision in October?: No change85%Thu 29 Oct
  154. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot51%Wed 28 Oct
  155. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  156. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  157. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  158. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  159. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)94%Fri 1 Jan
  160. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  161. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane60%Sat 31 Oct
  162. CA-28 House Election Winner: Judy Chu (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  163. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  164. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  165. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  166. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  167. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  168. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  169. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić74%Sun 25 Oct
  170. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  171. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes88%Sat 31 Oct
  172. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)63%Wed 4 Nov
  173. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  174. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  175. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  176. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro70%Thu 31 Dec
  177. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  178. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  179. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  180. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  181. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 470%Fri 1 Jan
  182. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  183. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli96%Sun 6 Dec
  184. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  185. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX62%Thu 31 Dec
  186. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  187. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase75%Wed 9 Dec
  188. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  189. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%80%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement97%Wed 4 Nov
  191. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes79%Thu 10 Dec
  194. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No82%Tue 5 Jan
  198. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  199. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  201. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  202. OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 20-25%57%Wed 4 Nov
  203. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  204. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%39%Mon 26 Oct
  205. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  206. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  207. Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  208. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  210. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  211. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  212. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)52%Wed 4 Nov
  213. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  214. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  215. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  216. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia61%Sun 25 Oct
  217. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  219. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  220. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  221. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA68%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  224. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  226. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  227. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  228. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  230. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  231. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China74%Fri 1 Jan
  233. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?: Yes92%Sat 17 Oct
  234. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova88%Mon 26 Oct
  235. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  236. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes59%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)85%Wed 4 Nov
  240. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers65%Sat 31 Oct
  241. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  242. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
  243. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: San Francisco 49ers12%Thu 1 Apr
  244. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  245. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar68%Wed 28 Oct
  246. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  248. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  249. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  250. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No96%Mon 30 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.