18%Rebeca Grynspan elected UN Secretary-general54%Tesla and SpaceX announced merger as other plans failed33%Marine Le Pen won first round of 2027 French Presidential election56%Avengers: Doomsday logged biggest opening week in 202663%Fed delivered two 25-bp hikes in 2026 and made no cuts67%OpenAI valuation stayed below $2.0 trillion in 202665%StandX token missed $10 billion valuation target69%Ukraine failed to join NATO in 202659%U.S. did not declare war on Iran in 202686%Iran did not end Uranium enrichment in 202694%Putin remained president of Russia in 202683%Key maritime chokepoints stayed volatile as disarmament efforts failed

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 18 October 2026
Edition of Monday, 18 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 18 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Monday, 18 October 2027.

Politics

Rebeca Grynspan elected UN Secretary-general

Alofoke formed a new Dominican Republic party and Sweden approved a Social Democrat-Green coalition.

18% certain
lead market 18%next 17%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Aug

Rebeca Grynspan was elected United Nations Secretary-general on July 1. The election concluded the search for a successor after the previous term. The outcome arrived as several anticipated regime changes in other regions failed to materialize.

In the Dominican Republic, media entrepreneur Alofoke successfully established a political party before the end of June.

Read the full report

World

Ukraine failed to join NATO in 2026

Russia did not capture Lyman and no ceasefire was reached by year-end.

69% certain
lead market 69%next 31%1 venuesettles Thu 31 Dec

World

U.S. did not declare war on Iran in 2026

No nuclear pact was signed and no invasion took place, while ceasefire talks fell apart by year-end.

59% certain
lead market 59%next 41%1 venuesettles Mon 30 Nov

World

Iran did not end Uranium enrichment in 2026

Iran failed to end Uranium enrichment and did not withdraw from the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2026.

86% certain
lead market 86%next 14%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

Culture

Street Fighter opened with $30-35 million

Street Fighter opened with $30-35 million, and other Mommy earned under $10 million in its second Weekend

86% certain
lead market 86%next 11%1 venuesettles Sun 18 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra91%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot53%Wed 28 Oct
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  5. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  6. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)97%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Wed 4 Nov
  8. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  9. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen46%Mon 19 Apr
  10. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)68%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  12. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day91%Fri 8 Jan
  13. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)65%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  15. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase75%Wed 9 Dec
  16. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  17. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  18. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  19. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  20. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  21. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  22. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins71%Wed 4 Nov
  24. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes80%Thu 10 Dec
  27. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  28. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  29. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  30. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  31. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  33. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  34. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar68%Wed 28 Oct
  35. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)55%Wed 4 Nov
  36. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  37. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  38. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  39. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  40. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  41. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No91%Thu 31 Dec
  44. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No75%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  47. US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: No59%Mon 30 Nov
  48. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)76%Wed 4 Nov
  51. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change96%Fri 30 Oct
  52. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  53. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes78%Wed 4 Nov
  54. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)72%Wed 4 Nov
  55. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)67%Thu 31 Dec
  56. Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2443%Wed 28 Oct
  58. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)72%Wed 4 Nov
  60. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  64. Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 360-37926%Tue 20 Oct
  65. Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  66. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  67. Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  68. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes96%Sat 31 Oct
  69. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  70. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes63%Wed 4 Nov
  71. Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  72. US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?: No68%Thu 31 Dec
  73. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes65%Fri 1 Jan
  74. Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?: No69%Thu 31 Dec
  75. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday56%Mon 1 Feb
  76. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No95%Sat 31 Oct
  77. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No98%Fri 29 Jan
  78. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  79. Fed Decision in January?: No change63%Thu 28 Jan
  80. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?: No95%Tue 5 Jan
  81. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec): Hike–Pause–Hike67%Wed 9 Dec
  82. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  83. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  84. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No72%Sat 31 Oct
  85. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  86. OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  87. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  88. Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  89. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  90. Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  91. Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?: No100%Fri 29 Jan
  92. Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  93. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change81%Wed 28 Oct
  94. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sat 31 Oct
  95. Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  96. StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  97. Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  98. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  99. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  100. Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?: No97%Sat 2 Jan
  101. Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No73%Fri 1 Jan
  102. Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  103. Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday65%Mon 1 Feb
  104. Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?: No74%Fri 1 Jan
  105. Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  106. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?: No94%Tue 5 Jan
  107. Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  108. #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?: Obsession63%Thu 31 Dec
  109. Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  110. Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day56%Fri 1 Jan
  111. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?: No88%Tue 5 Jan
  112. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?: Yes67%Tue 5 Jan
  113. "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office: 30-35m95%Sun 18 Oct
  114. "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office: <8m96%Sun 18 Oct
  115. Next Secretary-General of the United Nations: Rebeca Grynspan43%Thu 1 Jul
  116. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  117. Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  118. US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  119. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change56%Fri 30 Oct
  120. British Columbia General Election Winner: Conservative78%Sat 24 Oct
  121. Nitra Mayoral Election Winner: Marek Hattas90%Sun 25 Oct
  122. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 140-15926%Tue 20 Oct
  123. Prešov Mayoral Election Winner: František Oľha81%Sun 25 Oct
  124. Poprad Mayoral Election Winner: Anton Danko92%Sun 25 Oct
  125. "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m-8m86%Sun 18 Oct
  126. French Presidential Election First Round Winner: Marine Le Pen80%Sun 18 Apr
  127. Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?: S + MP18%Sun 1 Aug
  128. "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m+100%Sun 18 Oct
  129. Trnava Mayoral Election Winner: Eva Nemčovská65%Sun 25 Oct
  130. "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office: <10m99%Sun 18 Oct
  131. Central Bank of Chile decision in October: No change98%Tue 27 Oct
  132. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?: Yes54%Thu 1 Jul
  133. Žilina Region Governor Election Winner: Erika Jurinová95%Sun 25 Oct
  134. Trenčín Mayoral Election Winner: Ján Forgáč88%Sun 25 Oct
  135. Modi out by June 30, 2027?: No91%Thu 1 Jul
  136. "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets): 30m-33m88%Sun 18 Oct
  137. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No63%Mon 19 Apr
  138. Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?: Yes61%Thu 1 Jul
  139. Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: Yes89%Mon 19 Apr
  140. Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Kevin Acton84%Sun 25 Oct
  141. Trnava Region Governor Election Winner: Jozef Viskupič93%Sun 25 Oct
  142. Košice Region Governor Election Winner: Rastislav Trnka67%Sun 25 Oct
  143. French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Jean-Luc Mélenchon35%Sun 18 Apr
  144. Žilina Mayoral Election Winner: Peter Fiabáne73%Sun 25 Oct
  145. Prešov Region Governor Election Winner: Milan Majerský88%Sun 25 Oct
  146. French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Édouard Philippe33%Sun 18 Apr
  147. British Columbia General Election: 3rd Place: Greens90%Sat 24 Oct
  148. British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place: NDP74%Sat 24 Oct
  149. "The Social Reckoning" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 1m-2m98%Sun 18 Oct
  150. Ted Cruz # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 120-13951%Fri 23 Oct
  151. SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?: No90%Thu 1 Jul
  152. Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?: No84%Wed 30 Jun
  153. CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 20-3959%Fri 23 Oct
  154. Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?: No84%Thu 1 Jul
  155. Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 80-9954%Tue 20 Oct
  156. Khamenei # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: <575%Fri 23 Oct
  157. Banská Bystrica Mayoral Election Winner: Diana Javorčíková59%Sun 25 Oct
  158. Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Gordon Zhang83%Sun 25 Oct
  159. Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Garry Purewal55%Sun 25 Oct
  160. Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Margareta Dovgal64%Sun 25 Oct
  161. North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Anna Kindy54%Sun 25 Oct
  162. Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?: No55%Thu 1 Jul
  163. NYC Mayor # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 20-3984%Fri 23 Oct
  164. Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Garry Thind74%Sun 25 Oct
  165. Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Jaime Stein70%Sun 25 Oct
  166. Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Paul Choi55%Sun 25 Oct
  167. Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Zeeshan Wahla59%Sun 25 Oct
  168. Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner: Ryan Peterson73%Sun 25 Oct
  169. Fed Decision in October?: No change85%Thu 29 Oct
  170. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane58%Sat 31 Oct
  172. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  173. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei85%Thu 31 Dec
  174. TN-04 House Election Winner: Scott DesJarlais (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  175. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  176. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  178. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  179. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  180. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes93%Sat 31 Oct
  181. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  182. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  183. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić70%Sun 25 Oct
  184. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  185. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep63%Wed 4 Nov
  186. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  187. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  189. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro70%Thu 31 Dec
  191. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  192. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement97%Wed 4 Nov
  194. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  195. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  196. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli97%Sun 6 Dec
  197. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%39%Mon 26 Oct
  198. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google75%Sat 31 Oct
  199. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  201. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  202. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No82%Tue 5 Jan
  203. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  204. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX62%Thu 31 Dec
  206. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No75%Fri 1 Jan
  207. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  208. MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 3%+61%Wed 4 Nov
  209. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  210. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  212. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia68%Sun 25 Oct
  213. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.0%69%Fri 1 Jan
  214. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202697%Fri 1 Jan
  215. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  216. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 578%Fri 1 Jan
  217. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement91%Wed 4 Nov
  218. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  220. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  221. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  224. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  226. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  228. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  229. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA67%Fri 1 Jan
  230. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China75%Fri 1 Jan
  233. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  234. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  235. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  237. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes60%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova89%Mon 26 Oct
  239. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers63%Sat 31 Oct
  240. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic46%Thu 31 Dec
  241. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an62%Sun 29 Nov
  244. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  245. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  246. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  247. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  248. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  249. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.