38%Petr Hlaváček became Mayor of Prague32%Marine Le Pen won 2027 French Presidential election50%Fed ended 2026 with rate at 4.25% after two hikes63%Trump remained president as Court upheld hush-money convictions77%No new token surpassed $100 million FDV on launch day86%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's leader as nuclear escalation stalled78%No ceasefire reached and no major gains made in Russia-Ukraine war67%Netanyahu fell short of majority in Israeli election94%China avoided invading Taiwan in 202663%Xavier Becerra won re-election as California governor57%Democrats won control of the house and senate13%Chow Hang-tung won 2026 Nobel Peace Prize

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 18 September 2026
Edition of Saturday, 18 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 18 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Saturday, 18 September 2027.

Politics

Petr Hlaváček became Mayor of Prague

Petr Hlaváček became Mayor of Prague and Kamila Zlatušková secured the Brno mayoralty.

38% certain
lead market 38%next 34%1 venuesettles Wed 30 Jun

On Wednesday, 30 June, the Czech municipal elections produced new mayors in three major cities. The appointments followed the final tally of council votes that confirmed each candidate over their rivals.

The Prague city council voted for Hlaváček after he outperformed the other three candidates, Tomáš Portlík, Adam Scheinherr and Jan Hušbauer. Council members cited his coalition agreements as decisive in securing the majority.

Read the full report

Science

Chow Hang-tung won 2026 Nobel Peace Prize

A US citizen received the Nobel Economics Prize and Donald Trump was given the satirical Nobel Piss Prize.

13% certain
lead market 13%next 13%1 venuesettles Sat 10 Oct

Science

Anthropic topped AI benchmarks in September 2026

The company also led the text Arena Math ranking and secured its first enterprise client for the Blackstone joint venture.

83% certain
lead market 83%next 17%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Oct

Culture

A'ja Wilson won 2026 WNBA MVP award

Olivia Miles also earned Rookie of the year when the league announced its top honors.

53% certain
lead market 53%next 15%1 venuesettles Fri 25 Sept

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Tue 3 Nov
  2. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?: United Russia (ER)75%Wed 30 Sept
  3. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No91%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  5. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Thu 31 Dec
  6. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party90%Tue 3 Nov
  7. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen32%Fri 30 Apr
  8. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes57%Tue 1 Dec
  9. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei90%Thu 31 Dec
  10. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep58%Tue 3 Nov
  11. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Chow Hang-tung13%Sat 10 Oct
  12. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  13. Trump out as President before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  14. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes89%Sun 15 Nov
  15. Berlin State Election Winner: Linke66%Sun 20 Sept
  16. Israel closes its airspace by September 30?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  17. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No91%Sun 15 Nov
  18. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  19. Fed Decision in October?: 25 bps increase50%Wed 28 Oct
  20. CA-16 House Election Winner: Sam Liccardo (D)89%Tue 3 Nov
  21. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party59%Tue 3 Nov
  22. Russia Parliamentary Election Winner: United Russia (ER)99%Wed 30 Sept
  23. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  24. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  25. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%50%Wed 9 Dec
  26. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic96%Thu 1 Oct
  27. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  28. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 482%Fri 1 Jan
  29. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  30. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  31. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  32. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  33. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  35. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  36. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  37. Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  38. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  40. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner: SPD54%Sun 20 Sept
  41. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Karen Bass63%Thu 31 Dec
  42. Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?: No100%Sun 20 Sept
  43. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  44. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No87%Sun 3 Jan
  47. United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?: 325–33940%Sun 20 Sept
  48. Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  49. Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  50. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes57%Wed 4 Nov
  52. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No96%Tue 3 Nov
  53. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ84%Mon 5 Oct
  54. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  55. Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?: Yes87%Tue 29 Sept
  56. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Will Trump's hush money convictions be overturned due to the Supreme Court's grant of presidential immunity?: No89%Mon 30 Nov
  58. WNBA: 2026 Rookie of the Year: Olivia Miles97%Fri 25 Sept
  59. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No83%Sat 31 Oct
  60. Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)92%Sun 20 Sept
  61. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  62. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase65%Wed 9 Dec
  63. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No86%Thu 31 Dec
  64. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes81%Sat 31 Oct
  65. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  66. Will bitcoin rise to 85k before the Strait of Hormuz is freely open?: Yes87%Thu 1 Oct
  67. Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?: Yes60%Sun 20 Sept
  68. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  70. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  72. Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?: Yes93%Sun 1 Nov
  73. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?: Yes67%Thu 31 Dec
  74. Will Netanyahu win the next elections in Israel?: No82%Tue 10 Nov
  75. Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  76. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  77. Will Trump and Xi meet in September 2026?: Yes81%Wed 30 Sept
  78. Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  79. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  80. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No98%Fri 8 Jan
  81. Will there be a Quebec referendum in the next provincial term?: No85%Sat 3 Oct
  82. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon83%Mon 5 Oct
  83. Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  84. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)60%Thu 31 Dec
  85. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  86. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  87. Israel military action against Lebanon on September 26?: Yes82%Sat 26 Sept
  88. WNBA: 2026 MVP: A'ja Wilson92%Fri 25 Sept
  89. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  90. Will bitcoin go below 9.000$ at the end of this month?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  91. Bitcoin reaches 90k USD at any point before October: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  92. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic91%Thu 1 Oct
  93. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?: 31%+91%Sun 20 Sept
  94. Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?: Yes63%Mon 21 Sept
  95. Bitcoin price reaches 75k USD at any point before the end of the month: Yes69%Wed 30 Sept
  96. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: Linke91%Sun 20 Sept
  97. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: AfD54%Sun 20 Sept
  98. Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)58%Sun 20 Sept
  99. Will Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  100. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  101. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?: <8%89%Sun 20 Sept
  102. Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]: Yes85%Fri 16 Oct
  103. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?: 8-11%68%Sun 20 Sept
  104. Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On): Anthropic97%Thu 1 Oct
  105. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  106. Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout: 50-53%30%Sun 20 Sept
  107. Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?: 20-23%64%Sun 20 Sept
  108. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?: No83%Wed 30 Sept
  109. Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?: 14-17%55%Sun 20 Sept
  110. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?: Anthropic92%Thu 1 Oct
  111. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?: Over82%Sun 20 Sept
  112. Berlin State Election: 2nd Place: CDU56%Sun 20 Sept
  113. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic87%Thu 1 Oct
  114. Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?: 10-13%67%Sun 20 Sept
  115. Berlin State Election: 3rd Place: AfD60%Sun 20 Sept
  116. Will United Russia get more seats in the next Russian Duma election than the one in 2021?: No60%Mon 21 Sept
  117. How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?: <3583%Sun 20 Sept
  118. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?: 5-7%49%Sun 20 Sept
  119. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?: 3-5%69%Sun 20 Sept
  120. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic83%Thu 1 Oct
  121. Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?: Yes86%Sat 17 Oct
  122. Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?: No76%Thu 1 Oct
  123. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes75%Wed 14 Oct
  124. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?: 35-38%44%Sun 20 Sept
  125. Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No88%Fri 30 Apr
  126. Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?: No91%Sun 20 Sept
  127. Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?: 17-20%80%Sun 20 Sept
  128. Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes89%Sat 17 Apr
  129. Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No88%Sat 17 Apr
  130. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?: AfD56%Sun 20 Sept
  131. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No94%Fri 30 Apr
  132. Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No97%Sat 17 Apr
  133. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory: SPD 0-2%42%Sun 20 Sept
  134. Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?: No100%Fri 23 Apr
  135. Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes84%Sat 17 Apr
  136. Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?: 163+64%Sun 20 Sept
  137. Vologda Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner: United Russia95%Sun 20 Sept
  138. Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No62%Sat 17 Apr
  139. Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No69%Sat 17 Apr
  140. Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?: Yes85%Sun 20 Sept
  141. Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No94%Sat 17 Apr
  142. Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes85%Sat 17 Apr
  143. WNBA: 2026 Defensive Player of the Year: Gabby Williams53%Fri 25 Sept
  144. Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes63%Sat 17 Apr
  145. Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner: Ramzan Kadyrov99%Sun 20 Sept
  146. How many seats will the Communist Party (KPRF) win in the next Russian legislative election?: <5077%Sun 20 Sept
  147. WNBA: 2026 Coach of the Year: Cheryl Reeve97%Fri 25 Sept
  148. Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place: New People (NL)98%Sun 20 Sept
  149. Which party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?: Linke68%Sat 19 Sept
  150. Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne?: CDU88%Sun 20 Sept
  151. Next Mayor of Brno: Kamila Zlatušková38%Wed 30 Jun
  152. Next Mayor of Prague: Petr Hlaváček47%Wed 30 Jun
  153. Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem: Tomáš Hrubý61%Wed 30 Jun
  154. Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?: Yes63%Sun 20 Sept
  155. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro52%Sun 4 Oct
  156. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  157. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  158. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  159. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane54%Sat 31 Oct
  160. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes55%Wed 4 Nov
  161. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No54%Sat 3 Oct
  162. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  163. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  164. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes65%Tue 3 Nov
  165. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No67%Tue 3 Nov
  166. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot50%Thu 31 Dec
  167. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No58%Tue 1 Dec
  168. Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?: No Meeting by September 3087%Thu 1 Oct
  169. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro83%Thu 31 Dec
  172. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro75%Sun 4 Oct
  173. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes76%Wed 4 Nov
  174. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  175. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  176. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No55%Wed 4 Nov
  178. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  179. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli92%Sun 6 Dec
  180. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes91%Fri 2 Oct
  181. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  182. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  183. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  184. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  185. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  186. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes67%Tue 3 Nov
  187. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA73%Thu 31 Dec
  188. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes95%Wed 30 Sept
  189. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  191. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  192. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  193. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  194. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  195. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  196. Opus 5.2 released in September?: No69%Wed 30 Sept
  197. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Thu 31 Dec
  198. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  199. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  200. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  201. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  202. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes53%Tue 3 Nov
  203. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  204. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No87%Tue 3 Nov
  206. FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Bayern München83%Fri 18 Sept
  207. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic53%Thu 31 Dec
  208. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  210. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No83%Thu 31 Dec
  213. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  214. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers30%Sat 31 Oct
  215. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  216. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No65%Mon 30 Nov
  217. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  218. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  220. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day94%Thu 31 Dec
  221. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  222. Next Prime Minister of Romania?: Siegfried Mureșan39%Thu 31 Dec
  223. Trump out as President by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  224. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  225. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?: No93%Fri 18 Sept
  226. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  227. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  228. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes92%Wed 14 Oct
  229. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  230. Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?: Yes54%Sun 27 Sept
  231. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes58%Mon 23 Nov
  232. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  233. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  234. Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 100.00 USDC Base by September 21th 11:59 pm UTC: Yes65%Mon 21 Sept
  235. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Buffalo Bills12%Wed 31 Mar
  238. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  239. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
  240. US recession by end of 2026?: No92%Sun 31 Jan
  241. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes84%Wed 30 Sept
  242. Iran full airspace closure by September 30?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  243. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  244. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  246. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: No65%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?: No83%Tue 29 Sept
  248. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 21 2026?: Yes99%Mon 21 Sept
  249. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  250. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Lula47%Fri 2 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.