AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Wednesday, 23 September 2026
Edition of Thursday, 23 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Wed 23 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Thursday, 23 September 2027.

Politics

Tarcísio de Freitas won São Paulo governorship

Ciro Gomes won Ceará and Tarcísio de Freitas won São Paulo in a wave of elections across eight states.

52% certain
lead market 52%next 47%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Jul

On Thursday 1 July 2027 Brazil concluded a series of gubernatorial elections in eight states. Voters in São Paulo elected Tarcísio de Freitas as governor, while Ceará chose Ciro Gomes. The results also installed new governors in Acre, Bahia, Maranhão, Pará, Pernambuco and Goiás.

Tarcísio de Freitas assumed office in São Paulo, a state with the country's largest economy. In Goiás, Daniel Vilela took the governorship, succeeding the previous administration. Both inaugurations occurred on the same day as the other state ceremonies.

Read the full report

World

US did not withdraw from NATO

The United States also avoided declaring war on Iran and did not launch an invasion.

86% certain
lead market 86%next 14%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

Politics

FY27 NASA Budget approved larger than FY25

The administration also failed to overturn an Anthropic injunction and confirmed no Tesla-SpaceX merger by September's end.

61% certain
lead market 61%next 40%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra91%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro55%Sun 4 Oct
  3. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  5. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  6. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)93%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes58%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes63%Tue 1 Dec
  9. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No66%Tue 1 Dec
  10. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep65%Tue 3 Nov
  11. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms20%Sat 10 Oct
  12. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes93%Sun 15 Nov
  13. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Tue 5 Jan
  14. Fed Decision in October?: 25 bps increase53%Thu 29 Oct
  15. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei90%Thu 31 Dec
  16. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No93%Sun 15 Nov
  17. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  18. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro72%Sun 4 Oct
  19. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic96%Wed 30 Sept
  20. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  21. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%51%Fri 1 Jan
  22. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party66%Tue 5 Jan
  23. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  24. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  25. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  26. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  27. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  28. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Tue 5 Jan
  29. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  31. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  33. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes60%Wed 4 Nov
  34. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro50%Fri 2 Oct
  35. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No68%Fri 1 Jan
  36. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  37. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  39. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  40. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  41. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ92%Mon 5 Oct
  42. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  44. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No81%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No71%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  48. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase69%Wed 9 Dec
  49. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No75%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No81%Sat 31 Oct
  51. Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?: Yes97%Fri 6 Nov
  52. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic69%Thu 31 Dec
  53. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No58%Fri 1 Jan
  54. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  55. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  56. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No96%Sat 29 May
  57. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: No51%Mon 19 Oct
  58. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Will the FY27 NASA Budget be larger than FY25?: Yes61%Thu 1 Oct
  60. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  63. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  64. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)83%Sun 4 Oct
  65. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  66. Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?: No94%Mon 2 Nov
  67. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  68. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  70. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo92%Sun 4 Oct
  71. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  72. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  73. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?: Yes81%Tue 5 Jan
  74. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes74%Fri 1 Jan
  75. Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?: No94%Thu 1 Apr
  76. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)63%Thu 31 Dec
  77. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Anthropic86%Sat 31 Oct
  78. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  79. Will there be a Quebec referendum in the next provincial term?: No85%Sat 3 Oct
  80. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  81. Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?: No93%Tue 10 Nov
  82. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No98%Fri 29 Jan
  83. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  84. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula69%Sun 4 Oct
  85. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  86. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro80%Mon 5 Oct
  87. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon94%Mon 5 Oct
  88. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry86%Sun 18 Oct
  89. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  90. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: Yes85%Thu 31 Dec
  91. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  92. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes87%Mon 5 Oct
  93. Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  94. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic91%Thu 1 Oct
  95. Will Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  96. Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner: Kerry-Lynne Findlay55%Sat 26 Sept
  97. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco67%Sun 4 Oct
  98. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an79%Thu 1 Jul
  99. Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]: Yes86%Fri 16 Oct
  100. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL68%Mon 5 Oct
  101. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Tarcísio de Freitas99%Thu 1 Jul
  102. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Ciro Gomes53%Thu 1 Jul
  103. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?: No63%Thu 1 Apr
  104. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+89%Sun 4 Oct
  105. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 4-6%51%Sun 4 Oct
  106. Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?: No60%Sun 27 Sept
  107. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  108. Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  109. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?: Yes52%Thu 1 Jul
  110. Lima Mayoral Election Winner: Rafael López Aliaga74%Thu 1 Jul
  111. Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner: Jeremy Matlow50%Sat 1 May
  112. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues57%Thu 1 Jul
  113. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic96%Thu 1 Oct
  114. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%48%Thu 15 Oct
  115. Elected Senators for Ceará in 2026: Cid Gomes52%Sun 4 Oct
  116. Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026: Ciro Gomes51%Sun 4 Oct
  117. Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?: No99%Sun 27 Sept
  118. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás: Flavio Bolsonaro89%Sun 4 Oct
  119. Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  120. Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On): Anthropic97%Wed 30 Sept
  121. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Filipe Barros40%Mon 5 Oct
  122. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL96%Mon 5 Oct
  123. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?: Anthropic96%Wed 30 Sept
  124. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  125. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic94%Wed 30 Sept
  126. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?: Anthropic93%Wed 30 Sept
  127. Kraków Mayoral Election Winner: Łukasz Gibała77%Sun 27 Sept
  128. Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  129. Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?: Yes86%Sat 17 Oct
  130. "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office: 22m+47%Sun 27 Sept
  131. US Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — August 2026: 3.6% or more51%Wed 30 Sept
  132. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes75%Wed 14 Oct
  133. St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner : Charlie Crist88%Sat 1 May
  134. Pernambuco Governor Election Winner: Raquel Lyra52%Thu 1 Jul
  135. Pará Governor Election Winner: Hana Ghassan63%Thu 1 Jul
  136. Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1?: No94%Tue 29 Sept
  137. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%36%Thu 15 Oct
  138. Maranhão Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Braide74%Thu 1 Jul
  139. Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?: No99%Sun 27 Sept
  140. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%42%Thu 15 Oct
  141. Acre Governor Election Winner: Alan Rick53%Thu 1 Jul
  142. Next Regional Board Chair of Sörmland?: Urban Granström76%Thu 1 Apr
  143. Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?: Carl Johan Sonesson85%Thu 1 Apr
  144. 2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner: Ricardo Samaniego99%Sat 1 May
  145. Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?: Eva Lindberg93%Thu 1 Apr
  146. Goiás Governor Election Winner: Daniel Vilela94%Thu 1 Jul
  147. Next Regional Board Chair of Halland?: Mikaela Waltersson71%Thu 1 Apr
  148. Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?: Mattias Ottosson81%Thu 1 Apr
  149. Next Regional Board Chair of Västra Götaland?: My Alnebratt96%Thu 1 Apr
  150. Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No77%Mon 28 Sept
  151. Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?: Lars Markus Hildingsson81%Thu 1 Apr
  152. Next Regional Board Chair of Norrbotten?: Anders Öberg94%Thu 1 Apr
  153. São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner: MLSTP92%Mon 28 Sept
  154. Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?: Peter Olofsson99%Thu 1 Apr
  155. Next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar?: Angelica Katsanidou88%Thu 1 Apr
  156. Next Regional Board Chair of Jönköping?: Rachel De Basso87%Thu 1 Apr
  157. Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?: Jenny Steen85%Thu 1 Apr
  158. Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner: Fabio Roscioli93%Mon 28 Sept
  159. Next Regional Board Chair of Kronoberg?: Henrietta Modig Serrate92%Thu 1 Apr
  160. Will "Heart of the Beast" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: Yes92%Mon 28 Sept
  161. "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office: 14-17m30%Sun 27 Sept
  162. Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: Yes81%Mon 28 Sept
  163. "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office: 13-16m34%Sun 27 Sept
  164. Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested): Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri55%Wed 23 Sept
  165. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  166. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  167. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot54%Tue 27 Oct
  168. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No59%Sat 3 Oct
  169. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane53%Sat 31 Oct
  170. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No96%Wed 18 Nov
  172. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes67%Tue 3 Nov
  173. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No70%Tue 3 Nov
  174. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  175. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  176. Trump out as President before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  178. Next French Presidential Election: Jean-Luc Mélenchon59%Fri 30 Apr
  179. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  180. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  181. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day91%Fri 8 Jan
  182. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No60%Wed 4 Nov
  183. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  184. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  185. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  186. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes91%Fri 2 Oct
  187. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  188. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli91%Sun 6 Dec
  189. LA-06 House Election Winner: Republican Party88%Wed 4 Nov
  190. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  191. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  192. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro56%Thu 31 Dec
  193. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  194. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes70%Tue 3 Nov
  195. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  196. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  197. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  199. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 472%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Next Prime Minister of Sweden: Magdalena Andersson86%Thu 1 Jul
  201. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  202. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  203. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  204. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  205. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes65%Tue 3 Nov
  206. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  207. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  208. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  209. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  210. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  211. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  212. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  213. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No87%Tue 3 Nov
  214. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  215. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  216. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  217. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  218. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  220. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  221. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  224. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers29%Sat 31 Oct
  225. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No65%Mon 30 Nov
  226. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?: No75%Sun 27 Sept
  228. Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?: No99%Thu 26 Nov
  229. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  230. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  232. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  233. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  234. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  235. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Karen Bass57%Thu 31 Dec
  237. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  238. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  239. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes92%Wed 14 Oct
  240. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes82%Sun 1 Nov
  242. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202697%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA76%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic57%Thu 31 Dec
  245. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
  246. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  248. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Los Angeles Rams12%Thu 1 Apr
  249. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  250. Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?: No83%Tue 29 Sept
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.