AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 27 September 2026
Edition of Monday, 27 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 27 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Monday, 27 September 2027.

Politics

Lula qualified for runoff as new governors swept state races

Lula moved to the Presidential runoff while Tarcísio de Freitas and ACM Neto won governorships in São Paulo and Bahia.

43% certain
lead market 43%next 42%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Jul

Lula qualified for the Presidential runoff on Thursday. Fernando Haddad and Michelle Bolsonaro failed to reach the runoff. No candidate secured an outright first-round victory, and Renan Santos finished third.

A wave of new governors was elected across Brazil. Tarcísio de Freitas won in São Paulo, while Fábio took Sergipe and Jorginho Mello captured Santa Catarina. Daniel Vilela became governor of Goiás, and Eduardo Braide secured Maranhão. Mailza Assis, Elmano de Freitas, Raquel Lyra, Hana Ghassan and ACM Neto also emerged victorious in Acre, Ceará, Pernambuco, Pará and Bahia respectively.

Read the full report

World

China did not invade Taiwan in 2026

China also refrained from blockading Taiwan and from clashing with Japan.

94% certain
lead market 94%next 6%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Jan

Economics

U.S. headline CPI rose 0.3% in September

U.S. CPI rose 0.3% in September and Argentina's monthly inflation climbed to about 2%.

33% certain
lead market 33%next 17%1 venuesettles Fri 16 Oct

World

Iranian blockade persisted through September

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained below normal and the East-West Pipeline stayed offline at month-end.

83% certain
lead market 83%next 18%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro54%Sun 4 Oct
  3. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  4. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot51%Tue 27 Oct
  6. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  7. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No57%Sat 3 Oct
  8. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes60%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  11. Fed Decision in October?: 25 bps increase65%Thu 29 Oct
  12. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep60%Tue 3 Nov
  13. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms24%Sat 10 Oct
  14. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes65%Tue 1 Dec
  15. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  16. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Tue 5 Jan
  17. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro78%Sun 4 Oct
  18. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes94%Sun 15 Nov
  19. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei91%Thu 31 Dec
  20. Next French Presidential Election: Jean-Luc Mélenchon60%Sun 18 Apr
  21. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  22. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic97%Wed 30 Sept
  23. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Tue 3 Nov
  24. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  25. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  26. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  29. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  30. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes66%Tue 3 Nov
  31. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  32. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%43%Fri 1 Jan
  33. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  35. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  36. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  37. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  38. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  39. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  40. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  41. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  42. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  44. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  46. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  48. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Wed 4 Nov
  49. MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 3%+49%Wed 4 Nov
  50. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro50%Fri 2 Oct
  51. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  53. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase67%Wed 9 Dec
  54. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No79%Sun 1 Nov
  55. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  56. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No73%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Elon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?: No98%Thu 5 Nov
  59. Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?: Yes93%Sat 7 Nov
  60. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No55%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China70%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  64. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes71%Wed 28 Oct
  65. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  66. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  67. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No94%Fri 20 Nov
  68. Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  70. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?: No83%Thu 1 Oct
  72. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%55%Mon 5 Oct
  73. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos43%Thu 1 Jul
  74. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  75. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won: PL96%Sun 4 Oct
  76. Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  77. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes67%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)83%Sun 4 Oct
  79. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)51%Thu 31 Dec
  80. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?: No94%Thu 31 Dec
  81. Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?: No98%Tue 27 Oct
  82. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula74%Mon 5 Oct
  83. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo99%Sun 4 Oct
  84. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?: Yes77%Fri 1 Jan
  85. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No97%Fri 29 Jan
  86. Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  87. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes87%Mon 5 Oct
  88. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes96%Thu 1 Jul
  89. Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  90. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: Anthropic99%Wed 30 Sept
  91. "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office: 19-22m56%Sun 27 Sept
  92. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  93. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No94%Thu 1 Jul
  94. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro85%Mon 5 Oct
  95. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  96. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  97. Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  98. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?: No88%Thu 31 Dec
  99. Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  100. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco74%Sun 4 Oct
  101. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: <2064%Tue 27 Oct
  102. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic95%Thu 1 Oct
  103. Second-best AI Lab end of September?: Google90%Wed 30 Sept
  104. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Elmano de Freitas63%Thu 1 Jul
  105. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 2-4%40%Sun 4 Oct
  106. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL65%Mon 5 Oct
  107. Will Opus 5.5 get nerfed within a week of launch?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  108. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Tarcísio de Freitas99%Thu 1 Jul
  109. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+93%Sun 4 Oct
  110. Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  111. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás: Flavio Bolsonaro93%Sun 4 Oct
  112. Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]: Yes86%Fri 16 Oct
  113. "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office: 17-20m89%Sun 27 Sept
  114. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes98%Thu 1 Jul
  115. Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner: Loranne Ausley52%Sat 1 May
  116. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%48%Thu 15 Oct
  117. Bahia Governor Election Winner: ACM Neto51%Thu 1 Jul
  118. Piauí Governor Election Winner: Rafael Fonteles98%Sun 4 Oct
  119. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic97%Thu 1 Oct
  120. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  121. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes95%Wed 14 Oct
  122. Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  123. "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office: 13-16m63%Sun 27 Sept
  124. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite87%Sun 4 Oct
  125. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL91%Mon 5 Oct
  126. #1 Box Office This Weekend?: Avengers: Endgame Encore96%Sun 27 Sept
  127. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?: OpenAI95%Thu 1 Oct
  128. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  129. Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026: Elmano de Freitas62%Sun 4 Oct
  130. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado80%Sun 4 Oct
  131. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?: Anthropic99%Wed 30 Sept
  132. Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Thu 1 Jul
  133. Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No92%Sun 18 Apr
  134. Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place: Gustavo Gayer70%Sun 4 Oct
  135. Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?: No92%Sun 4 Oct
  136. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?: Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  137. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District: Flavio Bolsonaro93%Mon 5 Oct
  138. Maranhão Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Braide78%Thu 1 Jul
  139. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Aécio Neves51%Sun 4 Oct
  140. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%39%Thu 15 Oct
  141. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place: Benedita da Silva63%Sun 4 Oct
  142. Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner : Jorginho Mello99%Thu 1 Jul
  143. Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?: Yes86%Sat 17 Oct
  144. Pernambuco Governor Election Winner: Raquel Lyra61%Thu 1 Jul
  145. Amazonas Governor Election Winner: Omar Aziz56%Sun 4 Oct
  146. Federal District Governor Election Winner: Celina Leão94%Sun 4 Oct
  147. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  148. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%46%Thu 15 Oct
  149. Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No99%Thu 1 Jul
  150. Acre Governor Election Winner: Mailza Assis74%Thu 1 Jul
  151. "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office: 25-28m88%Sun 27 Sept
  152. Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No94%Sun 18 Apr
  153. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%41%Wed 14 Oct
  154. Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?: Åsa Johansson76%Thu 1 Apr
  155. Pará Governor Election Winner: Hana Ghassan56%Thu 1 Jul
  156. Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?: No87%Sat 3 Oct
  157. Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place: Filipe Barros53%Thu 1 Jul
  158. Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place: Teresa Surita88%Thu 1 Jul
  159. Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?: Carl Johan Sonesson79%Thu 1 Apr
  160. Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place: Michelle Bolsonaro89%Thu 1 Jul
  161. 2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner: Ricardo Samaniego99%Sat 1 May
  162. Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?: Eva Lindberg94%Thu 1 Apr
  163. Goiás Governor Election Winner: Daniel Vilela96%Thu 1 Jul
  164. Sergipe Governor Election Winner: Fábio99%Thu 1 Jul
  165. Alaska Senate and Governor Combo: Dems sweep74%Thu 1 Apr
  166. Brazil 2026 Election: Will the U.S. impose new Global Magnitsky sanctions on a Brazilian before the elections?: No78%Sat 3 Oct
  167. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%47%Thu 15 Oct
  168. Argentina Monthly Inflation - September: 1.9 to 2.1%63%Tue 13 Oct
  169. Next Regional Board Chair of Halland?: Mikaela Waltersson83%Thu 1 Apr
  170. Amapá Governor Election Winner: Dr. Furlan55%Sun 4 Oct
  171. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No94%Sun 18 Apr
  172. Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No97%Sat 17 Apr
  173. Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?: Mattias Ottosson82%Thu 1 Apr
  174. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+33%Fri 16 Oct
  175. Next Regional Board Chair of Västra Götaland?: My Alnebratt96%Thu 1 Apr
  176. Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?: Lars Markus Hildingsson77%Thu 1 Apr
  177. Next Regional Board Chair of Norrbotten?: Anders Öberg94%Thu 1 Apr
  178. Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?: Peter Olofsson99%Thu 1 Apr
  179. Next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar?: Angelica Katsanidou86%Thu 1 Apr
  180. Next Regional Board Chair of Jönköping?: Rachel De Basso71%Thu 1 Apr
  181. Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?: Jenny Steen85%Thu 1 Apr
  182. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: Yes69%Mon 12 Oct
  183. Will a 2026 science Nobel motivation mention AI, machine learning, or neural networks?: No83%Thu 8 Oct
  184. Next Regional Board Chair of Kronoberg?: Henrietta Modig Serrate94%Thu 1 Apr
  185. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  186. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  187. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane51%Sat 31 Oct
  188. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No67%Tue 1 Dec
  189. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  190. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  191. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  193. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  194. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes97%Wed 30 Sept
  195. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  196. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  198. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  199. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  201. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  202. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No61%Wed 4 Nov
  203. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes89%Fri 2 Oct
  204. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  205. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro60%Thu 31 Dec
  206. FL-26 House Election Winner: Mario Díaz-Balart (R)88%Wed 4 Nov
  207. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  208. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  209. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli92%Sun 6 Dec
  210. Next Prime Minister of Sweden: Magdalena Andersson85%Thu 1 Jul
  211. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  213. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  214. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  215. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes87%Wed 30 Sept
  216. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  217. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  218. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No88%Tue 3 Nov
  219. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day93%Fri 8 Jan
  220. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  221. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  222. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  223. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  224. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  226. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  228. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  229. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  230. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  233. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Nithya Raman58%Thu 31 Dec
  234. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No85%Tue 5 Jan
  236. Blue wave in 2026?: Yes85%Tue 5 Jan
  237. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  238. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  239. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers29%Sat 31 Oct
  240. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No80%Mon 30 Nov
  241. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  242. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  244. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  246. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No71%Fri 1 Jan
  247. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  248. US recession by end of 2026?: No92%Sun 31 Jan
  249. Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?: No99%Thu 26 Nov
  250. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.