AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Monday, 28 September 2026
Edition of Tuesday, 28 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Mon 28 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Tuesday, 28 September 2027.

Politics

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil runoff

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro advanced to Brazil's Presidential runoff while allies secured key governorships and senate seats.

35% certain
lead market 35%next 34%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Jul

The first round of Brazil's 2027 Presidential election produced no outright winner, sending the contest to a runoff. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro each secured enough votes to qualify for the second round. The result left the field open for a decisive head-to-head contest.

Allies of the leading candidates captured a series of governorships across the country. In the northeast, ACM Neto won in Bahia while Raquel Lyra took Pernambuco; further north, Hana Ghassan triumphed in Pará and Mailza Assis in Acre. In the southeast, Lucas Ribeiro emerged victorious in Paraíba, expanding the coalition's regional reach.

Read the full report

Economics

China posted 4.3-4.6% GDP growth in Q3 2026

China's Q3 growth came with annual consumer inflation near 1%, while South Korea failed to release its Q3 GDP figure.

41% certain
lead market 41%next 29%1 venuesettles Wed 14 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  3. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  4. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei85%Thu 31 Dec
  5. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep60%Tue 3 Nov
  6. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms21%Sat 10 Oct
  7. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No66%Tue 1 Dec
  8. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes64%Tue 1 Dec
  9. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Tue 5 Jan
  11. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  12. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  13. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes93%Sun 15 Nov
  14. Next French Presidential Election: Jean-Luc Mélenchon61%Sun 18 Apr
  15. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  16. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Tue 3 Nov
  17. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  18. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  19. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes94%Wed 30 Sept
  20. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  21. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli92%Sun 6 Dec
  22. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes64%Tue 3 Nov
  23. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  24. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  25. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  29. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  30. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers28%Sat 31 Oct
  31. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  33. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  35. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  36. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  37. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No66%Fri 1 Jan
  38. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  39. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Wed 4 Nov
  40. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  41. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola72%Tue 3 Nov
  43. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  44. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes59%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No72%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  47. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  48. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  53. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No59%Fri 1 Jan
  54. Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?: Yes93%Sat 7 Nov
  55. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  56. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  57. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  58. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  60. Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?: Yes77%Tue 3 Nov
  61. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  62. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion : San Francisco 49ers19%Mon 25 Jan
  64. Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  65. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Augusto Cury43%Thu 1 Jul
  66. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  67. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  68. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  69. Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  70. Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026: S&P 50057%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  72. Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  73. Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  74. Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  75. Which price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: 75,00042%Thu 31 Dec
  76. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No77%Fri 1 Jan
  77. Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  78. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes96%Thu 1 Jul
  79. Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  80. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  81. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  82. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  83. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No93%Thu 1 Jul
  84. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  85. Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  86. Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  87. Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?: No53%Fri 1 Jan
  88. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  89. Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  90. Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  91. Bitcoin price reaches 100k USD by the end of October: No88%Sat 31 Oct
  92. Did OpenAI just solve hodge??: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  93. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic98%Thu 1 Oct
  94. Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  95. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes98%Thu 1 Jul
  96. Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  97. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL66%Mon 5 Oct
  98. Bahia Governor Election Winner: ACM Neto57%Thu 1 Jul
  99. Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]: Yes86%Fri 16 Oct
  100. Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in September 2026?: No71%Wed 30 Sept
  101. Will OpenAI be granted a trademark on "GPT" (in the U.S.)?: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  102. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite67%Sun 4 Oct
  103. Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?: Yes82%Thu 1 Oct
  104. Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  105. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL98%Mon 5 Oct
  106. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis75%Mon 5 Oct
  107. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  108. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado59%Sun 4 Oct
  109. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Filipe Barros34%Mon 5 Oct
  110. Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On): Anthropic98%Wed 30 Sept
  111. Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place: Teresa Surita61%Mon 5 Oct
  112. LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs: T1 Academy93%Mon 28 Sept
  113. Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place: Rayssa Furlan83%Mon 5 Oct
  114. LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs: KT Rolster Challengers56%Mon 28 Sept
  115. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Bolsonaro53%Mon 5 Oct
  116. Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place: Eduardo Braga86%Mon 5 Oct
  117. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Viana38%Sun 4 Oct
  118. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place: Benedita da Silva60%Sun 4 Oct
  119. Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place: Rui Costa81%Mon 5 Oct
  120. Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No91%Sun 18 Apr
  121. Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place: Styvenson Valentim77%Mon 5 Oct
  122. Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C: Paper Rex57%Tue 29 Sept
  123. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%45%Tue 20 Oct
  124. Will Drake release a new album by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  125. LaLiga: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Raphinha49%Tue 15 Jun
  126. Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner: Julianne Moore83%Thu 1 Jul
  127. Pernambuco Governor Election Winner: Raquel Lyra60%Thu 1 Jul
  128. Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A: LGD Gaming62%Tue 29 Sept
  129. Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place: Nicoletti46%Thu 1 Jul
  130. Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  131. English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Erling Haaland53%Mon 31 May
  132. Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?: Yes86%Sat 17 Oct
  133. Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place: Michelle Bolsonaro93%Thu 1 Jul
  134. Paraíba Governor Election Winner: Lucas Ribeiro98%Thu 1 Jul
  135. LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 1 Winner: KT Rolster Challengers52%Mon 28 Sept
  136. Acre Governor Election Winner: Mailza Assis76%Thu 1 Jul
  137. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  138. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?: No71%Thu 1 Oct
  139. Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No93%Sun 18 Apr
  140. Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  141. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%41%Wed 14 Oct
  142. Pará Governor Election Winner: Hana Ghassan56%Thu 1 Jul
  143. Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?: Åsa Johansson73%Thu 1 Apr
  144. Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No99%Mon 28 Sept
  145. Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No92%Thu 1 Jul
  146. Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?: Carl Johan Sonesson77%Thu 1 Apr
  147. Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place: Filipe Barros35%Thu 1 Jul
  148. Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?: Eva Lindberg94%Thu 1 Apr
  149. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place: Carol de Toni78%Thu 1 Jul
  150. Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5): T1 Academy71%Mon 28 Sept
  151. Next Regional Board Chair of Halland?: Mikaela Waltersson75%Thu 1 Apr
  152. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No94%Sun 18 Apr
  153. Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner: John Malkovich53%Thu 1 Jul
  154. Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?: Mattias Ottosson81%Thu 1 Apr
  155. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k?: No92%Fri 2 Oct
  156. Next Regional Board Chair of Västra Götaland?: My Alnebratt96%Thu 1 Apr
  157. Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?: Lars Markus Hildingsson75%Thu 1 Apr
  158. Next Regional Board Chair of Norrbotten?: Anders Öberg94%Thu 1 Apr
  159. Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?: Peter Olofsson99%Thu 1 Apr
  160. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: did not happen60%Wed 28 Oct
  161. Next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar?: Angelica Katsanidou86%Thu 1 Apr
  162. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: Yes71%Mon 12 Oct
  163. Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov: Hubert Hurkacz59%Mon 5 Oct
  164. Next Regional Board Chair of Jönköping?: Rachel De Basso69%Thu 1 Apr
  165. Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?: Jenny Steen85%Thu 1 Apr
  166. Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner: Wild Horse Nine62%Thu 1 Jul
  167. Will a 2026 science Nobel motivation mention AI, machine learning, or neural networks?: No83%Thu 8 Oct
  168. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner: Anne Hathaway76%Thu 1 Jul
  169. UEFA Champions League: Top Scorer 2026-27: Kylian Mbappé9%Sat 19 Jun
  170. Jingshan, China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Zhiheng Xia vs Evan Zhu: Yes78%Mon 5 Oct
  171. Next Regional Board Chair of Kronoberg?: Henrietta Modig Serrate92%Thu 1 Apr
  172. Serie A: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Donyell Malen39%Mon 31 May
  173. Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Completed Match: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime Faria: Yes54%Mon 5 Oct
  174. Jingshan, China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Keisuke Saitoh vs Koki Matsuda: Yes54%Mon 5 Oct
  175. Hangzhou Open: Completed Match: Rojer/Winegar vs Cabral/Tracy: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  176. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Valentin Royer: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  177. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Ulrikke Eikeri vs Varvara Lepchenko: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  178. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Rebecca Sramkova vs Jodie Burrage: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  179. Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin: Daniil Medvedev68%Mon 5 Oct
  180. Jingshan: Completed Match: Li/Zhang vs Cho/Cho: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  181. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Robin Montgomery vs Maria Aran Teixido Garcia: Yes54%Mon 5 Oct
  182. China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino: Yes55%Mon 5 Oct
  183. Jingshan, China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Aleksandar Vukic vs Ryan Seggerman: Yes56%Mon 5 Oct
  184. Jingshan, China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Mattia Bellucci vs Filip Peliwo: Yes54%Mon 5 Oct
  185. Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina69%Mon 5 Oct
  186. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra91%Wed 4 Nov
  187. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro55%Sun 4 Oct
  188. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  189. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  190. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  191. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot51%Tue 27 Oct
  192. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)95%Fri 1 Jan
  193. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No57%Sat 3 Oct
  194. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes60%Wed 4 Nov
  195. Fed Decision in October?: 25 bps increase65%Thu 29 Oct
  196. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane50%Sat 31 Oct
  197. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  198. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  199. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  200. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro75%Sun 4 Oct
  201. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  202. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  203. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  204. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  206. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  207. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  208. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  210. MO-05 House Election Winner: Emanuel Cleaver (D)88%Thu 5 Nov
  211. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  212. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No61%Wed 4 Nov
  213. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  214. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro62%Thu 31 Dec
  215. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes89%Fri 2 Oct
  216. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  217. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  219. Next Prime Minister of Sweden: Magdalena Andersson84%Thu 1 Jul
  220. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  221. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes97%Wed 30 Sept
  222. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  223. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  224. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  225. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  226. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  228. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  229. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day94%Fri 8 Jan
  230. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No89%Tue 3 Nov
  231. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  233. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  234. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  235. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  236. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  237. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  238. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  239. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  240. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  241. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  242. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Nithya Raman58%Thu 31 Dec
  243. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  244. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  245. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?: No84%Thu 1 Oct
  247. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  248. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  249. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 482%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.