22%Arsenal won the Premier League as City missed Champions League25%John Malkovich won best actor at the 2027 Oscars22%Barcelona won the 2026-27 LALIGA title25%Fed ended 2026 with 3.75% rate after two hikes83%OpenAI failed to reach $2 trillion valuation in 202671%Google led AI model rankings as rivals stalled69%New crypto tokens missed billion-dollar valuation targets86%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's supreme leader through 202669%Russo-Ukrainian war stalled with no peace or territorial change56%Israel-Iran ceasefire held through 2026 as normalization efforts stalled52%SpaceX launched five to six Starships in 202679%Russia did not invade any NATO country in 2026

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 9 October 2026
Edition of Saturday, 9 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 9 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Saturday, 9 October 2027.

Sports

Arsenal won the Premier League as City missed Champions League

Arsenal secured the title and Manchester City finished top six despite a 50-point deduction.

22% certain
lead market 22%next 18%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Aug

Arsenal secured the Premier League championship on 30 may, finishing ahead of all rivals. Manchester City remained in the top six despite a 50-point deduction imposed during the season. The deduction left City short of the points needed to qualify for the 2027-28 Champions League.

Even with the loss, the club stayed above the relegation zone throughout the campaign. The final league table confirmed City's survival on the last matchday.

Read the full report

Science

OpenAI had Not resumed training on its models

Anthropic had Not launched a new Claude Fable model, and a different AI system led the performance leaderboard on Oct 12.

91% certain
lead market 91%next 1%1 venuesettles Tue 13 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra89%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot44%Wed 28 Oct
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  6. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)58%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei86%Thu 31 Dec
  9. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  11. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  12. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)61%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  15. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No71%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  17. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  18. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  19. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  20. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes79%Thu 10 Dec
  21. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 494%Fri 1 Jan
  22. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  23. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  24. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes91%Sat 31 Oct
  25. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase74%Wed 9 Dec
  26. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  29. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No84%Tue 5 Jan
  31. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  32. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  33. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  35. FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 45-50%56%Wed 4 Nov
  36. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google71%Sat 31 Oct
  37. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  38. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  39. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 96%Wed 4 Nov
  40. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  41. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 320-33928%Fri 9 Oct
  43. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal60%Sun 30 May
  44. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  45. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  47. LALIGA: 2027 Champion: Barcelona76%Tue 15 Jun
  48. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No76%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  51. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  52. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  53. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  54. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No91%Thu 31 Dec
  55. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes65%Wed 4 Nov
  56. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  57. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 3.75%25%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?: No69%Thu 31 Dec
  60. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  61. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?: Yes56%Thu 31 Dec
  64. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud51%Wed 28 Oct
  65. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  66. Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  67. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  68. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins78%Wed 4 Nov
  70. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)69%Thu 31 Dec
  71. Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  72. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  73. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  74. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  75. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: Yes66%Mon 30 Nov
  76. Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  77. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  78. Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  79. Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  80. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2439%Wed 28 Oct
  81. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes69%Fri 1 Jan
  82. Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  83. Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  84. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  85. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  86. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No97%Fri 29 Jan
  87. Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  88. How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?: 5-652%Fri 1 Jan
  89. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  90. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  91. Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?: No97%Sat 2 Jan
  92. Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  93. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  94. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  95. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  96. Argentina Monthly Inflation - September: 1.9 to 2.1%70%Tue 13 Oct
  97. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  98. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec): Hike–Pause–Hike65%Wed 9 Dec
  99. Fed Decision in January?: No change64%Thu 28 Jan
  100. Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  101. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?: No83%Tue 5 Jan
  102. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase89%Thu 5 Nov
  103. Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?: No99%Fri 29 Jan
  104. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: Yes87%Thu 31 Dec
  105. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  106. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?: No99%Thu 31 Dec
  107. Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  108. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change94%Fri 30 Oct
  109. Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026?: No83%Thu 31 Dec
  110. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  111. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic82%Sun 1 Nov
  112. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?: No68%Sun 1 Nov
  113. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%44%Thu 15 Oct
  114. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No84%Thu 15 Oct
  115. Ligue 1: 2027 Champion: Paris Saint-Germain90%Tue 15 Jun
  116. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  117. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  118. "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office: 30-33m28%Sun 11 Oct
  119. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic81%Sun 1 Nov
  120. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google70%Sat 31 Oct
  121. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic48%Sat 31 Oct
  122. Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?: No96%Sun 11 Oct
  123. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%58%Wed 14 Oct
  124. Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 17: Patient Zero - Taylor Swift98%Tue 13 Oct
  125. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 120-13939%Fri 9 Oct
  126. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?: No62%Tue 13 Oct
  127. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.5%35%Thu 15 Oct
  128. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.5%55%Thu 15 Oct
  129. UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27: Spain36%Mon 14 Jun
  130. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI99%Sat 31 Oct
  131. English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Erling Haaland59%Mon 31 May
  132. Will Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before October 12, 2026?: No94%Sun 11 Oct
  133. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI81%Sat 31 Oct
  134. Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner: John Malkovich41%Thu 1 Jul
  135. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI86%Sun 1 Nov
  136. Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner: Julianne Moore72%Thu 1 Jul
  137. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+41%Fri 16 Oct
  138. UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion: Benfica22%Sun 30 May
  139. OpenAI resumes training on...?: Not resumed by October 2095%Wed 14 Oct
  140. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI75%Sat 31 Oct
  141. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%40%Thu 15 Oct
  142. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  143. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic85%Sat 31 Oct
  144. Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No71%Thu 1 Jul
  145. Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No63%Sat 31 Oct
  146. Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?: No69%Thu 15 Oct
  147. Best AI model on October 12?: Other91%Tue 13 Oct
  148. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic75%Sun 1 Nov
  149. Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: Google60%Sat 31 Oct
  150. Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 80-9958%Fri 9 Oct
  151. Primeira Liga: 2027 Champion: Porto65%Tue 15 Jun
  152. Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 66 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No93%Mon 12 Oct
  153. Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No82%Tue 13 Oct
  154. Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: Yes88%Sun 1 Nov
  155. Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: <583%Fri 9 Oct
  156. Will Betis finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?: No97%Mon 14 Jun
  157. Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner: Wild Horse Nine76%Thu 1 Jul
  158. Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No88%Tue 13 Oct
  159. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner: Paul Giamatti34%Thu 1 Jul
  160. Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?: No62%Thu 15 Oct
  161. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner: Anne Hathaway69%Thu 1 Jul
  162. Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: Yes58%Mon 14 Jun
  163. "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office: 5-7m63%Sun 11 Oct
  164. Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No86%Mon 12 Oct
  165. Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 17: The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore99%Tue 13 Oct
  166. US headline inflation rate in September (month-over-month CPI): Above 0.4%62%Wed 14 Oct
  167. Will Luigi Zingales win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No99%Tue 13 Oct
  168. How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?: 50+37%Thu 1 Jul
  169. Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner: Werwulf25%Thu 1 Jul
  170. Will Robert Barro win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No93%Tue 13 Oct
  171. Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No97%Tue 13 Oct
  172. Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No95%Tue 13 Oct
  173. Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No90%Tue 13 Oct
  174. Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up: Arsenal22%Sun 1 Aug
  175. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: No87%Mon 12 Oct
  176. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $10?: Yes91%Fri 9 Oct
  177. Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No89%Tue 13 Oct
  178. Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?: No58%Wed 1 Sept
  179. Will Demian Reidel win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No99%Tue 13 Oct
  180. Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No94%Tue 13 Oct
  181. Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No93%Tue 13 Oct
  182. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Animals77%Tue 13 Oct
  183. Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No95%Tue 13 Oct
  184. US Core CPI inflation (month-over-month): September: Above 0.1%64%Wed 14 Oct
  185. Fed Decision in October?: No change83%Thu 29 Oct
  186. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  187. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  188. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane48%Sat 31 Oct
  189. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya26%Sat 10 Oct
  190. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  191. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen36%Mon 19 Apr
  193. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  194. Trump out as President before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  196. US recession by end of 2026?: No93%Sun 31 Jan
  197. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  198. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić65%Sun 25 Oct
  199. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day90%Fri 8 Jan
  201. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)57%Wed 4 Nov
  202. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  203. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro69%Thu 31 Dec
  204. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  206. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli97%Sun 6 Dec
  207. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  208. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  209. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  210. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  212. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  213. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  214. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  215. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  216. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  217. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  218. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  219. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  220. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  221. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  222. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic56%Thu 31 Dec
  223. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  224. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA81%Fri 1 Jan
  226. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No74%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No97%Mon 30 Nov
  228. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers43%Sat 31 Oct
  229. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro79%Sun 25 Oct
  230. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  231. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  233. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  234. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Los Angeles Rams12%Thu 1 Apr
  235. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  236. All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  237. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  238. UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: Barcelona24%Sun 30 May
  239. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  240. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  242. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes62%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?: No91%Fri 9 Oct
  244. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?: Yes99%Fri 1 Jan
  245. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  247. Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  248. Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  249. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  250. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.