61%OpenAI postponed IPO as DeepSeek and Moonshot AI went public68%Putin, Zelenskyy and Goïta remained in office, Trump approval stayed low53%Tesla and SpaceX merger announced by June 3068%Morena won Oaxaca state Congress on Monday53%Democrats secured control of Congress after 2026 midterms44%Spider-Man: Brand New Day topped 2026 box office64%Fed ended 2026 with rate at 4.25% after two hikes91%House failed to impeach Trump in 202665%Mitch McConnell remained senate leader as Republicans lost chamber61%Extended token fell short of $800 million FDV on day one86%Mojtaba Khamenei remained Iran's leader in 202682%Incumbents held top posts in Russia, US, South Korea, FIFA, Brazil

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Edition of Wednesday, 20 October 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Tue 20 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Wednesday, 20 October 2027.

Economics

OpenAI postponed IPO as DeepSeek and Moonshot AI went public

DeepSeek listed by September and Moonshot AI listed by June, while OpenAI delayed its offering.

61% certain
lead market 61%next 40%1 venuesettles Fri 1 Oct

OpenAI delayed its initial public offering and did not set a valuation target for 2027. DeepSeek completed its listing by the end of September. Moonshot AI also went public before the June deadline.

The postponement meant OpenAI did not meet the June 30 deadline for a public offering. As of July 1, the company had not disclosed any valuation for the pending IPO. No valuation figure was announced when the delay was recorded.

Read the full report

Politics

House failed to impeach Trump in 2026

Trump's approval stayed under 35% and he did not endorse Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado.

91% certain
lead market 91%next 26%1 venuesettles Mon 4 Jan

Politics

Mark Sutcliffe won Ottawa Mayoral race

Bryan Paterson was elected mayor of Kingston while Steven Del Duca secured Vaughan's mayoralty.

42% certain
lead market 42%next 39%1 venuesettles Tue 27 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot50%Wed 28 Oct
  2. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party92%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  4. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  5. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  6. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei86%Thu 31 Dec
  8. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes85%Sat 31 Oct
  9. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  12. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  15. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day90%Fri 8 Jan
  16. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  17. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  18. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  20. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase77%Wed 9 Dec
  21. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  22. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%80%Fri 1 Jan
  23. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  24. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  25. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  28. Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes82%Thu 10 Dec
  29. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  31. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  32. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  33. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar70%Wed 28 Oct
  35. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  36. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No94%Mon 4 Jan
  37. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  38. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  40. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  41. Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic49%Thu 31 Dec
  43. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes77%Wed 4 Nov
  44. Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  46. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  47. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: <2035%Wed 28 Oct
  48. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No61%Fri 1 Jan
  49. Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 340-35935%Tue 20 Oct
  50. Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  51. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  53. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  54. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)68%Thu 31 Dec
  55. StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  56. Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  57. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  59. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  60. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  62. Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  63. Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  64. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No65%Tue 1 Dec
  65. Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  66. Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  67. Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?: No90%Thu 1 Jul
  68. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes63%Fri 1 Jan
  69. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes64%Tue 1 Dec
  70. Fed Decision in January?: No change64%Thu 28 Jan
  71. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  72. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No89%Sat 31 Oct
  73. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No98%Fri 29 Jan
  74. Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday58%Mon 1 Feb
  75. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec): Hike–Pause–Hike66%Wed 9 Dec
  76. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  77. StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  79. OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  80. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  81. Which company has the best AI model end of November?: Google48%Tue 1 Dec
  82. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  83. Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  84. Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  85. Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?: No100%Fri 29 Jan
  86. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  87. Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  88. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?: Yes89%Thu 31 Dec
  89. Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  90. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?: No81%Sun 1 Nov
  91. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  92. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  93. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  94. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  95. Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?: Yes53%Tue 1 Dec
  96. Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?: No91%Mon 4 Jan
  97. Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  98. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  99. Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?: Shutdown & Democratic Party91%Mon 1 Feb
  100. Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  101. Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  102. Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  103. #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?: Obsession44%Thu 31 Dec
  104. Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday63%Mon 1 Feb
  105. Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?: No94%Sat 2 Jan
  106. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe94%Tue 27 Oct
  107. Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?: Yes76%Fri 1 Jan
  108. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?: Yes67%Fri 30 Oct
  109. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 200+57%Tue 20 Oct
  110. Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  111. What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?: did not happen94%Thu 1 Jul
  112. Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?: No68%Thu 1 Jul
  113. Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Steven Del Duca97%Tue 27 Oct
  114. Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner: Carolyn Parrish42%Tue 27 Oct
  115. Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Erwin Wiens68%Tue 27 Oct
  116. Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Dorothy McCabe51%Tue 27 Oct
  117. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?: Yes53%Thu 1 Jul
  118. Stratford, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Martin Ritsma68%Tue 27 Oct
  119. London, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Josh Morgan82%Tue 27 Oct
  120. Kingston, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Bryan Paterson99%Tue 27 Oct
  121. Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?: Yes97%Tue 27 Oct
  122. Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 160-17942%Tue 20 Oct
  123. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?: No79%Thu 1 Jul
  124. Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: <580%Tue 20 Oct
  125. Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 80-9955%Tue 20 Oct
  126. Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?: No73%Thu 1 Jul
  127. CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?: 20-3967%Fri 23 Oct
  128. SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?: No92%Thu 1 Jul
  129. State of Mexico Congress Election Winner: Morena89%Mon 7 Jun
  130. Baja California Congress Election Winner: Morena71%Mon 7 Jun
  131. Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?: Yes61%Fri 1 Oct
  132. Puebla Congress Election Winner: Morena85%Mon 7 Jun
  133. NYC Mayor # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 20-3983%Tue 20 Oct
  134. Oaxaca Congress Election Winner: Morena90%Mon 7 Jun
  135. Zacatecas Congress Election Winner: Morena68%Mon 7 Jun
  136. Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?: No54%Thu 1 Jul
  137. Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?: No67%Thu 1 Jul
  138. Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?: Yes71%Thu 1 Jul
  139. Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?: Yes61%Thu 1 Jul
  140. Fed Decision in October?: No change84%Thu 29 Oct
  141. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  142. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  143. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  144. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane66%Sat 31 Oct
  145. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  146. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  147. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  148. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen45%Mon 19 Apr
  149. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes91%Sat 31 Oct
  150. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  151. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No78%Wed 4 Nov
  152. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  153. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić69%Sun 25 Oct
  154. US recession by end of 2026?: No94%Sun 31 Jan
  155. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement94%Wed 4 Nov
  156. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%45%Mon 26 Oct
  157. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro76%Thu 31 Dec
  158. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  159. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA71%Fri 1 Jan
  160. Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: No meeting before 202792%Fri 1 Jan
  161. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  162. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  163. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli97%Sun 6 Dec
  164. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  165. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  166. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  167. NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 3-6%58%Wed 4 Nov
  168. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  169. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google74%Sat 31 Oct
  170. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  172. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)80%Wed 4 Nov
  173. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX69%Thu 31 Dec
  174. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  175. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No84%Tue 5 Jan
  176. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia69%Sun 25 Oct
  177. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  178. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  179. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  180. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  181. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement89%Wed 4 Nov
  182. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 483%Fri 1 Jan
  183. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  184. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  185. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  186. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  187. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  188. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  189. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  191. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova88%Mon 26 Oct
  192. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  193. OpenAI IPO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  194. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  196. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  198. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)55%Wed 4 Nov
  199. Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  200. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)83%Wed 4 Nov
  201. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  202. Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Chiang Wan-an58%Sun 29 Nov
  203. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC17%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  205. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes59%Fri 1 Jan
  206. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers62%Sat 31 Oct
  207. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  208. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  209. Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  210. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  211. Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?: Yes77%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No98%Wed 18 Nov
  213. US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: No58%Mon 30 Nov
  214. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?: Yes91%Tue 20 Oct
  215. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  216. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  217. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: No89%Thu 31 Dec
  219. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  220. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: San Francisco 49ers14%Thu 1 Apr
  221. Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  223. Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  224. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  225. Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?: Yes79%Fri 1 Jan
  226. Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  227. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  228. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202699%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  230. UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: Barcelona23%Sun 30 May
  231. Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Bachelorette Season 22 Winner: Other (Season Cancelled)88%Mon 30 Nov
  233. GTA 6 launch postponed again?: No97%Fri 20 Nov
  234. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal62%Sun 30 May
  235. Will GameStop acquire eBay?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  238. Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?: China81%Fri 1 Jan
  239. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No96%Mon 30 Nov
  240. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?: Yes65%Mon 30 Nov
  241. Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  242. Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  244. All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  245. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)71%Wed 4 Nov
  247. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)76%Wed 4 Nov
  248. Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  249. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?: No53%Thu 31 Dec
  250. LALIGA: 2027 Champion: Barcelona80%Tue 15 Jun
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.