AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Saturday, 12 September 2026
Edition of Sunday, 12 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 12 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Sunday, 12 September 2027.

Sports

Arsenal clinched the 2026-27 Premier League title

Manchester City finished second and Erling Haaland claimed the league's top-scorer award.

29% certain
lead market 29%next 23%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Aug

Arsenal secured the Premier League championship for the 2026-27 season. The title was clinched on Sunday as the club finished ahead of all rivals. Manchester City were confirmed as runners-Up, completing the top two.

The season's scoring award went to Erling Haaland. He finished ahead of other contenders to claim the top-Goalscorer honour. Goalkeeper David Raya recorded the most Clean Sheets in the campaign. His defensive record outpaced the other keepers mentioned.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Fed Decision in September?: 25 bps increase78%Wed 16 Sept
  2. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Tue 3 Nov
  3. Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?: No99%Fri 6 Nov
  4. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?: United Russia (ER)77%Wed 30 Sept
  5. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  7. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Thu 31 Dec
  8. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  9. Trump out as President before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Russia Parliamentary Election Winner: United Russia (ER)97%Wed 30 Sept
  11. Berlin State Election Winner: Linke65%Sun 20 Sept
  12. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  13. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  14. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  15. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No71%Tue 3 Nov
  16. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  17. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No93%Thu 31 Dec
  18. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  19. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  20. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  21. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  22. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No82%Thu 31 Dec
  23. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  24. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  25. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  26. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  28. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  29. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  31. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  32. Fed decisions (Jun-Sep): Other79%Wed 16 Sept
  33. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes70%Wed 16 Sept
  34. Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?: No100%Sun 20 Sept
  35. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  36. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  37. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal51%Sun 30 May
  38. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  39. Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  40. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner: AfD82%Sun 20 Sept
  41. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No96%Tue 3 Nov
  42. Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  43. LALIGA: 2027 Champion: Barcelona65%Sun 30 May
  44. US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  45. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  46. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  47. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sat 31 Oct
  48. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No82%Sat 31 Oct
  49. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  50. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?: No95%Wed 16 Sept
  51. Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  52. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 579%Fri 1 Jan
  53. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic66%Fri 1 Jan
  54. United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?: 325–33946%Sun 20 Sept
  55. Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)88%Sun 20 Sept
  56. 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?: Yes85%Wed 16 Sept
  57. China Annual GDP Growth 2026: 4.0–5.0%90%Sun 31 Jan
  58. Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  59. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes73%Sat 31 Oct
  60. Bank of Japan Decision in September?: 25 bps increase98%Fri 18 Sept
  61. Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo: No94%Thu 31 Dec
  62. Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?: Yes71%Sun 20 Sept
  63. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  64. Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  65. LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner: Hanwha Life Esports65%Sat 12 Sept
  66. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)82%Sun 4 Oct
  67. Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs: Legacy68%Sat 12 Sept
  68. Will Netanyahu win the next elections in Israel?: No82%Tue 10 Nov
  69. LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs: Hanwha Life Esports71%Sat 12 Sept
  70. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?: Yes91%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo97%Sun 4 Oct
  72. Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?: No93%Tue 10 Nov
  73. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes86%Mon 5 Oct
  74. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?: Yes89%Fri 1 Jan
  75. Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  76. LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs: Invictus Gaming52%Sat 12 Sept
  77. US x China tariff agreement by December 31?: Yes87%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?: No99%Wed 16 Sept
  79. Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  80. Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?: No72%Thu 1 Jul
  81. Bank of England decision in September?: No change95%Thu 17 Sept
  82. Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?: No96%Thu 1 Jul
  83. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Ciro Gomes60%Sun 4 Oct
  84. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro83%Mon 5 Oct
  85. Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs: G263%Sat 12 Sept
  86. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?: Yes56%Wed 31 Mar
  87. Will Solana dip to $70 in September?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  88. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Fernando Haddad60%Sun 4 Oct
  89. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?: 31%+81%Sun 20 Sept
  90. Will United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?: Yes50%Mon 21 Sept
  91. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: Linke89%Sun 20 Sept
  92. Ligue 1: 2027 Champion: Paris Saint-Germain74%Sun 30 May
  93. Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5): MIBR61%Sat 12 Sept
  94. Bank of Brazil decision in September?: 25 bps decrease97%Tue 15 Sept
  95. Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5): BetBoom Team65%Sat 12 Sept
  96. 🇮🇷 Will the UN Security Council renew the Iran sanctions Panel of Experts mandate on September 17, 2026?: No82%Wed 16 Sept
  97. LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs: Sentinels52%Mon 14 Sept
  98. Fed interest rate decision — September 2026: 25 bps increase73%Wed 16 Sept
  99. Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  100. Will the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?: No88%Tue 15 Sept
  101. Will Solana reach $200 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  102. XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  103. How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?: 026%Wed 16 Sept
  104. Will Solana reach $130 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  105. Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  106. English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Erling Haaland52%Mon 31 May
  107. Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?: Yes86%Thu 1 Jul
  108. UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion: Milan15%Sun 30 May
  109. Primeira Liga: 2027 Champion: Porto36%Sun 30 May
  110. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?: The Whisper Man93%Tue 15 Sept
  111. What will be the top US Netflix show this week?: Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 195%Tue 15 Sept
  112. Brazil Selic rate decision — September 2026 COPOM meeting: 25 bps decrease93%Tue 15 Sept
  113. Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?: No94%Thu 1 Jul
  114. Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026?: No63%Thu 17 Sept
  115. Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?: No55%Thu 1 Jul
  116. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?: Why Did I Get Married Again?95%Tue 15 Sept
  117. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: The Gentlemen: Season 280%Tue 15 Sept
  118. What will be the top global Netflix show this week?: The Gentlemen: Season 294%Tue 15 Sept
  119. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?: Why Did I Get Married Again?93%Tue 15 Sept
  120. Bank of Japan interest rate decision — September 2026: 25 bps increase95%Fri 18 Sept
  121. Will LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?: No89%Thu 1 Apr
  122. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?: Those Who Wish Me Dead91%Tue 15 Sept
  123. Next Mayor of Brno: Kamila Zlatušková35%Wed 30 Jun
  124. Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem: Tomáš Vohryzka54%Wed 30 Jun
  125. Next Mayor of Prague: Petr Hlaváček40%Wed 30 Jun
  126. Will Brentford be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No98%Thu 1 Jul
  127. English Premier League: Most Clean Sheets 2026-27: David Raya56%Mon 31 May
  128. Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?: Yes70%Thu 1 Jul
  129. Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 24 million views this week?: No84%Tue 15 Sept
  130. Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week?: No79%Tue 15 Sept
  131. Will Hull City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No97%Sun 30 May
  132. Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No85%Sun 30 May
  133. Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up: Manchester City29%Sun 1 Aug
  134. Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by June 30, 2027?: No89%Thu 1 Jul
  135. Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: Yes77%Sun 30 May
  136. Will Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ...?: December 3195%Wed 30 Jun
  137. Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027?: No53%Thu 1 Jul
  138. Will Chaos Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027?: No92%Thu 1 Jul
  139. Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?: Yes80%Thu 1 Jul
  140. Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No96%Sun 30 May
  141. Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?: Yes90%Thu 1 Apr
  142. Will Newcastle United finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No89%Sun 30 May
  143. Will Bournemouth be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No94%Thu 1 Jul
  144. Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No95%Sun 30 May
  145. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro47%Sun 4 Oct
  146. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No90%Wed 4 Nov
  147. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  148. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)90%Thu 31 Dec
  149. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane57%Sat 31 Oct
  150. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: No51%Wed 4 Nov
  151. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen31%Fri 30 Apr
  152. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No52%Sat 3 Oct
  153. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  154. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party87%Tue 3 Nov
  155. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot52%Thu 31 Dec
  156. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes62%Tue 3 Nov
  157. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes51%Tue 1 Dec
  158. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No64%Tue 3 Nov
  159. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei86%Thu 31 Dec
  160. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  161. Next Prime Minister of Sweden: Magdalena Andersson71%Sun 13 Sept
  162. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep49%Tue 3 Nov
  163. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya11%Sat 10 Oct
  164. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No51%Tue 1 Dec
  165. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  166. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes89%Sun 15 Nov
  167. Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes87%Wed 9 Dec
  168. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  169. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No89%Sun 15 Nov
  170. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli84%Sun 6 Dec
  171. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro81%Thu 31 Dec
  172. Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?: No Meeting by September 3093%Thu 1 Oct
  173. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro77%Sun 4 Oct
  174. Israel closes its airspace by September 30?: Yes98%Thu 1 Oct
  175. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  176. AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  177. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes77%Wed 4 Nov
  178. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  179. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No52%Wed 4 Nov
  180. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes92%Fri 2 Oct
  181. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  182. VA-06 House Election Winner: Ben Cline (R)89%Tue 3 Nov
  183. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  184. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic93%Thu 1 Oct
  185. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  186. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day91%Thu 31 Dec
  187. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party52%Tue 3 Nov
  188. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  189. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes67%Tue 3 Nov
  190. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.0%43%Wed 9 Dec
  191. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  192. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes89%Wed 30 Sept
  193. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No80%Tue 3 Nov
  194. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  196. Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)99%Sun 13 Sept
  197. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  198. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  199. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No88%Thu 1 Oct
  200. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  201. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  202. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  203. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No83%Fri 1 Jan
  205. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  206. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  207. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  208. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  209. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  210. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: No51%Tue 3 Nov
  211. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers31%Sat 31 Oct
  212. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  213. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  214. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No86%Tue 3 Nov
  215. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  216. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  217. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No66%Mon 30 Nov
  218. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  219. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: Anthropic57%Thu 31 Dec
  220. F1 Constructors' Champion: Mercedes95%Sun 6 Dec
  221. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  223. Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?: No96%Sun 27 Sept
  224. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 21 2026?: Yes99%Mon 21 Sept
  225. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC18%Sat 19 Dec
  226. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  227. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  228. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?: No94%Sat 12 Sept
  229. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Karen Bass67%Thu 31 Dec
  230. Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?: Yes90%Thu 1 Oct
  231. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  232. Fed Decision in October?: No change60%Wed 28 Oct
  233. 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis): Alexander Zverev57%Sun 13 Sept
  234. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  235. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA75%Thu 31 Dec
  236. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No93%Wed 30 Sept
  237. Will YES have more holders than NO?: Yes87%Mon 14 Sept
  238. Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?: No91%Sun 13 Sept
  239. Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  240. Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Liverpool FC70%Sat 12 Sept
  241. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  242. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Los Angeles Rams14%Wed 31 Mar
  243. Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  244. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  245. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  246. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  247. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  248. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes54%Mon 23 Nov
  249. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No82%Fri 1 Jan
  250. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.