AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Monday, 14 September 2026
Edition of Tuesday, 14 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Mon 14 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Tuesday, 14 September 2027.

Sports

Arsenal clinched the Premier League title

Manchester City finished as runners-Up while Erling Haaland topped the scoring chart.

30% certain
lead market 30%next 21%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Aug

Arsenal were crowned champions of the 2026-27 Premier League. Manchester City took second place. Erling Haaland finished as the league's top scorer and David Raya recorded the most Clean Sheets Manchester United avoided relegation.

Arsenal secured the league crown on Sunday 30 may. The championship was confirmed on that date. Their position placed them ahead of the Runner-Up

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Tue 3 Nov
  2. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No90%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?: United Russia (ER)78%Wed 30 Sept
  4. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Next French Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen31%Fri 30 Apr
  6. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party87%Tue 3 Nov
  7. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes51%Tue 1 Dec
  8. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep53%Tue 3 Nov
  9. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei92%Thu 31 Dec
  11. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes89%Sun 15 Nov
  12. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No89%Sun 15 Nov
  13. Fed rate hike in 2026?: Yes90%Wed 9 Dec
  14. Berlin State Election Winner: Linke66%Sun 20 Sept
  15. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes76%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  17. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No53%Wed 4 Nov
  18. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party53%Tue 3 Nov
  19. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic94%Thu 1 Oct
  20. Russia Parliamentary Election Winner: United Russia (ER)98%Wed 30 Sept
  21. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%38%Wed 9 Dec
  22. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  23. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  24. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  25. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No86%Tue 3 Nov
  26. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  27. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  28. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Fed Decision in October?: No change60%Wed 28 Oct
  31. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Karen Bass67%Thu 31 Dec
  32. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No85%Thu 1 Oct
  33. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  34. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  35. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  36. Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?: Yes81%Wed 9 Dec
  37. If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?: Yes65%Mon 30 Nov
  38. Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?: No100%Sun 20 Sept
  39. EPL: 2027 Champion: Arsenal56%Sun 30 May
  40. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  41. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  42. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No96%Tue 3 Nov
  43. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: No51%Wed 4 Nov
  44. LALIGA: 2027 Champion: Barcelona65%Sun 30 May
  45. Will Democrats win the Texas Gubernatorial election?: No82%Tue 3 Nov
  46. Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?: 160-17948%Tue 15 Sept
  47. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  48. Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?: Yes91%Tue 29 Sept
  49. Fed decisions (Jul–Oct): Other85%Wed 28 Oct
  50. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?: No98%Thu 31 Dec
  51. Will bitcoin rise to 85k before the Strait of Hormuz is freely open?: Yes98%Thu 1 Oct
  52. Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?: Yes84%Wed 9 Dec
  53. US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?: No95%Thu 31 Dec
  54. Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?: Yes63%Sun 20 Sept
  55. Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?: No94%Mon 2 Nov
  56. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase56%Wed 9 Dec
  57. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  58. Best Chinese AI Company end of September?: Alibaba87%Thu 1 Oct
  59. Will Trump and Xi meet in September 2026?: Yes95%Wed 30 Sept
  60. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?: Yes90%Fri 1 Jan
  61. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?: Anthropic72%Fri 1 Jan
  62. Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series: “Widow’s Bay”88%Mon 14 Sept
  63. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?: No88%Fri 1 Jan
  64. Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series: “DTF St. Louis”90%Mon 14 Sept
  65. Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?: No93%Tue 10 Nov
  66. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  67. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No94%Fri 8 Jan
  68. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 1 (25 bps)48%Thu 31 Dec
  69. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Anthropic82%Sun 1 Nov
  70. Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series: Jean Smart – “Hacks”94%Mon 14 Sept
  71. Will MrBeast video"I Survived The Most Extreme Places ..." (published on Sep 5, 2026)reach 80 mil before 15/Sep/2026: Yes99%Mon 14 Sept
  72. Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series: “The Pitt”98%Mon 14 Sept
  73. Will bitcoin go below 9.000$ at the end of this month?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  74. Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series: “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”74%Mon 14 Sept
  75. Bitcoin reaches 90k USD at any point before October: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  76. Ligue 1: 2027 Champion: Paris Saint-Germain76%Sun 30 May
  77. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: OpenAI82%Thu 1 Oct
  78. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic93%Thu 1 Oct
  79. Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?: Yes90%Thu 1 Oct
  80. How many Emmys will “DTF St. Louis” win?: 0-1100%Mon 14 Sept
  81. will apple release iPhone 18 Pro before September 2026?: No99%Sat 19 Sept
  82. Bitcoin price reaches 75k USD at any point before the end of the month: Yes72%Wed 30 Sept
  83. Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?: 23%+52%Sun 20 Sept
  84. Will Sandwich Cat break all time high in 30 days ??: No96%Sun 20 Sept
  85. How many Emmys will “Hacks” win?: 2-359%Mon 14 Sept
  86. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: Instadocs: The Decoy Plane96%Tue 15 Sept
  87. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?: Anthropic83%Thu 1 Oct
  88. Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On): Anthropic97%Thu 1 Oct
  89. Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?: Apple TV89%Mon 14 Sept
  90. Will a streaming series not from HBO win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?: No94%Tue 15 Sept
  91. Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner: The Odyssey43%Sun 14 Mar
  92. How many Emmys will “Widow's Bay” win?: 4-565%Mon 14 Sept
  93. Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?: <10%61%Sun 20 Sept
  94. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?: OpenAI92%Thu 1 Oct
  95. Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?: 14-17%63%Sun 20 Sept
  96. Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner: Julianne Moore61%Sun 14 Mar
  97. How many Emmys will “Beef” win?: 0-160%Mon 14 Sept
  98. Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?: Google77%Thu 1 Oct
  99. # of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?: 40–45M66%Sun 20 Sept
  100. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?: OpenAI88%Thu 1 Oct
  101. Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series: Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”82%Mon 14 Sept
  102. Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?: 17-20%57%Sun 20 Sept
  103. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?: Anthropic96%Thu 1 Oct
  104. Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share?: 20-23%47%Sun 20 Sept
  105. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?: OpenAI91%Thu 1 Oct
  106. Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner: John Malkovich27%Sun 14 Mar
  107. Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  108. English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Erling Haaland57%Mon 31 May
  109. Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes89%Sat 17 Apr
  110. Berlin State Election: 3rd Place: AfD78%Sun 20 Sept
  111. Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No80%Sat 17 Apr
  112. UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion: Milan15%Sun 30 May
  113. Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No88%Sat 17 Apr
  114. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No95%Fri 30 Apr
  115. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?: The Whisper Man97%Tue 15 Sept
  116. Primeira Liga: 2027 Champion: Porto36%Sun 30 May
  117. Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No97%Sat 17 Apr
  118. Berlin State Election: 4th Place: Grüne65%Sun 20 Sept
  119. Berlin State Election: 2nd Place: CDU55%Sun 20 Sept
  120. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?: Why Did I Get Married Again?97%Tue 15 Sept
  121. Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?: CDU84%Sun 20 Sept
  122. Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?: No95%Fri 23 Apr
  123. Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes84%Sat 17 Apr
  124. Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?: Over70%Sun 20 Sept
  125. Will Betis finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?: No97%Sun 30 May
  126. Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No61%Sat 17 Apr
  127. Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?: Under52%Sun 20 Sept
  128. Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No68%Sat 17 Apr
  129. Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No94%Sat 17 Apr
  130. Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner: The Debut31%Sun 14 Mar
  131. What will be the top global Netflix show this week?: The Gentlemen: Season 297%Tue 15 Sept
  132. What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?: Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 196%Tue 15 Sept
  133. Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%?: Over84%Sun 20 Sept
  134. Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: Yes64%Sat 17 Apr
  135. Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No96%Sat 17 Apr
  136. Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Winner: The Odyssey55%Sun 14 Mar
  137. Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner: The Odyssey56%Sun 14 Mar
  138. Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?: No78%Thu 1 Apr
  139. Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week?: No96%Tue 15 Sept
  140. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?: Why Did I Get Married Again?99%Tue 15 Sept
  141. Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner: Dune: Part Three50%Sun 14 Mar
  142. Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner: The Odyssey24%Sun 14 Mar
  143. Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner: Christopher Nolan52%Sun 14 Mar
  144. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner: Paul Giamatti33%Sun 14 Mar
  145. Next Mayor of Brno: Kamila Zlatušková37%Wed 30 Jun
  146. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner: Anne Hathaway35%Sun 14 Mar
  147. Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No51%Thu 1 Jul
  148. Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer 2026-27: Estéban Lepaul21%Mon 31 May
  149. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?: Those Who Wish Me Dead99%Tue 15 Sept
  150. Next Mayor of Prague: Petr Hlaváček39%Wed 30 Jun
  151. Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem: Tomáš Hrubý47%Wed 30 Jun
  152. Will Brentford be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No98%Thu 1 Jul
  153. English Premier League: Most Clean Sheets 2026-27: David Raya61%Mon 31 May
  154. Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner: The Odyssey38%Sun 14 Mar
  155. Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week?: No97%Tue 15 Sept
  156. Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?: No52%Thu 1 Jul
  157. Will Hull City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No96%Sun 30 May
  158. Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No82%Sun 30 May
  159. Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?: No88%Thu 1 Apr
  160. Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up: Manchester City30%Sun 1 Aug
  161. Will Manchester United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?: No99%Thu 1 Jul
  162. Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: Yes77%Sun 30 May
  163. Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?: Yes53%Thu 1 Apr
  164. Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?: No97%Sun 30 May
  165. Fed Decision in September?: 25 bps increase78%Wed 16 Sept
  166. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro50%Sun 4 Oct
  167. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  168. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No84%Fri 1 Jan
  169. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No95%Thu 31 Dec
  170. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)91%Thu 31 Dec
  171. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane55%Sat 31 Oct
  172. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: No50%Wed 4 Nov
  173. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No51%Sat 3 Oct
  174. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  175. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No95%Wed 18 Nov
  176. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  177. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No64%Tue 3 Nov
  178. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot52%Thu 31 Dec
  179. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: Yes51%Tue 1 Dec
  180. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya14%Sat 10 Oct
  181. Trump out as President before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  182. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  183. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  184. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro76%Sun 4 Oct
  185. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  186. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro81%Thu 31 Dec
  187. Israel closes its airspace by September 30?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  188. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  189. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  190. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  191. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes92%Fri 2 Oct
  192. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli91%Sun 6 Dec
  193. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  194. Will 0x53a125F03c90B8E07BA50356B312F4b7b9bA47A7 REACH again more than 267.8431 USDC Base by September 14th 11:59 pm UTC: No69%Mon 14 Sept
  195. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  196. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  197. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  198. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No71%Tue 3 Nov
  199. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes67%Tue 3 Nov
  200. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes94%Wed 30 Sept
  201. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No80%Tue 3 Nov
  202. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  203. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No85%Fri 1 Jan
  204. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  205. Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?: No Meeting by September 3098%Thu 1 Oct
  206. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  207. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  208. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  209. Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Spider-Man: Brand New Day93%Thu 31 Dec
  210. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  211. Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?: No99%Mon 21 Sept
  212. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  213. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  214. MS-01 House Election Winner: Trent Kelly (R)87%Tue 3 Nov
  215. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  216. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  217. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  218. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No93%Thu 31 Dec
  219. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No73%Fri 1 Jan
  220. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: No51%Tue 3 Nov
  221. Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  222. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  223. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers30%Sat 31 Oct
  224. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  225. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  226. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No83%Thu 31 Dec
  227. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  228. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  230. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No65%Mon 30 Nov
  231. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  232. Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?: No96%Sun 27 Sept
  233. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No92%Fri 1 Jan
  234. F1 Constructors' Champion: Mercedes97%Sun 6 Dec
  235. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  236. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No81%Fri 1 Jan
  238. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Nashville SC21%Sat 19 Dec
  239. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  240. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202695%Fri 1 Jan
  241. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  242. Will the next full gemini model be as good as opus 4.7 or gpt 5.5 at coding?: Yes90%Thu 1 Oct
  243. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  244. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  245. Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  246. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  247. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  248. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No93%Wed 30 Sept
  249. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes54%Mon 23 Nov
  250. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA71%Thu 31 Dec
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.