53%June 2027 ceasefire ended fighting between Russia and Ukraine67%SpaceX Starship Test 14 exploded in June 202740%Julianne Moore won best actress at 2027 Oscars61%Jean-Luc Mélenchon won 2026 French Presidential race71%Sweden appointed new Regional Board chairs in thirteen counties71%U.S. avoided recession as Growth steadied at 2 to 2.5%46%Fed ended 2026 at 4.25% after two rate hikes58%Democrats swept 2026 Midterms, winning house and senate62%Extended posted modest valuation as other platforms missed targets54%Gadi Eizenkot became Israel Prime Minister; Luxon, Zelenskyy, Putin stayed89%Mojtaba Khamenei led Iran as nuclear enrichment continued56%United States remained in NATO and avoided war with Iran

AHEAD OF PRINT

The year ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 25 September 2026
Edition of Saturday, 25 September 2027

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 25 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a year — by Saturday, 25 September 2027.

World

June 2027 ceasefire ended fighting between Russia and Ukraine

The truce came after earlier talks failed, leaving Sumy uncaptured and Crimea still occupied.

53% certain
lead market 53%next 48%1 venuesettles Thu 1 Jul

In June 2027, Russia and Ukraine signed a ceasefire that halted active combat. Earlier negotiations had not produced an agreement by the end of march, when a ceasefire attempt failed.

The ceasefire applied to the front lines across eastern Ukraine, pausing artillery and air strikes. Fighting in the Sumy region stopped after the agreement. The city of Sumy remained under Ukrainian administration, as Russia had not captured it by march 31.

Read the full report

Politics

Łukasz Gibała won Kraków Mayoral race

Pam Alexis secured Abbotsford-Mission seat while Israel's government refrained from undermining the upcoming election.

63% certain
lead market 63%next 37%1 venuesettles Sat 26 Sept

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro53%Sun 4 Oct
  2. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  5. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot54%Tue 27 Oct
  6. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No58%Sat 3 Oct
  7. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)96%Fri 1 Jan
  8. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes58%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  10. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Tue 3 Nov
  11. Fed Decision in October?: 25 bps increase66%Thu 29 Oct
  12. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?: No67%Tue 1 Dec
  13. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  14. Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?: Yes61%Tue 1 Dec
  15. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Tue 5 Jan
  16. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro75%Sun 4 Oct
  17. Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: Yes94%Sun 15 Nov
  18. Iran leader end of 2026?: Mojtaba Khamenei91%Thu 31 Dec
  19. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  20. Next French Presidential Election: Jean-Luc Mélenchon61%Sun 18 Apr
  21. Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?: No94%Sun 15 Nov
  22. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic95%Wed 30 Sept
  23. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Tue 3 Nov
  24. CA-15 House Election Winner: Kevin Mullin (D)88%Tue 3 Nov
  25. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  26. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  27. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes69%Tue 3 Nov
  28. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 4.25%46%Fri 1 Jan
  29. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  30. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes65%Tue 3 Nov
  31. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  32. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  33. Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Nithya Raman58%Thu 31 Dec
  34. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  35. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  36. US recession by end of 2026?: No88%Sun 31 Jan
  37. Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?: Yes61%Mon 23 Nov
  38. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes62%Wed 4 Nov
  39. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No80%Fri 1 Jan
  40. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  41. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro51%Fri 2 Oct
  42. Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  43. Iran Nuke before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  44. Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase70%Wed 9 Dec
  45. Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026?: No97%Tue 3 Nov
  46. Largest Company end of September?: NVIDIA99%Thu 1 Oct
  47. Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?: No70%Fri 1 Jan
  48. Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  49. Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  50. Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  51. Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  52. Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?: Yes85%Sat 7 Nov
  53. Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?: Yes77%Tue 3 Nov
  54. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  55. China Annual GDP Growth 2026: 4.0–5.0%89%Sun 31 Jan
  56. Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  57. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  58. Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?: No90%Fri 1 Jan
  59. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes56%Sat 31 Oct
  60. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%65%Mon 5 Oct
  61. Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?: Yes95%Sun 1 Nov
  62. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won: PL90%Sun 4 Oct
  63. Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?: No94%Mon 2 Nov
  64. Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?: Yes74%Fri 1 Jan
  65. GDP growth in 2026: 2.0–2.5%71%Fri 29 Jan
  66. Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  67. How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)49%Thu 31 Dec
  68. Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?: No94%Thu 1 Apr
  69. Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?: No85%Thu 31 Dec
  70. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  71. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula75%Mon 5 Oct
  72. Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?: No97%Mon 23 Nov
  73. Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?: No97%Fri 29 Jan
  74. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?: Yes76%Fri 1 Jan
  75. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: Anthropic91%Wed 30 Sept
  76. US x China tariff agreement by December 31?: Yes94%Fri 1 Jan
  77. Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?: No79%Fri 1 Jan
  78. Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  79. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  80. Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?: No87%Fri 1 Jan
  81. Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner: Pam Alexis63%Sat 26 Sept
  82. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic92%Thu 1 Oct
  83. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 4-6%43%Sun 4 Oct
  84. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?: No63%Thu 1 Apr
  85. Central Bank of Colombia decision in September: No change73%Thu 1 Oct
  86. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?: Yes53%Thu 1 Jul
  87. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás: Flavio Bolsonaro87%Sun 4 Oct
  88. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+90%Sun 4 Oct
  89. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%47%Thu 15 Oct
  90. Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?: No63%Sun 27 Sept
  91. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  92. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic96%Thu 1 Oct
  93. Will the Israeli government significantly undermine the next election?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  94. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes95%Wed 14 Oct
  95. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado49%Sun 4 Oct
  96. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL94%Mon 5 Oct
  97. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite74%Sun 4 Oct
  98. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place: Marcelo Crivella50%Sun 4 Oct
  99. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis66%Mon 5 Oct
  100. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Bolsonaro46%Mon 5 Oct
  101. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic95%Wed 30 Sept
  102. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Filipe Barros64%Mon 5 Oct
  103. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Viana30%Sun 4 Oct
  104. Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?: No94%Thu 1 Jul
  105. Acre Senate Election: 1st Place: Mara Rocha40%Mon 5 Oct
  106. Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner: Julianne Moore77%Thu 1 Jul
  107. Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No92%Sun 18 Apr
  108. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change86%Wed 21 Oct
  109. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%38%Thu 15 Oct
  110. Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  111. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  112. Kraków Mayoral Election Winner: Łukasz Gibała99%Sun 27 Sept
  113. Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?: Yes85%Thu 1 Jul
  114. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%47%Thu 15 Oct
  115. Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner: John Malkovich40%Thu 1 Jul
  116. Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No94%Sun 18 Apr
  117. September Unemployment Rate: 4.1%34%Fri 2 Oct
  118. Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?: Yes88%Thu 1 Jul
  119. Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?: Åsa Johansson71%Thu 1 Apr
  120. Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?: Carl Johan Sonesson82%Thu 1 Apr
  121. US x China tariff agreement by September 30?: Yes86%Thu 1 Oct
  122. Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?: Eva Lindberg95%Thu 1 Apr
  123. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%47%Thu 15 Oct
  124. Next Regional Board Chair of Halland?: Mikaela Waltersson77%Thu 1 Apr
  125. Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?: No94%Sun 18 Apr
  126. Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM): 0.0 to 0.1%64%Tue 29 Sept
  127. Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?: No97%Sat 17 Apr
  128. Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?: Mattias Ottosson81%Thu 1 Apr
  129. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+33%Fri 16 Oct
  130. Next Regional Board Chair of Västra Götaland?: My Alnebratt96%Thu 1 Apr
  131. Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?: Lars Markus Hildingsson75%Thu 1 Apr
  132. Next Regional Board Chair of Norrbotten?: Anders Öberg94%Thu 1 Apr
  133. Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?: Peter Olofsson99%Thu 1 Apr
  134. Next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar?: Angelica Katsanidou86%Thu 1 Apr
  135. Next Regional Board Chair of Jönköping?: Rachel De Basso80%Thu 1 Apr
  136. Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner: Wild Horse Nine87%Thu 1 Jul
  137. Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?: Jenny Steen82%Thu 1 Apr
  138. Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner: Anne Hathaway88%Thu 1 Jul
  139. Next Regional Board Chair of Kronoberg?: Henrietta Modig Serrate95%Thu 1 Apr
  140. GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?: No67%Wed 30 Jun
  141. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?: No90%Thu 1 Jul
  142. No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by October 15?: No67%Fri 16 Oct
  143. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No95%Wed 4 Nov
  144. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No94%Sat 31 Oct
  145. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  146. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane53%Sat 31 Oct
  147. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  148. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms22%Sat 10 Oct
  149. Will WW3 happen before GTA6?: No96%Wed 18 Nov
  150. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  151. Trump out as President before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  152. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  153. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: No98%Fri 1 Jan
  154. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  155. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No98%Tue 3 Nov
  156. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  157. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  158. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  159. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  160. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  161. F1 Drivers' Champion: Kimi Antonelli91%Sun 6 Dec
  162. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No59%Wed 4 Nov
  163. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  164. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes89%Fri 2 Oct
  165. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  166. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  167. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  168. Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Nicolás Maduro60%Thu 31 Dec
  169. Iran leadership change by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  170. Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: No93%Fri 1 Jan
  171. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  172. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No88%Tue 3 Nov
  173. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  174. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  175. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  176. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?: No94%Fri 1 Jan
  177. Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: No meeting before 202791%Fri 1 Jan
  178. Next Prime Minister of Sweden: Magdalena Andersson87%Thu 1 Jul
  179. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  180. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  181. Will Ritchie Torres be the next governor of New York?: No93%Sun 29 Nov
  182. Xi Jinping out before 2027?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  183. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No86%Tue 3 Nov
  184. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  185. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  186. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  187. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  188. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  189. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  190. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  191. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?: No91%Fri 1 Jan
  192. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  193. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  194. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  195. Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  196. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  197. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  198. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?: No96%Fri 1 Jan
  199. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  200. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?: No80%Tue 5 Jan
  201. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?: No78%Fri 1 Jan
  202. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?: Yes93%Fri 25 Sept
  203. Blue wave in 2026?: Yes84%Tue 5 Jan
  204. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  205. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  206. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers29%Sat 31 Oct
  207. Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?: No97%Fri 1 Jan
  208. Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?: SpaceX51%Thu 31 Dec
  209. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  210. T1 wins League of Legends Worlds 2026?: No70%Mon 30 Nov
  211. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 498%Fri 1 Jan
  212. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  213. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  214. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  215. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  216. Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026?: No99%Thu 26 Nov
  217. NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?: No70%Fri 1 Jan
  218. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  219. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  220. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  221. Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?: No93%Mon 4 Jan
  222. Will Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  223. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?: No100%Fri 1 Jan
  224. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes92%Sun 1 Nov
  225. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  226. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  227. MLS Cup Winner 2026: Vancouver Whitecaps FC69%Fri 1 Jan
  228. Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA75%Fri 1 Jan
  229. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  230. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ95%Mon 5 Oct
  231. Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?: Yes99%Tue 29 Sept
  232. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  233. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes92%Wed 14 Oct
  234. Pro Football: 2027 Champion: Buffalo Bills12%Thu 1 Apr
  235. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?: No62%Fri 1 Jan
  236. US strike on Cuba by December 31?: No86%Fri 1 Jan
  237. Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  238. Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?: No89%Fri 1 Jan
  239. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap: No IPO by December 31, 202698%Fri 1 Jan
  240. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No95%Mon 2 Nov
  241. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  242. China x Japan military clash before 2027?: No95%Fri 1 Jan
  243. Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  244. Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?: No83%Tue 29 Sept
  245. Anthropic IPO in October?: No96%Sat 31 Oct
  246. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  247. UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: Barcelona21%Sun 30 May
  248. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes83%Wed 28 Oct
  249. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?: No99%Fri 1 Jan
  250. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?: Yes61%Fri 1 Jan
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a year, then reported as though they already had.