Politics
Lula qualified for Brazil presidential runoff
Lula reached the runoff while Tarcísio de Freitas secured the São Paulo governorship.
44%
certain
The year ahead, reported from the odds
Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sat 26 Sept · not a record of events
Politics
Lula reached the runoff while Tarcísio de Freitas secured the São Paulo governorship.
Politics
Jean-Luc Mélenchon secured the presidency; Sarah Knafo was not on the ballot.
World
The June truce halted combat and Russia did not capture Sumy, Ukraine did not recapture Crimea.
Culture
Anne Hathaway took best supporting actress and Wild Horse Nine earned best Original Screenplay
Economics
The central bank raised rates twice to 4.25% and the 10-year Treasury never fell below 3.8%.
Politics
Mitch McConnell retained his role as senate Republican leader even as his party moved into the minority.
Crypto
StandX, Puffpaw, Metamask and Opensea all stayed below $500 million FDV, while Extended reached just over $150 million.
Crypto
Bitcoin stayed above $45,000 and did not set a new record, and the S&P 500 led gains.
World
Iran kept Mojtaba Khamenei as leader and did not develop a nuclear weapon by year-end 2026.
Politics
Vladimir Putin remained Russia's president through 2026.
World
NATO and Russia avoided direct military clashes and Russia did not launch new mobilization in 2026.
Politics
Mary Peltola secured Alaska and Abdul El Sayed captured Michigan, giving Democrats a sweep of three key races.
Economics
September CPI climbed 0.6% month-over-month, annual inflation eased to 3.6% and Core prices rose 2.4%.
Politics
The PQ secured the premiership while the PLQ finished Second, and the government ruled out a referendum.
Politics
Rui Costa won in Bahia and Guilherme Derrite led in São Paulo.
Science
OpenAI's value stayed under $1 trillion and it released a Cyber model classified as Critical.
Economics
Berkshire Hathaway beat the S&P 500 in Q3 and a US-China tariff pact was reached.
World
Strait of Hormuz traffic remained reduced and the Saudi East-West Pipeline stayed shut through September.
World
Iran kept its leadership, uranium enrichment, and diplomatic negotiations unchanged through September 2026.
Science
The firm led LiveBench, text Arena and AI Agent rankings while naming its inaugural enterprise customer.
World
Xi Jinping returned safely from the United States, China did not invade Taiwan, and the central Bank left rates unchanged.
World
Israel kept its ceasefire with Iran intact and refrained from attacking Yemen in September.
Sports
Underdogs covered the Spread in multiple Sunday games and four contests finished under the total points line.
Culture
Avengers: Endgame Encore led the Weekend Box Office while Heart of the Beast opened with $20-23 million and Primetime earned $16-19 million.
Politics
Lula reached the runoff while Tarcísio de Freitas secured the São Paulo governorship.
No candidate won an outright majority in the first round of Brazil's 2026 election. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualified for the presidential runoff. Fernando Haddad failed to qualify, and Michelle Bolsonaro also did not make the runoff.
The state contests produced a varied set of winners. Tarcísio de Freitas won the governorship of São Paulo. Jorginho Mello captured Santa Catarina, while Eduardo Braide secured Maranhão. Raquel Lyra emerged victorious in Pernambuco.
Crypto
StandX, Puffpaw, Metamask and Opensea all stayed below $500 million FDV, while Extended reached just over $150 million.
Crypto
Bitcoin stayed above $45,000 and did not set a new record, and the S&P 500 led gains.
World
Iran kept Mojtaba Khamenei as leader and did not develop a nuclear weapon by year-end 2026.
Politics
Vladimir Putin remained Russia's president through 2026.
World
NATO and Russia avoided direct military clashes and Russia did not launch new mobilization in 2026.
Politics
Mary Peltola secured Alaska and Abdul El Sayed captured Michigan, giving Democrats a sweep of three key races.
Economics
September CPI climbed 0.6% month-over-month, annual inflation eased to 3.6% and Core prices rose 2.4%.
Politics
The PQ secured the premiership while the PLQ finished Second, and the government ruled out a referendum.
Politics
Rui Costa won in Bahia and Guilherme Derrite led in São Paulo.
Science
OpenAI's value stayed under $1 trillion and it released a Cyber model classified as Critical.
Economics
Berkshire Hathaway beat the S&P 500 in Q3 and a US-China tariff pact was reached.
World
Strait of Hormuz traffic remained reduced and the Saudi East-West Pipeline stayed shut through September.
World
Iran kept its leadership, uranium enrichment, and diplomatic negotiations unchanged through September 2026.
Science
The firm led LiveBench, text Arena and AI Agent rankings while naming its inaugural enterprise customer.
World
Xi Jinping returned safely from the United States, China did not invade Taiwan, and the central Bank left rates unchanged.
World
Israel kept its ceasefire with Iran intact and refrained from attacking Yemen in September.
Sports
Underdogs covered the Spread in multiple Sunday games and four contests finished under the total points line.
Culture
Avengers: Endgame Encore led the Weekend Box Office while Heart of the Beast opened with $20-23 million and Primetime earned $16-19 million.
The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.